TCU Horned Frogs vs Kansas State Wildcats Prediction, 2/28/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: TCU Horned Frogs vs Kansas State Wildcats

Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026

Location: Bramlage Coliseum in Manhattan, KS

TV: ESPN2

The Kansas State Wildcats (11-17) are welcoming the TCU Horned Frogs (18-10) at Bramlage Coliseum on Saturday.

The TCU Horned Frogs stepped onto the hardwood against Arizona State and walked away with a win by a score of 90-78 in their last contest. TCU wrapped up the game having earned a 42.2% FG percentage (27 out of 64) and buried 8 of their 23 3-pointers. From the free throw line, the Horned Frogs made 28 of 40 shots for a rate of 70.0%. In relation to getting rebounds, they collected a total of 36 with 15 of them being offensive. They also recorded 22 assists in this matchup in addition to forcing 12 turnovers and earning 10 steals. When discussing defending, TCU allowed their opponent to shoot 45.9% from the floor on 28 of 61 shooting. Arizona State distributed 21 assists and had 3 steals for the game. On top of that, Arizona State pulled down 30 rebounds (6 offensive, 24 defensive), but didn't notch a block. Arizona State finished the contest at 73.9% from the free throw line by knocking down 17 of their 23 tries. They converted 5 of 20 attempts from long range. When talking about fouls, the Horned Frogs left the arena with 23 and Arizona State recorded 29 fouls.

Micah Robinson is a player who played a role for the matchup. He shot 46.2% from the floor and also totaled 3 assists. He was on the court for 34 minutes played and also pulled down 8 rebounds. He totaled 20 points on 6 of 13 shooting.

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TCU comes into this matchup with a record of 18-10 for the season. They are averaging 78.3 pts per game (128th in the nation) while going 44.8% from the floor. The Horned Frogs are shooting 33.4% on shots from beyond the arc (207 of 620) and 70.7% from the free throw line. As a team, TCU is pulling in 36.1 boards per contest and is sitting with 441 assists on the year, which ranks 98th in Division 1 in terms of passing. They lose possession by turning the ball over 11.2 times per game and as a group they are committing 16.6 personal fouls on a nightly basis.

When they are on the defensive end, the Horned Frogs are forcing their opponents into 13.8 turnovers every game while drawing 19.4 fouls. They are conceding 33.9% on three-point shots and they are 127th in college hoops in PPG allowed (72.0). The Horned Frogs defense is giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 44.4% (725 of 1,632) and they concede 33.4 boards per contest as a unit. They currently rank 320th in college hoops in giving up assists with 448 relinquished this year.

In their last game, the Kansas State Wildcats took a loss by a score of 79-70 against Colorado. The Wildcats were able to pull down 26 defensive boards and 6 offensive rebounds for a total of 32 in this matchup. They turned it over 14 times, while recording 7 steals for the matchup. Colorado was called for 15 personal fouls in the game which got the Wildcats to the charity stripe for 18 attempts. They were able to make 13 of the free throw attempts for a clip of 72.2%. In relation to shots from distance, Kansas State converted 5 of their 23 attempts (21.7%). Overall, the Wildcats ended up shooting 26 for 67 from the field which had them shooting 38.8%. The Wildcats allowed Colorado to bury 25 out of 58 tries from the field which gave them a percentage of 43.1% for the matchup. They finished the game shooting 36.0% from beyond the perimeter via 9 of 25 and ended up shooting 20 out of 28 from the free throw line (71.4%). Concerning team rebounding, Kansas State permitted Colorado to pull down 40 in total (7 on the offensive glass).

PJ Haggerty ended up being a factor for the Wildcats for the contest. He made 10 out of 21 in this matchup for a field goal rate of 47.6%, and had 10 rebounds. He scored 25 points in his 39 minutes of playing time and totaled 4 dimes for the contest.

Kansas State has a mark of 11-17 on the year. The Wildcats are committing 19.4 personal fouls every game and they go 70.9% from the charity stripe. They are earning an assist 17.3 times per game (27th in Division 1) and they are giving up possession 12.8 times per game. Kansas State has 2,237 points on the year (79.9 per contest) and they average 34.5 rebounds per game. When it comes to offense, the Wildcats are hitting on 45.7% from the floor, which has them ranked 154th in college.

The Wildcats are ranked 341st in D-1 in PPG surrendered with 81.1. They are forcing their opponents into 12.8 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 45.4% from the floor (258th in D-1). The Kansas State defense surrenders 33.9% on 3-pointers (226 of 667) and their opponents are converting on 72.8% of their foul shots. They have surrendered 16.1 assists and 37.1 boards per game, which ranks 339th and 326th in the country.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take TCU

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