Tennessee Volunteers vs Michigan Wolverines Prediction, 3/29/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tennessee Volunteers vs Michigan Wolverines

Date: Sunday, March 29, 2026

Location: United Center in Chicago, IL

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Tennessee (+7)

The Michigan Wolverines (34-3) welcome the Tennessee Volunteers (25-11) at United Center on Sunday in the Elite 8. Michigan opens this contest as 7-point favorites. The total is set at 146.

The Tennessee Volunteers stepped onto the hardwood against Iowa State and went home with a win by a final score of 76-62 in the Sweet 16. Concerning personal fouls, the Volunteers ended up with 22 while Iowa State finished the game with 15 personal fouls. They also knocked down 5 out of their 23 tries from distance. Iowa State ended up shooting 60.0% when shooting free throws by making 15 of their 25 tries. In addition, Iowa State pulled down 18 rebounds (5 offensive, 13 defensive), but didn't notch a rejection. Iowa State totaled 16 assists and had 7 steals for the contest. When it comes to defense, Tennessee let their opponent shoot 38.9% from the floor on 21 of 54 shooting. They also distributed 22 assists in the game as well as forcing the opposition into 11 turnovers and having 5 steals. In reference to pulling down boards, they collected a total of 42 with 16 of them being offensive. At the free throw line, the Volunteers buried 9 of their 15 attempts for a percentage of 60.0%. Tennessee finished with a 50.8% FG percentage (30 out of 59) and made 7 out of their 22 three-point attempts.

Nate Ament is one player who was a contributor in the matchup. He ended up finishing with 18 points on 6 of 10 shooting. He played for 25 mins played and totaled 4 rebounds. He ended up shooting 60.0% from the field and also dished out 3 dimes.

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Tennessee enters this contest with a win-loss record of 25-11 for the season. They are turning it over 11.9 times per contest and as a team are committing 17.8 fouls per contest. As a team, Tennessee is collecting 42.5 rebounds per game and has accumulated 619 dimes for the year, which ranks 15th in the country in terms of passing. The Volunteers are hitting 34.0% from downtown (238 of 701) and 69.4% from the charity stripe. They average 79.3 pts per contest (94th in the country) while hitting 46.6% from the floor.

On the defensive end of the court, the Volunteers are forcing 11.0 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 18.7 personal fouls. They are giving up 30.3% on shots from downtown while they are 54th in college in PPG from their opponents (68.9). The Volunteers are allowing and opponent field goal percentage of 40.7% (842 of 2,071) and they surrender 29.6 boards per game as a team. They are currently ranked 51st in Division 1 in allowing assists to the opposition with 388 surrendered this season.

In the Sweet 16, the Michigan Wolverines walked away with a victory by a final of 90-77 when they played Alabama. In regard to how they rebounded, Michigan permitted Alabama to snag 28 overall (8 on the offensive side). They finished shooting 29.8% from downtown by hitting 14 of 47 and ended up shooting 13 out of 14 at the free throw line (92.9%). The Wolverines allowed Alabama to convert 25 of 69 tries from the field which left them with a shooting percentage of 36.2% in this game. Overall, the Wolverines finished the game shooting 33 out of 66 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 50.0%. In relation to three-point shots, Michigan converted 13 out of their 27 tries (48.1%). They were able to convert 11 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 55.0%. Alabama was called for 19 personal fouls in this game which took the Wolverines to the charity stripe for a total of 20 shots. They turned it over 8 times, while getting 4 steals for this contest. The Wolverines recorded 30 defensive rebounds and 10 offensive boards for a total of 40 for the matchup.

Yaxel Lendeborg ended up having an impact for the Wolverines for the matchup. He racked up 23 points in his 35 mins on the court and had 7 assists in this game. He knocked down 8 out of 12 for the contest for a field goal percentage of 66.7%, and tallied 12 rebounds.

Michigan has a record of 34-3 so far this season. As an offensive team, the Wolverines are shooting 51.1% from the floor, which has them ranked 4th in the country. Michigan has scored 3,238 points this year (87.5 per game) and they pull in 40.1 boards per game. They are earning an assist 18.8 times per game (4th in the nation) and they cough up possession 11.7 times per game. The Wolverines commit 15.4 fouls per contest and they connect on 74.2% from the free throw line.

The Wolverines on defense are ranked 67th in D-1 in PPG given up with 69.8. They are able to force 10.8 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 38.6% from the floor (3rd in D-1). The Michigan defense allows 30.7% on 3-point attempts (310 of 1009) and their opponents are converting on 74.8% of their free throw attempts. They allow 11.6 assists and 30.9 boards per contest, which is 46th and 21st in those categories on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Tennessee (+7)

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