Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs UT Arlington Mavericks Prediction, 2/14/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs UT Arlington Mavericks

Date: Saturday, February 14, 2026

Location: College Park Center in Arlington, TX

TV: ESPN+

The UT Arlington Mavericks (14-9) will take on the Southern Utah Thunderbirds (8-16) at College Park Center on Saturday.

The Southern Utah Thunderbirds faced off with Tarleton State and took a loss by a score of 62-59 in their last contest. When discussing fouls, the Thunderbirds walked away with 14 while Tarleton State racked up 15 fouls. They also made 4 of their 11 attempts from distance. Tarleton State finished the game at 66.7% when shooting free throws by making 8 of their 12 shots. Furthermore, Tarleton State grabbed 30 rebounds (7 offensive, 23 defensive), but wrapped up the game with no rejections. Tarleton State recorded 6 dimes and had 11 steals in this game. In the matter of the defense, Southern Utah allowed 44.6% from the floor on 25 of 56 shooting. They also doled out 14 dimes in this contest in addition to forcing the opposition into 16 turnovers and earning 11 steals. Pertaining to grabbing rebounds, they earned 36 with 14 of them being of the offensive variety. From the free throw line, the Thunderbirds made 7 of their 8 shots for a rate of 87.5%. Southern Utah finished the contest with a 36.1% field goal percentage (22 of 61) and buried 8 out of their 23 shots from downtown.

Elijah Duval is a player who was a contributor in this matchup. He accounted for 18 points on 6 of 17 shooting. He played for 35 mins and also collected 4 boards. He finished 35.3% from the field and distributed 7 dimes.

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Southern Utah steps onto the hardwood with a win-loss record of 8-16 on the season. They are averaging 76.4 points per game (174th in the country) while shooting 45.5% from the floor. The Thunderbirds are connecting on 33.7% on shots from distance (179 of 531) and 73.2% from the free throw line. As a unit, Southern Utah is snagging 36.5 rebounds per game and has accumulated 338 dimes on the year, which has them ranked 207th in college hoops in terms of passing. They are turning it over 14.3 times per game and as a squad are committing 16.3 personal fouls every game.

On defense, the Thunderbirds are forcing their opponents into 11.2 turnovers per game while drawing 17.3 fouls. They rank 186th in D-1 in giving up assists to their opponents with 333 relinquished so far this season. The Thunderbirds defensively are allowing and opponent field goal percentage of 45.8% (712 of 1,553) and they relinquish 37.0 boards per game as a unit. They are giving up 36.7% on shots from beyond the arc while they are 323rd in D-1 in points per game allowed (79.7).

The last time they took the court, the UT Arlington Mavericks went home defeated by a final of 81-60 against Utah Valley. In the matter of rebounds, UT Arlington permitted Utah Valley to get 23 in total (9 on the offensive side). They went 47.8% from three-point range by hitting 11 out of 23 and ended up going 20 out of 22 from the charity stripe (90.9%). The Mavericks permitted Utah Valley to convert 25 out of their 48 tries from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 52.1% for this game. When all was said and done, the Mavericks finished shooting 20 out of 39 from the floor which gave them a rate of 51.3%. With regard to shots from downtown, UT Arlington converted 1 out of their 9 tries (11.1%). They were able to convert 19 of those for a rate of 67.9%. Utah Valley committed 23 fouls in the matchup which took the Mavericks to the charity stripe for 28 shots. They turned it over 14 times, while earning 7 steals for the matchup. The Mavericks snagged 14 defensive boards and 7 offensive rebounds totaling 21 in this game.

Tyran Mason pitched in for the Mavericks for the contest. He made 8 of 15 for this contest for a field goal percentage of 53.3%, and added 2 rebounds. He totaled 20 points in his 28 minutes on the hardwood and tallied 2 dimes for this game.

UT Arlington has a win-loss mark of 14-9 for the campaign. The Mavericks are responsible for committing 19.4 personal fouls per game and they go 72.1% from the free throw line. They are earning an assist 12.9 times per contest (272nd in the country) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 14.1 times per contest. UT Arlington has totaled 1,668 pts so far this season (72.5 per contest) and they snag 37.6 rebounds per contest. As an offense, the Mavericks are connecting on 44.8% from the field, which is ranked 208th in the country.

The Mavericks on the defensive end are ranked 41st in D-1 in points given up per game with 67.7. They have forced 12.9 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 42.2% from the floor (81st in college). The UT Arlington defense gives up 27.4% on shots from distance (104 of 380) and their opposition knocks down 70.6% of their shots from the charity stripe. They concede 11.7 dimes and 30.8 rebounds per contest, ranking them 50th and 21st in the country.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Southern Utah

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