Santa Clara Broncos vs San Francisco Dons Prediction, 2/21/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Santa Clara Broncos vs San Francisco Dons

Date: Saturday, February 21, 2026

Location: The Sobrato Center in San Francisco, CA

TV: CBSSN

The Santa Clara Broncos (22-6) are headed to The Sobrato Center on Saturday where they will meet the San Francisco Dons (15-14).

The Santa Clara Broncos took the court against Gonzaga and ended up losing by a score of 94-86 in their last game. Santa Clara finished the game having earned a 46.2% FG percentage (30 of 65) and buried 9 of 24 shots from 3-point land. At the charity stripe, the Broncos knocked down 17 of their 21 attempts for a percentage of 81.0%. Regarding pulling down rebounds, they earned 32 with 9 of them being on the offensive end. They also dished out 14 assists in this game while creating 9 turnovers and earning 6 steals. When discussing defending, Santa Clara let their opponent shoot 56.3% from the field on 36 of 64 shooting. Gonzaga recorded 22 dimes and had 7 steals for the matchup. Additionally, Gonzaga pulled down 39 rebounds (11 offensive, 28 defensive), but didn't notch a block. Gonzaga finished shooting 65.5% when shooting free throws by converting 19 of 29 tries. They knocked down 3 of their 18 tries from three-point range. In the matter of personal fouls, the Broncos finished with 21 while Gonzaga finished the game with 16 personal fouls.

Christian Hammond is one guy who played a role in this contest. He finished shooting 50.0% from the floor and totaled 3 assists. He was on the court for 36 minutes and grabbed 3 rebounds. He accumulated 16 points on 7 of 14 shooting.

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Santa Clara steps onto the hardwood with a record of 22-6 this season. They are averaging 83.7 points per game (36th in the country) while hitting 47.4% from the field. The Broncos are hitting 34.0% on shots from downtown (275 of 808) and 73.2% from the charity stripe. As a team, Santa Clara is snagging 35.9 rebounds per game and has accounted for 481 dimes this year, which ranks 15th in Division 1 in terms of passing the rock. They lose possession by turning the ball over 11.3 times per contest and as a team are committing 19.6 fouls per contest.

On the defensive end, the Broncos are forcing 14.6 turnovers per contest while drawing 15.8 personal fouls. They rank 320th in the nation in giving up assists to the opposition with 415 conceded for the year. The Broncos defensively are allowing a field goal percentage of 44.8% (699 of 1,559) and they surrender 32.7 boards per contest as a group. They give up 32.2% on 3-point attempts and they rank 126th in college in opponents PPG (71.9).

In their last game, the San Francisco Dons walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 80-59 against Gonzaga. The Dons were able to corral 18 defensive rebounds and 8 offensive rebounds for a total of 26 in the matchup. They gave up possession of the ball 12 times, while getting 1 steal for the contest. Gonzaga had 17 personal fouls in the game which took the Dons to the charity stripe for 22 attempts. They were able to make 14 of them for a clip of 63.6%. In reference to three-point attempts, San Francisco converted 5 out of 24 tries (20.8%). Overall, the Dons finished 20 out of 56 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 35.7%. The Dons permitted Gonzaga to make 34 of 62 attempts from the field which had them shooting 54.8% for the matchup. They finished 29.4% from three-point range by shooting 5 of 17 and ended up going 7 out of 8 from the free throw line (87.5%). Regarding how they rebounded, San Francisco allowed Gonzaga to snag 32 overall (6 on the offensive glass).

Tyrone Riley IV ended up being a major contributor for the Dons in this matchup. He made 7 of 14 for this game giving him a rate of 50.0%, and had 2 rebounds. He totaled 16 points in his 37 minutes on the court and earned 1 assist in this contest.

San Francisco has a win-loss mark of 15-14 this season. The Dons have committed 17.2 fouls per game and they hit 71.7% from the charity stripe. They are assisting teammates 13.9 times per contest (186th in the nation) and they lose possession via turnover 10.9 times per contest. San Francisco has totaled 2,160 pts for the season (74.5 per game) and they pull in 36.7 rebounds per game. On the offensive side of the ball, the Dons are connecting on 43.5% from the floor, which is 282nd in D-1.

The San Francisco defense allows 34.0% on 3-pointers (208 of 611) and opponents are converting on 74.0% of their free throw attempts. They have given up 13.8 dimes and 33.0 total boards per game, which ranks them 212th and 97th in college. The Dons are ranked 155th in D-1 in points allowed per game with 73.0. They have forced 9.3 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 44.2% from the floor (191st in college hoops).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Santa Clara

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