St. Thomas Tommies vs South Dakota State Jackrabbits Prediction, 2/4/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: St. Thomas Tommies vs South Dakota State Jackrabbits

Date: Wednesday, February 4, 2026

Location: First Bank & Trust Arena in Brookings, SD

TV: ESPN+

First Bank & Trust Arena is where the South Dakota State Jackrabbits (11-12) will take on the St. Thomas Tommies (18-6) on Wednesday.

The St. Thomas Tommies played UMKC and went home with a win by a final score of 99-64 in their last game. When discussing personal fouls, the Tommies ended up finishing with 13 while UMKC recorded 10 personal fouls. They converted 5 of their 24 tries from beyond the perimeter. UMKC walked away from this one shooting 75.0% from the free throw line by burying 9 of their 12 shots. Furthermore, UMKC grabbed 26 boards (6 offensive, 20 defensive), but finished the game with no rejections. UMKC recorded 14 dimes and had 7 steals for this game. In the matter of defense, St. Thomas allowed 34.2% from the floor on 25 of 73 shooting. They also recorded 27 assists for the contest in addition to forcing 14 turnovers and earning 10 steals. Pertaining to pulling down boards, they earned 31 with 7 of them being offensive. At the free throw line, the Tommies made 7 of 9 attempts for a rate of 77.8%. St. Thomas walked away from the game having earned a 56.1% FG percentage (37 of 66) and made 18 of 39 3-point attempts.

Carter Bjerke is a guy who played a role in this contest. He went 71.4% from the floor and distributed 1 assist. He played for 23 minutes and totaled 4 boards. He accumulated 30 points on 10 of 14 shooting.

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St. Thomas heads into this matchup with a win-loss mark of 18-6 for the campaign. They are giving up possession 10.0 times per contest and as a unit they are committing 15.7 fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, St. Thomas is collecting 33.1 rebounds per game and is sitting with 416 dimes on the season, which has them ranked 11th in the nation in terms of passing. The Tommies are hitting 36.0% on shots from downtown (227 of 630) and 70.1% from the free throw line. They average 82.6 points per contest (65th in D-1) on 50.5% from the field.

Defensively, the Tommies are forcing 12.8 turnovers every game and they draw 17.9 personal fouls. They are relinquishing 32.6% on 3-point shots and they are ranked 146th in D-1 in PPG allowed (72.3). The Tommies are allowing a FG percentage of 43.5% (621 of 1,429) and they surrender 34.2 boards per contest as a squad. They are 304th in college hoops in allowing assists to their opponents with 342 relinquished this season.

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the South Dakota State Jackrabbits walked away with a victory by a final of 95-72 against Oral Roberts. The Jackrabbits recorded 33 defensive rebounds and 6 offensive boards totaling 39 in the game. They turned it over 9 times, while earning 7 steals for this contest. Oral Roberts had 17 personal fouls in this matchup which got the Jackrabbits to the charity stripe for a total of 12 tries. They were able to convert 7 of them for a clip of 58.3%. With respect to shooting from downtown, South Dakota State buried 12 out of 21 tries (57.1%). At the conclusion of this game, the Jackrabbits finished 38 out of 67 from the field which gave them a rate of 56.7%. The Jackrabbits allowed Oral Roberts to make 21 of 63 tries from the floor which left them with a shooting percentage of 33.3% in this contest. They finished 30.6% from distance by going 11 out of 36 and ended up shooting 19 of 27 at the charity stripe (70.4%). In regard to how they rebounded, South Dakota State permitted Oral Roberts to grab 30 in total (10 offensive).

Jaden Jackson was important for the Jackrabbits for this game. He converted 9 out of 18 in the matchup for a field goal rate of 50.0%, and had 5 rebounds. He earned 24 points in his 34 mins on the hardwood and had 5 assists in this matchup.

South Dakota State has a mark of 11-12 this season. When it comes to offensive execution, the Jackrabbits are connecting on 46.7% from the floor, which is ranked 107th in college hoops. South Dakota State has accumulated 1,769 pts so far this year (76.9 per contest) and they grab 37.5 rebounds per contest. They are earning an assist 14.9 times per game (130th in college) and they are turning it over 11.6 times per game. The Jackrabbits commit 16.7 personal fouls every game and they hit 68.6% from the free throw line.

The South Dakota State defense allows 32.5% on 3-pointers (205 of 630) and their opponents are knocking down 73.2% of their shots from the free throw line. They surrender 13.6 dimes and 33.2 boards on a nightly basis, which has them ranked 200th and 106th in college hoops. The Jackrabbits defensively are ranked 151st in D-1 in points given up per game with 72.5. They are forcing 11.2 TO's every game and have allowed teams to shoot 42.4% from the floor (100th in college).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take St. Thomas

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