Tarleton State Texans vs San Diego Toreros Prediction, 11/6/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tarleton State Texans vs San Diego Toreros

Date: Friday, November 6, 2026

Location: Jenny Craig Pavilion in San Diego, CA

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Tarleton State (+4.5)

The San Diego Toreros (1-0) are welcoming the Tarleton State Texans (1-0) at Jenny Craig Pavilion on Friday. Tarleton State opens this matchup as 4.5-point dogs from oddsmakers. The total has been set at 150.5.

The Tarleton State Texans faced off with Cameron and notched a win by a score of 86-60 in their last contest. In reference to fouls, the Texans finished with 14 and Cameron finished the game with 17 fouls. They buried 7 of their 36 shots from 3-point land. Cameron walked away from this one shooting 60.0% from the free throw line by converting 9 of 15 attempts. Additionally, Cameron grabbed 34 boards (15 offensive, 19 defensive), but couldn't earn a rejection. Cameron dished out 14 assists and had 10 steals for the matchup. In regard to defending, Tarleton State allowed the other team to go 32.4% from the field on 22 of 68 shooting. They also doled out 22 assists in the game as well as forcing 18 turnovers and having 11 steals. When talking about hauling in boards, they earned 44 with 9 of them being offensive. From the charity stripe, the Texans made 13 of their 19 attempts for a rate of 68.4%. Tarleton State ended with a 52.3% field goal percentage (34 of 65) and made 5 of their 18 3-point shots.

Jac Mani is a guy who played a role in the matchup. He accounted for 17 points on 6 out of 6 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 21 mins played and collected 5 rebounds. He ended up shooting 100.0% from the field and recorded 1 assist.

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Tarleton State will enter this matchup with a win-loss mark of 1-0 on the campaign. They currently have an average of 86.0 points per outing (134th in the country) while connecting on 52.3% from the field. The Texans are connecting on 27.8% on 3-pointers (5 of 18) and 68.4% from the charity stripe. As a team, Tarleton State is snagging 48.0 rebounds per game and is sitting with 22 assists this year, which ranks 77th in the nation in terms of passing the ball. They turn it over 14.0 times per game and as a squad they are committing 14.0 fouls every game.

When they are on the defensive end, the Texans are forcing 18.0 turnovers every game while drawing 17.0 personal fouls. They surrender 19.4% on shots from distance and they are ranked 115th in college in points per game from their opponents (60.0). The Texans defensively are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 32.4% (22 of 68) and they relinquish 37.0 boards per contest as a team. They are ranked 221st in college in allowing assists to the opposition with 14 surrendered for the campaign.

In their last game, the San Diego Toreros walked away with a victory by a final of 79-62 when they played Biola. In relation to how they cleaned up the glass, San Diego allowed Biola to snag 24 in all (8 offensive). They finished shooting 26.5% from three-point range by connecting on 9 out of 34 and walked away from this one shooting 19 out of 28 from the free throw line (67.9%). The Toreros allowed Biola to bury 17 of their 52 attempts from the floor which had them at 32.7% in this matchup. When this game wrapped up, the Toreros finished the game shooting 29 out of 58 from the floor which had them at 50.0%. In terms of shooting from 3-point land, San Diego converted 4 of 15 attempts (26.7%). They were able to convert 17 of those for a percentage of 73.9%. Biola had 20 personal fouls for this contest which got the Toreros to the free throw line for 23 tries. They gave up possession of the ball 12 times, while earning 8 steals for the matchup. The Toreros were able to pull down 29 defensive rebounds and 10 offensive rebounds totaling 39 for the game.

Sekou Konneh ended up having an impact for the Toreros in this matchup. He made 7 out of 11 in this contest giving him a rate of 63.6%, and had 7 rebounds. He recorded 15 points in his 20 mins on the court and had 1 assist in this game.

San Diego has a record of 1-0 for the campaign. When it comes to offensive execution, the Toreros are shooting 50.0% from the field, which is 111th in the country. San Diego has scored 79 pts this season and they collect 40.0 boards per game. They are dishing out assists 18.0 times per game (116th in college hoops) and they turn it over 12.0 times per game. The Toreros are committing 25.0 fouls every game and they go 73.9% from the charity stripe.

The San Diego defense allows 26.5% on shots from behind the 3-point line (9 of 34) and opponents are knocking down 67.9% of their shots from the free throw line. They have surrendered 14.0 assists and 30.0 boards per game, which ranks 236th and 106th in those categories. The Toreros defensively are ranked 131st in college hoops in points given up per game with 62.0. They are forcing their opponents into 13.0 TO's every game and have allowed teams to shoot 32.7% from the field (68th in college).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Tarleton State (+4.5)

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