South Alabama Jaguars vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Prediction, 2/14/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: South Alabama Jaguars vs Arkansas State Red Wolves

Date: Saturday, February 14, 2026

Location: First National Bank Arena in Jonesboro, AR

TV: ESPN+

The South Alabama Jaguars (17-7) are en route to First National Bank Arena on Saturday where they will take on the Arkansas State Red Wolves (16-10).

The South Alabama Jaguars played Buffalo and went home with a win by a final score of 81-69 in their last game. South Alabama ended the game having earned a 52.8% field goal percentage (28 out of 53) and knocked down 10 of 21 shots from beyond the arc. From the free throw line, the Jaguars made 15 of 24 attempts for a percentage of 62.5%. When it comes to getting rebounds, they collected 28 with 4 of them being offensive. They also dished out 14 dimes for the contest as well as forcing the opposition into 14 turnovers and getting 9 steals. Regarding defending, South Alabama allowed 38.1% from the field on 24 of 63 shooting. Buffalo earned 17 assists and had 8 steals in this game. Moreover, Buffalo snagged 31 boards (8 offensive, 23 defensive), but couldn't earn a rejection. Buffalo shot 66.7% from the free throw line by making 4 of 6 shots. They made 17 of their 46 tries from beyond the arc. Regarding fouls, the Jaguars walked away with 9 and Buffalo totaled 16 fouls.

Adam Olsen is a player who was a major contributor in the game. He finished the game at 54.5% from the floor and also recorded 1 assist. He was on the hardwood for 36 minutes played and also grabbed 2 rebounds. He notched 23 points on 6 out of 11 shooting.

Get all of our NCAA Picks Today

South Alabama enters this one with a win-loss mark of 17-7 for the year. They are giving up possession 8.8 times per game and as a unit they commit 11.6 personal fouls every game. As a unit, South Alabama is pulling down 36.2 boards per contest and has accounted for 275 assists for the year, which is 341st in D-1 in terms of passing the rock. The Jaguars are shooting 33.6% on 3-pointers (156 of 464) and 66.2% from the charity stripe. They average 73.1 points per outing (258th in the country) while hitting 46.4% from the floor.

On defense, the Jaguars are forcing 12.5 turnovers per game and they draw 17.0 personal fouls. They are conceding 31.2% on 3-point shots and they are ranked 40th in Division 1 in PPG allowed (67.7). The Jaguars defense is giving up a field goal percentage of 37.7% (556 of 1,475) and they surrender 36.8 rebounds per game as a group. They are 325th in college hoops in allowing assists to the opposition with 392 conceded for the year.

For their last game, the Arkansas State Red Wolves took home the win by a final score of 103-70 when they played UL Monroe. In reference to cleaning the glass, Arkansas State allowed UL Monroe to grab 27 in total (9 on the offensive side). They finished the game shooting 35.7% from beyond the arc by going 10 out of 28 and finished the contest at 16 out of 26 at the free throw line (61.5%). The Red Wolves allowed UL Monroe to knock down 22 of 60 tries from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 36.7% for this contest. When the final whistle blew, the Red Wolves shot 41 out of 75 from the field which had them at 54.7%. Concerning shots from downtown, Arkansas State made 13 out of 32 tries (40.6%). They were able to bury 8 of the free throw attempts for a clip of 50.0%. UL Monroe was called for 12 fouls in the matchup which got the Red Wolves to the free throw line for a total of 16 shots. They turned it over 10 times, while getting 9 steals in this contest. The Red Wolves snagged 33 defensive rebounds and 18 offensive boards totaling 51 for the game.

Christian Harmon pitched in for the Red Wolves for the contest. He recorded 21 points in his 23 mins on the court and totaled 4 dimes for the matchup. He knocked down 7 out of 14 in this matchup giving him a rate of 50.0%, and added 5 rebounds.

Arkansas State has a win-loss record of 16-10 so far this season. As an offensive unit, the Red Wolves are connecting on 45.1% from the floor, which is ranked 185th in the nation. Arkansas State has accounted for 2,139 pts so far this season (82.3 per game) and they pull down 40.5 rebounds per contest. They are dishing out assists 15.7 times per contest (86th in college hoops) and they turn it over 14.0 times per game. The Red Wolves commit 18.8 fouls per game and they go 74.5% from the charity stripe.

The Arkansas State defense surrenders 31.6% on shots from distance (193 of 611) and their opponents are converting on 70.3% of their foul shots. They give up 13.4 dimes and 33.1 boards per game, which is ranked 187th and 103rd in D-1. The Red Wolves on the defensive end are ranked 268th in college in points allowed per game with 77.0. They have forced 12.0 TO's every game and have allowed teams to shoot 44.6% from the field (223rd in D-1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take South Alabama

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get college basketball picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.