Siena Saints vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers Prediction, 1/11/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Siena Saints vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers

Date: Sunday, January 11, 2026

Location: Knott Arena in Emmitsburg, MD

TV: ESPN+

The Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers (5-11) will go up against the Siena Saints (10-5) at Knott Arena on Sunday.

The Siena Saints stepped onto the hardwood against Rider and notched a win by a score of 74-65 in their last contest. In the matter of personal fouls, the Saints ended up finishing with 13 while Rider recorded 15 personal fouls. They also converted 4 of 22 attempts from beyond the arc. Rider went 84.6% at the free throw line by converting 11 of 13 shots. Furthermore, Rider totaled 21 boards (8 offensive, 13 defensive), but wasn't able to record a rejection. Rider doled out 14 dimes and had 4 steals for the game. When discussing defense, Siena allowed their opponent to shoot 43.1% from the floor on 25 out of 58 shooting. They also recorded 14 dimes in this contest as well as forcing the other team into 6 turnovers and earning 3 steals. With respect to hauling in boards, they earned 39 with 17 of them being on the offensive end. When they shot from the free throw line, the Saints knocked down 16 of their 22 shots for a percentage of 72.7%. Siena ended the contest having earned a 46.4% field goal percentage (26 of 56) and buried 6 out of their 15 three-point shots.

Gavin Doty is one player who played a role in the matchup. He walked away from this one shooting 61.5% from the field and also distributed 5 dimes. He was on the court for 35 mins and pulled down 7 rebounds. He walked away with 19 points on 8 out of 13 shooting.

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Siena will enter this contest with a win-loss mark of 10-5 for the season. They average 70.0 pts per game (311th in D-1) while connecting on 44.7% from the floor. The Saints are shooting 28.9% on 3-pointers (76 of 263) and 72.0% from the charity stripe. As a team, Siena is grabbing 34.4 rebounds per game and has totaled 193 dimes this year, which has them ranked 297th in Division 1 in terms of passing the ball. They turn it over 10.7 times per contest and as a squad they are committing 14.1 fouls every game.

Defensively, the Saints are able to force 13.0 turnovers per contest and they draw 16.8 personal fouls. They are surrendering 29.9% on 3-pointers and they are 22nd in college in points per game allowed (65.3). The Saints defensively are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 44.6% (360 of 807) and they relinquish 31.2 boards per game as a group. They currently rank 24th in college in allowing assists to their opponents with 161 surrendered on the campaign.

The last time they took the court, the Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers took a defeat with a final score of 80-69 when they faced Quinnipiac. In relation to rebounding, Mount St. Mary's allowed Quinnipiac to pull down 33 overall (11 on the offensive side). They finished 36.8% from 3-point land by connecting on 7 out of 19 and finished the contest at 21 of 27 at the free throw line (77.8%). The Mountaineers permitted Quinnipiac to convert 26 of 57 tries from the field which left them with a shooting percentage of 45.6% in the matchup. At the conclusion of this game, the Mountaineers shot 25 out of 68 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 36.8%. In reference to shots from distance, Mount St. Mary's converted 11 out of 34 tries (32.4%). They were able to bury 8 of those for a percentage of 80.0%. Quinnipiac earned 11 personal fouls for the contest which took the Mountaineers to the charity stripe for a total of 10 attempts. They turned the ball over 12 times, while getting 6 steals in the game. The Mountaineers collected 16 defensive boards and 14 offensive boards for a total of 30 in the game.

Arlandus Keyes ended up being important for the Mountaineers in the game. He buried 6 of 16 for the contest giving him a field goal percentage of 37.5%, and had 4 rebounds. He had 17 points in his 28 mins of playing time and accumulated 3 assists for the contest.

Mount St. Mary's has a mark of 5-11 on the year. As an offense, the Mountaineers are connecting on 43.4% from the field, which ranks 277th in the nation. Mount St. Mary's has accounted for 1,091 points for the year (68.2 per contest) and they average 35.8 boards per game. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 14.8 times per game (153rd in D-1) and they turn it over 16.7 times per game. The Mountaineers are responsible for committing 18.9 fouls every game and they hit 64.7% from the free throw line.

The Mount St. Mary's defense surrenders 34.1% on three-point shots (143 of 419) and their opponents are converting on 75.6% of their shots from the free throw line. They give up 12.9 dimes and 33.8 boards every game, which is 162nd and 140th in college hoops. The Mountaineers on the defensive end are ranked 226th in the nation in points given up per game with 75.1. They are forcing 11.8 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 42.1% from the floor (104th in college hoops).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Siena

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