Texas A&M Aggies vs Houston Cougars Prediction, 3/21/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Texas A&M Aggies vs Houston Cougars

Date: Saturday, March 21, 2026

Location: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, OK

TV: TNT

Odds/Point Spread: Houston (-10)

The Texas A&M Aggies (21-11) are traveling to Paycom Center on Saturday where they will attempt to defeat the Houston Cougars (28-6) in the 2nd round of the NCAA Tournament. Houston opens this matchup as 10-point favorites. The over/under comes in at 142.

The Texas A&M Aggies took the court against St. Mary's and took home the win by a score of 63-50 in their last contest. Texas A&M finished the contest with a 44.2% FG percentage (23 out of 52) and made 8 of 23 three-point attempts. From the charity stripe, the Aggies buried 9 of their 13 attempts for a percentage of 69.2%. In terms of pulling down rebounds, they earned 29 with 8 of them being on the offensive end. They also doled out 15 dimes for the contest in addition to forcing 16 turnovers and getting 12 steals. In reference to the defense, Texas A&M allowed the other team to shoot 38.3% from the floor on 18 of 47 shooting. St. Mary's distributed 8 dimes and had 5 steals in the game. On top of that, St. Mary's snagged 29 boards (9 offensive, 20 defensive), but wasn't able to put a block in the stat sheet. St. Mary's finished 36.4% when shooting free throws by converting 4 of 11 shots. They also converted 10 out of their 23 tries from three-point range. When it comes to personal fouls, the Aggies finished with 16 while St. Mary's accounted for 10 personal fouls.

Rashaun Agee is one player who played a role in the game. He ended up walking away with 22 points on 7 of 11 shooting. He saw the court for 31 minutes played and snagged 9 rebounds. He went 63.6% from the floor and also recorded 3 dimes.

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Texas A&M comes into this contest with a win-loss mark of 21-11 on the season. They turn it over 10.8 times per contest and as a team they commit 19.3 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, Texas A&M is pulling in 37.7 rebounds per game and has racked up 580 assists this season, which is 16th in D-1 in terms of passing. The Aggies are hitting 36.2% from downtown (346 of 956) and 73.7% from the charity stripe. They have an average of 87.7 points per contest (9th in the country) while hitting 45.8% from the field.

When they are on defense, the Aggies are forcing 13.6 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 18.8 personal fouls. They rank 303rd in the country in giving up assists to the opposition with 494 relinquished this season. The Aggies defense is allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 44.2% (878 of 1,987) and they relinquish 37.9 rebounds per game as a group. They are relinquishing 31.7% on shots from distance and they are 322nd in college hoops in points per game allowed (79.6).

The last time they took the court, the Houston Cougars got the win with a final of 78-47 when they played Idaho. In reference to rebounding, Houston allowed Idaho to collect 29 in all (6 on the offensive glass). They finished the game shooting 20.0% from 3-point land by connecting on 6 out of 30 and finished the contest at 9 of 15 from the free throw line (60.0%). The Cougars allowed Idaho to make 16 out of 56 attempts from the field which had them at 28.6% for this contest. When the final whistle blew, the Cougars walked away from this one shooting 31 out of 62 from the field which had them shooting 50.0%. In terms of 3-point attempts, Houston made 8 out of 15 tries (53.3%). They were able to make 8 of the free throw tries for a rate of 72.7%. Idaho earned 13 personal fouls in this matchup which got the Cougars to the charity stripe for 11 attempts. They coughed it up 6 times, while earning 8 steals in this game. The Cougars corralled 39 defensive rebounds and 5 offensive boards totaling 44 for the matchup.

Kingston Flemings ended up being a major contributor for the Cougars in the game. He scored 18 points in his 27 mins of playing time and had 4 dimes for this game. He converted 8 out of 12 for this game for a field goal rate of 66.7%, and had 6 rebounds.

Houston has a win-loss record of 28-6 so far this year. The Cougars are committing 18.0 fouls per contest and they shoot 77.2% from the charity stripe. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 14.7 times per contest (125th in Division 1) and they turn it over 8.5 times per game. Houston has earned 2,623 pts for the campaign (77.1 per contest) and they pull in 36.6 boards per contest. When it comes to executing on offense, the Cougars are shooting 45.0% from the floor, which is ranked 191st in the nation.

The Cougars on the defensive side of the court are 2nd in college in PPG surrendered with 62.9. They are forcing 13.7 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 40.0% from the field (18th in the country). The Houston defense gives up 32.1% from downtown (233 of 726) and their opponents are making 69.8% of their free throw shots. They relinquish 11.2 dimes and 33.5 rebounds every game, which is ranked 30th and 120th in the country.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Houston (-10)

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