Siena Saints vs Merrimack Warriors Prediction, 3/10/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Siena Saints vs Merrimack Warriors

Date: Tuesday, March 10, 2026

Location: Jim Whelan Boardwalk Hall in Atlantic City, NJ

TV: ESPN2

The Merrimack Warriors (23-10) will take on the Siena Saints (22-11) at Jim Whelan Boardwalk Hall on Tuesday in the MAAC Championship.

The Siena Saints faced off with Fairfield and walked away with a win by a score of 76-61 in their last contest. In the matter of personal fouls, the Saints ended up finishing with 10 while Fairfield recorded 19 personal fouls. They buried 6 of their 23 attempts from beyond the perimeter. Fairfield finished 100.0% at the free throw line by burying 5 of their 5 attempts. In addition, Fairfield pulled down 34 boards (13 offensive, 21 defensive), but wasn't able to put a block in the stat sheet. Fairfield distributed 12 assists and had 6 steals for this game. When talking about defending, Siena let their opponent shoot 36.2% from the field on 25 out of 69 shooting. They also doled out 18 assists for this contest as well as forcing the other team into 5 turnovers and getting 3 steals. Regarding pulling down rebounds, they earned 38 with 9 of them being of the offensive variety. At the charity stripe, the Saints converted 19 of their 26 attempts for a rate of 73.1%. Siena wrapped up the contest having earned a 46.2% FG percentage (24 of 52) and knocked down 9 of 17 three-point shots.

Justice Shoats is one guy who came through in the matchup. He accounted for 26 points on 8 of 15 shooting. He played for 40 minutes and pulled down 3 boards. He finished the game at 53.3% from the floor and totaled 4 assists.

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Siena will play this contest with a record of 22-11 for the year. They are giving up possession 10.2 times per contest and as a team they are committing 13.8 fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Siena is pulling down 33.9 boards per game and is sitting with 443 dimes so far this year, which ranks 167th in D-1 in terms of passing. The Saints are connecting on 30.6% on 3-pointers (179 of 585) and 76.6% from the free throw line. They average 70.7 points per outing (291st in the country) while hitting 45.9% from the floor.

On the defensive end, the Saints have forced 11.2 turnovers every game and they draw 16.6 fouls. They currently rank 77th in college in giving up assists with 380 conceded on the campaign. The Saints defense is giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 42.6% (788 of 1,851) and they relinquish 31.8 boards per game as a group. They are giving up 32.8% on 3-point shots and they are 19th in the country in points per game allowed (66.0).

When they last stepped on the court, the Merrimack Warriors took home the win by a final score of 58-57 when they faced Marist. Regarding cleaning the glass, Merrimack permitted Marist to grab 33 in total (9 offensive). They went 36.4% from behind the 3-point line by going 4 of 11 and walked away from this one shooting 7 of 10 at the charity stripe (70.0%). The Warriors allowed Marist to knock down 23 out of their 54 tries from the field which gave them a percentage of 42.6% for this contest. When the game finished, the Warriors finished the game shooting 20 for 54 from the field which gave them a percentage of 37.0%. In the matter of shooting from 3-point land, Merrimack converted 5 of their 17 tries (29.4%). They were able to convert 13 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 76.5%. Marist was called for 14 personal fouls in this matchup which took the Warriors to the free throw line for a total of 17 tries. They also gave up possession 8 times, while recording 12 steals in the matchup. The Warriors pulled down 16 defensive boards and 6 offensive boards totaling 22 for this contest.

Tye Dorset ended up having an impact for the Warriors in this matchup. He buried 10 of 17 for the game giving him a field goal percentage of 58.8%, and accounted for 6 rebounds. He had 23 points in his 40 minutes on the hardwood and accumulated 2 assists for this game.

Merrimack has a win-loss record of 23-10 so far this year. The Warriors are committing 16.3 fouls per contest while shooting 78.8% from the free throw line. They are dishing out assists 12.5 times per game (284th in the nation) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 9.7 times per contest. Merrimack has accounted for 2,276 pts for the season (69.0 per contest) and they average 28.8 boards per contest. In terms of offensive execution, the Warriors are shooting 42.0% from the field, which has them ranked 326th in the country.

The Merrimack defense gives up 30.4% on shots from behind the 3-point line (181 of 595) and their opponents are knocking down 73.1% of their shots from the charity stripe. They surrender 13.1 dimes and 37.8 rebounds every game, which has them ranked 159th and 341st in college hoops. The Warriors on the defensive end are ranked 26th in the country in PPG given up with 66.5. They have forced 13.1 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 41.9% from the floor (57th in D-1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Siena

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