Southern Jaguars vs SMU Mustangs Prediction, 11/2/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Southern Jaguars vs SMU Mustangs

Date: Monday, November 2, 2026

Location: Moody Coliseum (Dallas) in Dallas, TX

TV: ESPN+

Moody Coliseum (Dallas) is the location where the SMU Mustangs (20-14 last year) will take on the Southern Jaguars (17-17 last season) on Monday.

The Southern Jaguars played Prairie View A&M and took a loss by a score of 72-66 in their last game. In relation to fouls, the Jaguars ended up finishing with 15 while Prairie View A&M totaled 11 fouls. They also converted 9 of their 18 shots from long range. Prairie View A&M walked away from this one shooting 75.0% when shooting free throws by making 9 of their 12 attempts. Moreover, Prairie View A&M pulled down 31 rebounds (5 offensive, 26 defensive), but wrapped up the game with no rejections. Prairie View A&M dished out 14 assists and had 8 steals for the contest. In reference to defense, Southern allowed their opponent to shoot 45.0% from the floor on 27 out of 60 shooting. They also recorded 20 assists for this contest while creating 17 turnovers and having 13 steals. When talking about grabbing rebounds, they collected a total of 34 with 12 of them being of the offensive variety. From the free throw line, the Jaguars made 15 of 19 shots for a rate of 78.9%. Southern walked away from the game with a 37.1% field goal percentage (23 of 62) and made 5 of their 19 shots from beyond the perimeter.

Michael Jacobs is one guy who was a major factor in this contest. He accumulated 19 points on 7 of 17 shooting. He played for 35 mins and also pulled down 4 rebounds. He ended up shooting 41.2% from the field and also recorded 9 assists.

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Southern will enter this matchup after finishing with a mark of 17-17 last year. They had an average of 79.6 pts per game (87th in Division 1) while hitting 45.3% from the floor. The Jaguars shot 34.9% on shots beyond the perimeter (237 of 679) and 69.8% from the free throw line. As a team, Southern collected 35.6 rebounds per game and tallied 511 dimes over the course of last season, which had them ranked 93rd in D-1 in terms of passing the ball. They lost possession by turning the ball over 11.9 times per game and as a team committed 18.7 fouls per contest.

When they were on defense, the Jaguars forced 14.6 turnovers per game while drawing 18.9 personal fouls. They surrendered 35.2% on shots from distance and they were 299th in college in PPG allowed (77.9). The Jaguars defensively gave up a FG percentage of 45.2% (888 of 1,965) and they surrendered 35.3 boards per game as a team. They were 263rd in college hoops in allowing assists to the opposition with 475 surrendered last season.

The last time they took the hardwood, the SMU Mustangs went home defeated by a final of 89-79 against Miami. The Mustangs collected 21 defensive boards and 10 offensive rebounds totaling 31 for the contest. They also turned the ball over 6 times, while getting 4 steals for the game. Miami was called for 17 fouls in this game which took the Mustangs to the free throw line for a total of 15 shots. They were able to bury 12 of those for a percentage of 80.0%. When talking about shots from distance, SMU buried 5 of 21 tries (23.8%). In all, the Mustangs ended up going 31 out of 65 from the field which gave them a percentage of 47.7%. The Mustangs allowed Miami to convert 29 of 64 attempts from the floor which gave them a percentage of 45.3% for this contest. They finished the game shooting 39.0% from 3-point land by going 16 out of 41 and ended up shooting 15 of 22 at the charity stripe (68.2%). When discussing how they attacked the glass, SMU permitted Miami to collect 32 in all (11 offensive).

Jaden Toombs ended up being important for the Mustangs in the matchup. He buried 8 of 10 for this game for a rate of 80.0%, and tallied 11 rebounds. He tallied 20 points in his 35 mins of playing time and had 1 assist in this matchup.

SMU had a mark of 20-14 last season. The Mustangs were responsible for committing 17.0 personal fouls every game and they shot 74.3% from the charity stripe. They dished out assists 16.9 times per contest (31st in D-1) and they coughed up possession 11.1 times per game. SMU earned 2,858 pts last season (84.1 per contest) and they collected 37.6 rebounds per game. As an offense, the Mustangs shot 49.0% from the floor, which was ranked 21st in college.

The Mustangs were ranked 299th in the nation in points per game surrendered with 77.9. They forced 12.0 TO's every game and allowed teams to shoot 43.5% from the field (133rd in college). The SMU defense allowed 34.1% on three-point shots (341 of 1001) and their opposition made 71.7% of their shots from the free throw line. They allowed 16.1 assists and 34.1 rebounds per contest, which was ranked 254th and 158th in those categories on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Southern

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