St. Thomas Tommies vs Denver Pioneers Prediction, 2/21/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: St. Thomas Tommies vs Denver Pioneers

Date: Saturday, February 21, 2026

Location: Hamilton Gymnasium in Denver, CO

TV: ESPN+

The St. Thomas Tommies (21-7) are on their way to Hamilton Gymnasium on Saturday where they will try to defeat the Denver Pioneers (13-15).

The St. Thomas Tommies stepped onto the hardwood against UMKC and took home the win by a score of 104-64 in their last contest. St. Thomas finished the game having earned a 58.0% field goal percentage (40 out of 69) and knocked down 14 out of their 29 shots from beyond the perimeter. At the free throw line, the Tommies buried 10 of 16 shots for a rate of 62.5%. In relation to hauling in boards, they earned a total of 32 with 10 of them being on the offensive end. They also doled out 23 assists in this game while forcing the opposition into 11 turnovers and having 5 steals. In the matter of the defense, St. Thomas allowed 44.6% from the field on 29 out of 65 shooting. UMKC dished out 15 assists and had 5 steals in this contest. On top of that, UMKC collected 24 rebounds (6 offensive, 18 defensive), but couldn't earn a rejection. UMKC walked away from this one shooting 100.0% when shooting free throws by knocking down 2 of 2 shots. They also knocked down 4 of their 25 shots from downtown. In the matter of fouls, the Tommies ended up finishing with 11 and UMKC recorded 16 fouls.

Nolan Minessale is one player who was a major factor for the contest. He walked away from this one shooting 50.0% from the floor and totaled 5 dimes. He was on the hardwood for 24 minutes and also collected 7 rebounds. He racked up 25 points on 9 of 18 shooting.

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St. Thomas steps onto the hardwood with a mark of 21-7 this year. They cough up possession 9.5 times per contest and as a unit they are committing 15.6 fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, St. Thomas is snagging 33.0 boards per game and is sitting with 479 assists on the campaign, which is 19th in Division 1 in terms of passing the rock. The Tommies are shooting 36.8% on shots from 3-point land (274 of 745) and 69.1% from the free throw line. They have an average of 83.9 points per contest (33rd in college) while shooting 51.2% from the floor.

On the defensive end of the court, the Tommies are forcing their opponents into 12.5 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 18.0 fouls. They are surrendering 31.2% on shots from distance and they are ranked 146th in college hoops in opponents PPG (72.7). The Tommies defense is giving up a field goal percentage of 43.7% (733 of 1,678) and they relinquish 34.3 boards per game as a unit. They are currently ranked 296th in the country in giving up assists with 399 conceded for the year.

When they last stepped on the court, the Denver Pioneers took a loss by a score of 83-76 when they played Omaha. The Pioneers were able to snag 21 defensive boards and 13 offensive rebounds totaling 34 for this contest. They coughed up the ball 10 times, while recording 4 steals for the game. Omaha was called for 13 fouls in this contest which got the Pioneers to the free throw line for a total of 7 attempts. They were able to knock down 6 of the free throw tries for a clip of 85.7%. In terms of shots from downtown, Denver converted 8 of their 26 attempts (30.8%). At the conclusion of this game, the Pioneers shot 31 for 67 from the field which had them shooting 46.3%. The Pioneers allowed Omaha to make 31 of their 57 attempts from the floor which had them shooting 54.4% for the contest. They went 57.9% from beyond the arc by connecting on 11 of 19 and ended up shooting 10 of 12 from the charity stripe (83.3%). When it comes to how they attacked the glass, Denver allowed Omaha to get 22 in all (1 on the offensive side).

Logan Kinsey was important for the Pioneers in this matchup. He accumulated 22 points in his 33 minutes on the court and accounted for 1 assist in the game. He buried 9 of 18 for this contest for a rate of 50.0%, and tallied 5 rebounds.

Denver has a record of 13-15 on the season. In terms of offensive execution, the Pioneers are hitting on 48.3% from the field, which ranks 35th in the nation. Denver has tallied 2,331 points so far this season (83.3 per contest) and they grab 34.5 rebounds per game. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 11.5 times per contest (333rd in college) and they lose possession via turnover 10.1 times per game. The Pioneers are committing 17.4 fouls every game and they go 77.4% from the charity stripe.

The Pioneers defensively are ranked 352nd in D-1 in PPG given up with 82.7. They are forcing their opponents into 8.9 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 48.3% from the floor (352nd in D-1). The Denver defense gives up 36.9% on shots from beyond the perimeter (239 of 648) and their opponents are converting on 69.7% of their shots from the free throw line. They allow 12.9 dimes and 34.1 boards per contest, which has them ranked 135th and 159th in D-1.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take St. Thomas

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