Santa Clara Broncos vs St. Mary's Gaels Prediction, 2/25/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Santa Clara Broncos vs St. Mary's Gaels

Date: Wednesday, February 25, 2026

Location: University Credit Union Pavilion in Moraga, CA

TV: CBSSN

University Credit Union Pavilion is the site where the St. Mary's Gaels (25-4) will attempt to beat the Santa Clara Broncos (23-6) on Wednesday.

The Santa Clara Broncos played San Francisco and took home the win by a score of 94-73 in their last contest. When discussing personal fouls, the Broncos walked away with 19 and San Francisco totaled 13 personal fouls. They made 12 of their 29 tries from long range. San Francisco walked away from this one shooting 78.6% from the charity stripe by burying 11 of their 14 shots. On top of that, San Francisco had 20 rebounds (2 offensive, 18 defensive), but finished the game with no rejections. San Francisco doled out 12 dimes and had 8 steals for the matchup. In relation to the defense, Santa Clara let their opponent shoot 46.3% from the floor on 25 of 54 shooting. They also doled out 14 dimes in the game in addition to creating 17 turnovers and earning 14 steals. Concerning pulling down boards, they collected 33 with 10 of them being of the offensive variety. When they shot from the free throw line, the Broncos knocked down 13 of 14 attempts for a percentage of 92.9%. Santa Clara walked away from the game with a 48.6% field goal percentage (34 out of 70) and converted 13 of 31 3-pointers.

Elijah Mahi is someone who was important in this contest. He walked away from this one shooting 52.4% from the field and also recorded 2 assists. He saw the court for 34 minutes and also totaled 7 rebounds. He recorded 30 points on 11 out of 21 shooting.

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Santa Clara enters this one with a win-loss mark of 23-6 so far this year. They cough up possession 11.3 times per game and as a group they commit 19.6 fouls every game. As a team, Santa Clara is snagging 36.0 boards per contest and has 495 assists on the year, which ranks 17th in the nation in terms of passing the ball. The Broncos are connecting on 34.3% on 3-point shots (288 of 839) and 73.7% from the free throw line. They average 84.0 points per outing (29th in college hoops) while connecting on 47.4% from the floor.

On the defensive end of the court, the Broncos have forced 14.7 turnovers every game and they draw 15.7 fouls. They give up 32.6% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they are ranked 127th in D-1 in PPG allowed (72.0). The Broncos are giving up and opponent field goal percentage of 44.9% (724 of 1,613) and they relinquish 32.4 boards per game as a squad. They rank 314th in college hoops in giving up assists with 427 relinquished on the season.

In their last game, the St. Mary's Gaels got the victory with a final of 83-67 when they faced Washington State. Concerning how they cleaned up the glass, St. Mary's allowed Washington State to snag 19 in total (7 on the offensive glass). They finished 36.8% from beyond the arc by shooting 7 of 19 and ended up going 10 out of 13 from the free throw line (76.9%). The Gaels permitted Washington State to make 25 out of their 57 attempts from the field which left them with a rate of 43.9% for the game. Overall, the Gaels ended up shooting 32 out of 59 from the field which gave them a rate of 54.2%. With regard to 3-point shots, St. Mary's buried 10 out of 20 tries (50.0%). They were able to knock down 9 of those for a percentage of 75.0%. Washington State committed 14 personal fouls for the game which got the Gaels to the charity stripe for a total of 12 attempts. They also turned the ball over 10 times, while recording 8 steals in this matchup. The Gaels earned 24 defensive rebounds and 10 offensive boards totaling 34 for the matchup.

Joshua Dent pitched in for the Gaels in this matchup. He scored 22 points in his 40 mins of playing time and tallied 3 dimes in this matchup. He made 6 of 13 in the game for a field goal percentage of 46.2%, and had 3 rebounds.

St. Mary's has a win-loss mark of 25-4 for the campaign. As an offense, the Gaels are hitting on 46.5% from the field, which ranks them 111th in Division 1. St. Mary's has scored 2,275 points for the campaign (78.4 per contest) and they grab 39.9 rebounds per game. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 15.5 times per contest (91st in college hoops) and they turn the ball over 10.9 times per game. The Gaels commit 15.8 fouls every game and they go 80.4% from the charity stripe.

The St. Mary's defense allows 30.3% on shots from beyond the arc (186 of 614) and opponents are knocking down 72.6% of their shots from the free throw line. They relinquish 12.6 assists and 29.1 boards every game, which has them ranked 119th and 4th in the country. The Gaels defensively are ranked 8th in college in PPG allowed with 64.3. They are forcing 10.6 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 40.3% from the floor (26th in the nation).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take St. Mary's

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