Siena Saints vs Fairfield Stags Prediction, 2/27/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Siena Saints vs Fairfield Stags

Date: Friday, February 27, 2026

Location: Leo D. Mahoney Arena in Fairfield, CT

TV: ESPN+

Leo D. Mahoney Arena is the location where the Fairfield Stags (18-11) will attempt to defeat the Siena Saints (19-10) on Friday.

The Siena Saints took the court against St. Peter's and went home with a win by a final score of 72-63 in their last contest. Concerning personal fouls, the Saints ended up with 15 while St. Peter's recorded 21 personal fouls. They also buried 7 out of their 20 shots from downtown. St. Peter's finished 75.0% from the free throw line by converting 12 of 16 tries. Additionally, St. Peter's snagged 25 boards (10 offensive, 15 defensive), but couldn't earn a rejection. St. Peter's distributed 9 dimes and had 8 steals for the contest. When talking about defending, Siena allowed 40.0% from the field on 22 out of 55 shooting. They also distributed 11 assists in the game as well as forcing 7 turnovers and earning 4 steals. With respect to grabbing boards, they earned 30 with 8 of them being of the offensive sort. From the charity stripe, the Saints buried 28 of their 34 tries for a percentage of 82.4%. Siena ended the game having earned a 48.8% field goal percentage (21 out of 43) and converted 2 of their 6 shots from beyond the arc.

Gavin Doty is one player who played a role in the game. He shot 45.5% from the field and also earned 2 assists. He played 35 mins played and also collected 7 boards. He ended up scoring 21 points on 5 out of 11 shooting.

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Siena comes into this game with a mark of 19-10 for the year. They turn the ball over 10.4 times per game and as a team they are committing 14.2 fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Siena is grabbing 33.9 rebounds per game and has earned 385 assists this year, which has them ranked 211th in the country in terms of passing. The Saints are connecting on 30.2% on shots from downtown (153 of 506) and 75.5% from the charity stripe. They have an average of 71.1 pts per game (292nd in the nation) while hitting 46.7% from the floor.

When they are on defense, the Saints are forcing their opponents into 11.3 turnovers per game and they draw 16.6 fouls. They are 78th in D-1 in allowing assists to their opponents with 339 relinquished for the campaign. The Saints defensively are giving up a field goal percentage of 43.0% (688 of 1,601) and they surrender 30.8 boards per game as a squad. They are giving up 33.4% on three-point shots and they are 22nd in the nation in PPG allowed (66.4).

The last time they took the hardwood, the Fairfield Stags walked away with a victory by a final of 85-79 when they faced Quinnipiac. The Stags corralled 23 defensive boards and 11 offensive rebounds totaling 34 for the matchup. They also turned the ball over 10 times, while recording 7 steals in the game. Quinnipiac committed 19 fouls for this contest which took the Stags to the charity stripe for a total of 23 attempts. They were able to bury 20 of the free throws for a rate of 87.0%. In terms of shots from distance, Fairfield buried 3 of 12 tries (25.0%). Overall, the Stags ended up shooting 31 for 58 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 53.4%. The Stags permitted Quinnipiac to convert 29 of their 63 attempts from the field which had them sitting at 46.0% for the matchup. They shot 31.8% from three-point range by going 7 out of 22 and finished the game at 14 out of 27 at the free throw line (51.9%). In reference to rebounds, Fairfield allowed Quinnipiac to snag 32 in all (17 on the offensive side).

Braden Sparks ended up being important for the Stags for the contest. He knocked down 7 of 13 in this matchup for a field goal percentage of 53.8%, and tallied 2 rebounds. He accumulated 21 points in his 38 minutes on the court, but wasn't able to tally an assist.

Fairfield has a mark of 18-11 this year. The Stags are responsible for committing 15.4 fouls per game and they go 71.9% from the charity stripe. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 12.4 times per contest (295th in college) and they are turning it over 9.9 times per contest. Fairfield has accounted for 2,203 points so far this season (76.0 per game) and they average 38.2 boards per game. On the offensive side of the ball, the Stags are shooting 43.8% from the floor, which ranks 271st in the nation.

The Fairfield defense surrenders 34.4% on shots from beyond the perimeter (209 of 608) and their opponents are knocking down 74.7% of their foul shots. They concede 13.4 dimes and 34.5 rebounds every game, which is 188th and 196th in those categories. The Stags on the defensive side of the court are 150th in D-1 in points given up per game with 72.9. They have forced 11.4 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 45.0% from the floor (239th in Division 1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Siena

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