Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs UT Arlington Mavericks Prediction, 3/12/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Southern Utah Thunderbirds vs UT Arlington Mavericks

Date: Thursday, March 12, 2026

Location: Orleans Arena in Las Vegas, NV

TV: ESPN+

Orleans Arena is the location where the UT Arlington Mavericks (17-13) will try to beat the Southern Utah Thunderbirds (10-21) on Thursday in the WAC Tournament.

The Southern Utah Thunderbirds faced California Baptist and took a loss by a score of 82-75 in their last contest. When discussing personal fouls, the Thunderbirds left the arena with 19 and California Baptist accounted for 20 personal fouls. They converted 6 out of their 16 tries from beyond the perimeter. California Baptist ended up going 66.7% from the charity stripe by making 12 of 18 tries. In addition, California Baptist had 33 rebounds (9 offensive, 24 defensive), but wasn't able to put a block in the stat sheet. California Baptist earned 13 dimes and had 2 steals for the matchup. In the matter of the defense, Southern Utah allowed their opponent to shoot 53.3% from the field on 32 of 60 shooting. They also dished out 10 dimes for the matchup as well as forcing the other team into 10 turnovers and having 8 steals. When discussing hauling in boards, they collected 24 with 7 of them being on the offensive end. From the free throw line, the Thunderbirds made 21 of their 26 shots for a rate of 80.8%. Southern Utah ended the game with a 44.6% FG percentage (25 out of 56) and knocked down 4 of their 19 three-point attempts.

Elijah Duval is one player who was a major contributor in the game. He ended up walking away with 30 points on 11 out of 17 shooting. He saw the court for 36 mins and snagged 4 rebounds. He ended up shooting 64.7% from the field and also totaled 4 assists.

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Southern Utah will play this contest with a record of 10-21 on the year. They are turning it over 14.2 times per contest and as a team they are committing 16.6 fouls per contest. As a team, Southern Utah is pulling down 35.7 boards per contest and has accounted for 438 dimes for the campaign, which is 189th in D-1 in terms of passing the ball. The Thunderbirds are shooting 34.9% on shots from beyond the arc (231 of 661) and 72.2% from the free throw line. They are averaging 76.7 pts per game (157th in college) while connecting on 46.3% from the field.

When they are on the defensive end, the Thunderbirds are able to force 10.9 turnovers every game and they draw 17.8 personal fouls. They concede 36.7% on shots from beyond the perimeter and they rank 326th in the nation in points per game allowed (79.8). The Thunderbirds defensively are giving up an opponent FG percentage of 46.7% (921 of 1,971) and they concede 35.6 rebounds per game as a unit. They rank 180th in the nation in allowing assists to the opposition with 421 conceded for the season.

The last time they took the court, the UT Arlington Mavericks walked away with a victory by a final of 64-57 when they faced Abilene Christian. In regard to how they attacked the glass, UT Arlington allowed Abilene Christian to collect 24 in total (5 on the offensive side). They finished the game shooting 11.8% from 3-point land by connecting on 2 of 17 and walked away from this one shooting 13 out of 17 at the charity stripe (76.5%). The Mavericks permitted Abilene Christian to make 21 out of their 53 tries from the field which had them at 39.6% in this contest. In all, the Mavericks shot 18 out of 48 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 37.5%. In the matter of shooting from downtown, UT Arlington made 4 out of their 7 attempts (57.1%). They were able to knock down 24 of the free throws for a rate of 82.8%. Abilene Christian was called for 24 personal fouls for the matchup which took the Mavericks to the free throw line for 29 tries. They coughed it up 15 times, while getting 5 steals for the contest. The Mavericks were able to collect 27 defensive rebounds and 10 offensive boards for a total of 37 in this game.

Casmir Chavis ended up being a major contributor for the Mavericks for this game. He made 4 of 14 in this matchup for a field goal percentage of 28.6%, and accounted for 6 rebounds. He had 16 points in his 28 mins of playing time and had 1 assist in the matchup.

UT Arlington has a record of 17-13 this season. When it comes to offensive execution, the Mavericks are shooting 44.0% from the field, which ranks 256th in the nation. UT Arlington has accumulated 2,106 pts this season (70.2 per game) and they collect 36.9 rebounds per game. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 12.0 times per contest (318th in college) and they are turning it over 14.1 times per game. The Mavericks are responsible for committing 18.9 personal fouls per contest while shooting 71.8% from the charity stripe.

The Mavericks on the defensive end are ranked 28th in the nation in PPG allowed with 66.8. They are able to force 12.5 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 42.1% from the floor (62nd in the nation). The UT Arlington defense allows 26.8% on shots from beyond the arc (136 of 507) and their opponents are connecting on 70.3% of their foul shots. They have conceded 11.4 dimes and 31.5 rebounds per game, which ranks them 36th and 35th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Southern Utah

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