Texas A&M Aggies vs St. Mary's Gaels Prediction, 3/19/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Texas A&M Aggies vs St. Mary's Gaels

Date: Thursday, March 19, 2026

Location: Paycom Center in Oklahoma City, OK

TV: truTV

Odds/Point Spread: St. Mary's (-4)

The St. Mary's Gaels (27-5) will try to defeat the Texas A&M Aggies (21-11) at Paycom Center on Thursday in the first round of the NCAA Tournament. St. Mary's is 4-point favorites from oddsmakers. The total comes in at 147.

The Texas A&M Aggies took the court against Oklahoma and went home with a loss by a final score of 83-63 in their last contest. Regarding fouls, the Aggies finished with 14 while Oklahoma totaled 13 fouls. They also buried 8 out of their 30 attempts from downtown. Oklahoma ended up going 72.2% when shooting free throws by converting 13 of their 18 shots. Additionally, Oklahoma collected 45 rebounds (18 offensive, 27 defensive), but wrapped up the game with no rejections. Oklahoma recorded 16 assists and had 6 steals for the contest. Regarding the defense, Texas A&M allowed the other team to shoot 45.6% from the field on 31 of 68 shooting. They also doled out 12 assists for this game while forcing the other team into 7 turnovers and getting 5 steals. In regard to rebounding, they compiled 31 with 10 of them being of the offensive sort. At the free throw line, the Aggies made 9 of 15 attempts for a rate of 60.0%. Texas A&M wrapped up the game having earned a 38.3% field goal percentage (23 out of 60) and converted 8 of 31 shots from beyond the arc.

Rashaun Agee is one guy who was a major contributor for this game. He finished shooting 100.0% from the field and recorded 2 dimes. He played 29 minutes and collected 10 boards. He accounted for 13 points on 5 of 5 shooting.

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Texas A&M steps onto the hardwood with a mark of 21-11 on the campaign. They turn it over 10.8 times per contest and as a group they commit 19.3 personal fouls per contest. As a team, Texas A&M is pulling in 37.7 rebounds per contest and has racked up 580 dimes this season, which is 16th in the nation in terms of passing. The Aggies are hitting 36.2% on shots from downtown (346 of 956) and 73.7% from the free throw line. They are averaging 87.7 points per outing (9th in the nation) while hitting 45.8% from the field.

When they are on defense, the Aggies are forcing 13.6 turnovers every game while drawing 18.8 personal fouls. They currently rank 303rd in college hoops in allowing assists with 494 surrendered on the campaign. The Aggies defensively are allowing and opponent field goal percentage of 44.2% (878 of 1,987) and they surrender 37.9 rebounds per contest as a team. They are relinquishing 31.7% from beyond the arc while they are 322nd in D-1 in opponents points per game (79.6).

When they last stepped on the court, the St. Mary's Gaels took a defeat with a final score of 76-71 when they played Santa Clara. In relation to cleaning the glass, St. Mary's allowed Santa Clara to pull down 28 overall (8 on the offensive side). They finished the game shooting 44.0% from distance by shooting 11 of 25 and finished the contest at 5 of 14 from the free throw line (35.7%). The Gaels permitted Santa Clara to convert 30 of their 62 attempts from the floor which gave them a percentage of 48.4% for the contest. When this game wrapped up, the Gaels went 24 for 54 from the field which gave them a shooting percentage of 44.4%. When talking about shooting from beyond the arc, St. Mary's converted 6 out of 20 attempts (30.0%). They were able to knock down 17 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 89.5%. Santa Clara was called for 21 personal fouls for the contest which got the Gaels to the free throw line for 19 attempts. They also turned the ball over 10 times, while earning 1 steal in this matchup. The Gaels were able to pull down 26 defensive boards and 11 offensive boards totaling 37 for this contest.

Paulius Murauskas ended up being a factor for the Gaels in the game. He scored 26 points in his 37 mins on the court, but left the arena with no assists. He made 9 out of 15 in this contest giving him a field goal percentage of 60.0%, and accounted for 8 rebounds.

St. Mary's has a record of 27-5 so far this season. The Gaels are responsible for committing 15.6 personal fouls per game and they hit 80.5% from the charity stripe. They are dishing out assists 15.5 times per game (93rd in Division 1) and they turn the ball over 10.8 times per game. St. Mary's has scored 2,502 pts this year (78.2 per contest) and they pull in 40.3 boards per game. When it comes to offense, the Gaels are shooting 46.1% from the field, which ranks them 122nd in the nation.

The St. Mary's defense gives up 30.9% on shots from beyond the perimeter (210 of 680) and their opposition makes 72.1% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have surrendered 12.4 dimes and 29.1 rebounds per game, which is 102nd and 5th in college hoops. The Gaels on defense are ranked 7th in Division 1 in points given up per game with 64.6. They are able to force 10.3 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 40.5% from the floor (24th in the nation).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take St. Mary's (-4)

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