TCU Horned Frogs vs Baylor Bears Prediction, 1/24/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: TCU Horned Frogs vs Baylor Bears

Date: Saturday, January 24, 2026

Location: Foster Pavilion in Waco, TX

TV: ESPN2

Foster Pavilion is the location where the Baylor Bears (11-7) will take on the TCU Horned Frogs (12-7) on Saturday.

The TCU Horned Frogs took the court against Oklahoma State and took home the win by a score of 68-65 in their last contest. TCU walked away from the contest with a 45.9% field goal percentage (28 out of 61) and made 6 of their 20 shots from downtown. From the free throw line, the Horned Frogs knocked down 6 of their 12 attempts for a rate of 50.0%. When it comes to getting rebounds, they earned 32 with 8 of them being on the offensive end. They also distributed 19 assists in the game as well as forcing 13 turnovers and getting 8 steals. In reference to defense, TCU allowed their opponent to shoot 43.5% from the floor on 27 out of 62 shooting. Oklahoma State distributed 16 dimes and had 13 steals in the matchup. Furthermore, Oklahoma State totaled 27 rebounds (7 offensive, 20 defensive), but wasn't able to record a rejection. Oklahoma State ended up shooting 50.0% when shooting free throws by knocking down 5 of 10 shots. They buried 6 out of their 15 attempts from three-point range. In relation to fouls, the Horned Frogs ended up with 10 while Oklahoma State recorded 14 fouls.

David Punch is someone who was a major factor in this matchup. He recorded 22 points on 9 out of 13 shooting. He saw the court for 35 minutes played and collected 10 rebounds. He ended up going 69.2% from the field and totaled 2 assists.

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TCU will take the court with a win-loss mark of 12-7 for the year. They average 79.1 points per game (127th in the nation) while shooting 45.9% from the field. The Horned Frogs are connecting on 33.9% on 3-pointers (149 of 440) and 71.1% from the free throw line. As a team, TCU is pulling in 36.3 boards per game and has accounted for 316 assists this year, which has them ranked 69th in college hoops in terms of passing the rock. They lose possession via turnover 11.3 times per contest and as a group they are committing 16.4 fouls every game.

Defensively, the Horned Frogs are forcing their opponents into 14.3 turnovers per game and they draw 18.5 fouls. They rank 264th in college in giving up assists to their opponents with 283 surrendered so far this season. The Horned Frogs are giving up a shooting percentage of 42.7% (472 of 1,106) and they concede 33.6 boards per game as a team. They are giving up 33.4% on 3-point shots and they are 72nd in college in PPG allowed (69.3).

The last time they took the hardwood, the Baylor Bears took a loss by a score of 92-73 against Texas Tech. In the matter of cleaning the glass, Baylor allowed Texas Tech to snag 23 in total (2 on the offensive side). They went 63.0% from distance via 17 of 27 and ended up shooting 9 out of 11 from the free throw line (81.8%). The Bears allowed Texas Tech to knock down 33 out of their 55 tries from the field which gave them a percentage of 60.0% for the matchup. When the game finished, the Bears ended up going 28 out of 57 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 49.1%. When it comes to shooting from beyond the arc, Baylor buried 7 of their 21 attempts (33.3%). They were able to make 10 of those for a percentage of 50.0%. Texas Tech earned 16 personal fouls for the game which got the Bears to the free throw line for 20 shots. They also gave up possession of the ball 11 times, while earning 10 steals for the game. The Bears earned 17 defensive rebounds and 9 offensive boards totaling 26 for the contest.

Cameron Carr ended up having an impact for the Bears in this contest. He accumulated 18 points in his 37 minutes on the court and had 5 dimes in this contest. He made 7 of 12 for the game for a rate of 58.3%, and accounted for 9 rebounds.

Baylor has a win-loss mark of 11-7 on the year. On the offensive side of the ball, the Bears are hitting on 48.9% from the floor, which ranks 33rd in the nation. Baylor has accounted for 1,554 points this year (86.3 per contest) and they pull in 39.6 rebounds per contest. They are dishing out assists 16.7 times per game (56th in the nation) and they turn it over 11.6 times per game. The Bears commit 15.6 personal fouls per contest and they shoot 71.9% from the charity stripe.

The Bears are ranked 242nd in the country in points per game surrendered with 75.9. They are forcing their opponents into 11.4 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 43.3% from the floor (158th in the nation). The Baylor defense concedes 34.8% on shots from beyond the arc (141 of 405) and opponents are converting on 74.0% of their shots from the free throw line. They relinquish 13.3 dimes and 33.3 boards every game, which is 180th and 111th in Division 1.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take TCU

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