Southern Jaguars vs Texas Southern Tigers Prediction, 2/16/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Southern Jaguars vs Texas Southern Tigers

Date: Monday, February 16, 2026

Location: H&PE Arena in Houston, TX

TV: ESPN+

H&PE Arena is the site where the Texas Southern Tigers (7-15) will try to beat the Southern Jaguars (11-13) on Monday.

The Southern Jaguars stepped onto the hardwood against Alabama State and walked away with a win by a score of 69-68 in their last game. With respect to personal fouls, the Jaguars ended up finishing with 15 and Alabama State finished the game with 19 personal fouls. They also converted 9 out of their 22 tries from distance. Alabama State finished the contest at 65.2% from the free throw line by burying 15 of 23 shots. Furthermore, Alabama State grabbed 39 rebounds (12 offensive, 27 defensive), but didn't have a block. Alabama State distributed 9 dimes and had 6 steals for the matchup. Pertaining to defense, Southern let their opponent shoot 41.5% from the field on 22 out of 53 shooting. They also recorded 11 assists for the matchup as well as creating 17 turnovers and earning 13 steals. When discussing rebounding, they compiled 31 with 10 of them being of the offensive variety. At the free throw line, the Jaguars converted 19 of their 25 attempts for a percentage of 76.0%. Southern finished having earned a 38.6% FG percentage (22 out of 57) and made 6 of their 23 3-pointers.

AJ Barnes is a guy who was a major contributor in this game. He accounted for 12 points on 5 of 9 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 30 minutes played and collected 5 boards. He finished 55.6% from the floor but had no assists when the game ended.

Get all of our NCAA Picks Tonight

Southern will play this contest with a mark of 11-13 on the year. They are averaging 80.3 pts per contest (96th in college) while connecting on 45.3% from the field. The Jaguars are shooting 33.2% on shots from distance (164 of 494) and 69.5% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Southern is pulling down 36.2 boards per game and is sitting with 353 dimes on the campaign, which has them ranked 185th in D-1 in terms of passing the ball. They are giving up possession 12.3 times per contest and as a unit are committing 19.2 fouls per game.

On defense, the Jaguars are forcing 15.4 turnovers every game and they draw 19.1 personal fouls. They are conceding 35.5% on shots from downtown and they are 302nd in college hoops in points per game allowed (78.5). The Jaguars defense is giving up a FG percentage of 44.9% (623 of 1,387) and they concede 36.1 boards per game as a unit. They are 200th in college in giving up assists to their opponents with 340 relinquished on the year.

When they last stepped on the court, the Texas Southern Tigers took a loss by a final score of 79-69 when they faced Bethune-Cookman. In regard to attacking the glass, Texas Southern allowed Bethune-Cookman to grab 39 in all (12 on the offensive side). They finished 36.4% from distance by connecting on 8 of 22 and ended up going 23 of 35 at the free throw line (65.7%). The Tigers permitted Bethune-Cookman to make 24 of their 62 attempts from the floor which had them sitting at 38.7% in the matchup. At the conclusion of this game, the Tigers went 21 for 60 from the field which had them sitting at 35.0%. In the matter of three-point attempts, Texas Southern converted 5 of 23 attempts (21.7%). They were able to knock down 22 of them for a percentage of 75.9%. Bethune-Cookman had 17 fouls in the game which got the Tigers to the charity stripe for a total of 29 attempts. They coughed up the ball 11 times, while getting 6 steals in this matchup. The Tigers were able to collect 25 defensive boards and 10 offensive boards totaling 35 in the matchup.

Bryce Roberts was important for the Tigers in the game. He recorded 16 points in his 43 minutes on the court and tallied 1 assist for the matchup. He made 5 of 12 for this game for a rate of 41.7%, but didn't pull down a board.

Texas Southern has a mark of 7-15 so far this year. On the offensive side of the ball, the Tigers are connecting on 44.6% from the field, which is 222nd in the nation. Texas Southern has scored 1,634 points on the season (74.3 per contest) and they pull in 34.6 rebounds per game. They are earning an assist 10.4 times per contest (358th in college hoops) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 14.0 times per contest. The Tigers are responsible for committing 20.0 fouls every game and they hit 71.0% from the free throw line.

The Texas Southern defense allows 33.5% on shots from beyond the arc (180 of 537) and their opposition makes 71.4% of their free throw attempts. They surrender 14.2 dimes and 36.0 rebounds every game, which has them ranked 246th and 270th in the country. The Tigers defensively are ranked 322nd in college in PPG given up with 79.6. They are able to force 12.5 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 45.1% from the floor (251st in college).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Texas Southern

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get college basketball picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.