Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs UT Rio Grande Vaqueros Prediction, 2/14/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks vs UTRGV Vaqueros

Date: Saturday, February 14, 2026

Location: UTRGV Fieldhouse in Edinburg, TX

TV: ESPN+

The UTRGV Vaqueros (14-11) will play the Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (22-3) at UTRGV Fieldhouse on Saturday.

The Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks stepped onto the hardwood against East Texas A&M and took home the win by a score of 74-70 in their last contest. Stephen F. Austin walked away from the game with a 44.3% field goal percentage (27 out of 61) and converted 7 of 20 shots from beyond the perimeter. At the free throw line, the Lumberjacks converted 13 of their 20 shots for a percentage of 65.0%. When it comes to grabbing rebounds, they collected 36 with 13 of them being of the offensive variety. They also doled out 15 assists in this matchup in addition to creating 13 turnovers and earning 8 steals. When talking about defense, Stephen F. Austin allowed their opponent to shoot 54.2% from the floor on 26 out of 48 shooting. East Texas A&M totaled 15 assists and had 1 steal in the matchup. Moreover, East Texas A&M grabbed 25 rebounds (2 offensive, 23 defensive), but wasn't able to record a block. East Texas A&M finished the contest at 69.2% at the free throw line by making 9 of their 13 shots. They also converted 9 out of their 25 attempts from 3-point range. When it comes to personal fouls, the Lumberjacks ended up with 14 while East Texas A&M recorded 16 personal fouls.

Kam Burton is a guy who was a major contributor for the game. He accumulated 19 points on 6 out of 11 shooting. He played for 23 minutes and collected 2 rebounds. He ended up going 54.5% from the floor but finished the game without an assist.

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Stephen F. Austin will play this game with a record of 22-3 for the season. They turn the ball over 9.6 times per game and as a group are committing 16.4 fouls every game. As a unit, Stephen F. Austin is pulling in 38.2 boards per contest and has racked up 358 dimes on the season, which has them ranked 154th in the nation in terms of passing. The Lumberjacks are shooting 37.1% on 3-point shots (233 of 628) and 66.9% from the charity stripe. They average 78.0 points per game (137th in college hoops) while hitting 45.5% from the field.

On the defensive end, the Lumberjacks are forcing their opponents into 11.8 turnovers per contest and they draw 15.2 fouls. They give up 29.5% on 3-point shots and they are 18th in the nation in PPG allowed (65.5). The Lumberjacks defense is allowing and opponent field goal percentage of 41.1% (587 of 1,428) and they concede 33.0 rebounds per contest as a squad. They currently rank 25th in college in giving up assists with 263 surrendered for the season.

The last time they took the hardwood, the UTRGV Vaqueros got the victory with a final of 92-72 against Nicholls State. When it comes to rebounding, UT Rio Grande allowed Nicholls State to collect 17 overall (6 on the offensive side). They shot 28.6% from 3-point land by connecting on 8 of 28 and ended up going 12 out of 22 from the charity stripe (54.5%). The Vaqueros permitted Nicholls State to convert 26 of their 59 attempts from the field which left them with a rate of 44.1% in this game. Overall, the Vaqueros ended up going 33 out of 52 from the field which had them shooting 63.5%. When discussing shots from beyond the arc, UT Rio Grande buried 9 of 21 tries (42.9%). They were able to bury 17 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 85.0%. Nicholls State committed 18 personal fouls in the game which took the Vaqueros to the free throw line for a total of 20 shots. They gave up possession of the ball 15 times, while getting 6 steals in the game. The Vaqueros collected 25 defensive rebounds and 10 offensive rebounds totaling 35 for the contest.

Jaylen Washington ended up having an impact for the Vaqueros in this game. He tallied 26 points in his 32 mins on the hardwood and added 6 dimes in this contest. He converted 10 out of 12 in this matchup for a rate of 83.3%, and had 1 rebound.

UT Rio Grande has a record of 14-11 on the season. The Vaqueros commit 17.9 fouls per game and they go 75.5% from the free throw line. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 16.9 times per game (43rd in D-1) and they lose possession via turnover 12.0 times per game. UT Rio Grande has earned 1,911 pts so far this year (76.4 per game) and they average 35.2 rebounds per game. In terms of offensive execution, the Vaqueros are hitting on 47.4% from the floor, which has them ranked 64th in the nation.

The Vaqueros are ranked 75th in college in PPG given up with 69.7. They are able to force 11.8 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 41.5% from the field (54th in D-1). The UT Rio Grande defense concedes 31.2% on shots from 3-point land (181 of 581) and opponents are making 71.2% of their free throw shots. They have surrendered 14.0 assists and 33.4 rebounds per game, which ranks 232nd and 116th in the nation.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Stephen F. Austin

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