SMU Mustangs vs Duke Blue Devils Prediction, 1/10/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: SMU Mustangs vs Duke Blue Devils

Date: Saturday, January 10, 2026

Location: Cameron Indoor Stadium in Durham, NC

TV: ESPN

Cameron Indoor Stadium is where the Duke Blue Devils (14-1) will attempt to defeat the SMU Mustangs (12-3) on Saturday.

The SMU Mustangs stepped onto the hardwood against Clemson and took a loss by a score of 74-70 in their last contest. SMU walked away from the game having earned a 37.3% FG percentage (19 out of 51) and converted 6 out of their 17 shots from downtown. At the charity stripe, the Mustangs made 26 of their 29 tries for a rate of 89.7%. In reference to getting rebounds, they compiled 34 with 10 of them being of the offensive sort. They also doled out 10 assists for the matchup in addition to forcing the other team into 8 turnovers and having 5 steals. In the matter of defense, SMU allowed the other team to shoot 42.9% from the floor on 24 of 56 shooting. Clemson recorded 13 assists and had 6 steals in this game. In addition, Clemson totaled 32 boards (10 offensive, 22 defensive), but wasn't able to record a rejection. Clemson walked away from this one shooting 70.8% at the free throw line by converting 17 of their 24 tries. They knocked down 9 of 31 shots from 3-point range. When talking about personal fouls, the Mustangs ended up with 23 while Clemson had 20 personal fouls.

Kevin Miller is one player who played a role in the matchup. He finished shooting 33.3% from the floor and dished out 3 dimes. He was on the hardwood for 39 minutes and also pulled down 8 rebounds. He notched 23 points on 5 out of 15 shooting.

Get all of our NCAA Picks Today

SMU will enter this contest with a mark of 12-3 for the season. They average 90.1 pts per game (18th in D-1) on 49.8% from the floor. The Mustangs are hitting 35.8% on shots from downtown (119 of 332) and 77.4% from the free throw line. As a unit, SMU is collecting 39.3 boards per contest and has earned 280 dimes for the campaign, which has them ranked 31st in the nation in terms of passing the rock. They lose possession via turnover 11.4 times per game and as a team they commit 17.5 fouls per game.

On the defensive end, the Mustangs have forced 14.1 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 19.7 personal fouls. They give up 30.9% on 3-point shots and they are ranked 265th in college in PPG from their opponents (76.7). The Mustangs defensively are giving up a FG percentage of 42.3% (398 of 942) and they concede 34.7 boards per contest as a squad. They are ranked 293rd in Division 1 in allowing assists with 236 surrendered so far this season.

When they last stepped on the court, the Duke Blue Devils took home the win by a final score of 84-73 when they faced Louisville. In relation to rebounding, Duke permitted Louisville to pull down 37 in total (10 on the offensive side). They shot 31.6% from distance by connecting on 12 of 38 and ended up going 9 out of 12 from the free throw line (75.0%). The Blue Devils permitted Louisville to make 26 of their 65 tries from the floor which gave them a percentage of 40.0% for the matchup. Overall, the Blue Devils finished the game shooting 29 for 57 from the field which had them shooting 50.9%. In relation to shooting from beyond the arc, Duke made 7 of 23 attempts (30.4%). They were able to bury 19 of those for a clip of 67.9%. Louisville was called for 20 personal fouls for the game which took the Blue Devils to the free throw line for a total of 28 attempts. They gave up possession of the ball 12 times, while getting 11 steals in this contest. The Blue Devils snagged 30 defensive rebounds and 6 offensive rebounds totaling 36 for this contest.

Cameron Boozer ended up being important for the Blue Devils in the game. He racked up 27 points in his 39 minutes on the hardwood and had 4 assists for this game. He converted 10 of 12 for the game for a field goal rate of 83.3%, and totaled 8 rebounds.

Duke has a record of 14-1 for the year. As an offensive team, the Blue Devils are hitting on 49.8% from the field, which has them ranked 28th in the nation. Duke has 1,306 pts for the year (87.1 per game) and they grab 41.2 rebounds per game. They are earning an assist 17.7 times per contest (35th in the country) and they turn it over 11.6 times per contest. The Blue Devils are committing 16.9 personal fouls per game while shooting 71.4% from the free throw line.

The Blue Devils on the defensive side of the court are 33rd in the country in PPG given up with 66.0. They have forced 13.5 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 38.6% from the floor (19th in college hoops). The Duke defense allows 30.4% on shots from 3-point land (123 of 404) and opponents are knocking down 71.9% of their foul shots. They relinquish 12.7 assists and 31.3 boards every game, which ranks them 131st and 46th in those defensive categories.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take SMU

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get college basketball picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.