Texas State Bobcats vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Prediction, 1/10/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Texas State Bobcats vs Arkansas State Red Wolves

Date: Saturday, January 10, 2026

Location: First National Bank Arena in Jonesboro, AR

TV: ESPN+

The Texas State Bobcats (9-7) are en route to First National Bank Arena on Saturday where they will attempt to defeat the Arkansas State Red Wolves (11-5).

The Texas State Bobcats faced UL Monroe and went home with a win by a final score of 84-79 in their last contest. In regard to personal fouls, the Bobcats walked away with 16 while UL Monroe finished the game with 10 personal fouls. They also buried 12 out of their 24 tries from beyond the arc. UL Monroe finished the contest at 68.8% from the charity stripe by knocking down 11 of 16 tries. Furthermore, UL Monroe totaled 24 rebounds (3 offensive, 21 defensive), but couldn't earn a rejection. UL Monroe dished out 14 assists and had 8 steals for the contest. Regarding defense, Texas State allowed their opponent to shoot 50.0% from the field on 28 of 56 shooting. They also doled out 21 assists in this contest while forcing the other team into 14 turnovers and earning 12 steals. In regard to getting rebounds, they collected 35 with 14 of them being of the offensive variety. At the free throw line, the Bobcats knocked down 8 of 12 attempts for a rate of 66.7%. Texas State ended the game having earned a 51.4% field goal percentage (36 out of 70) and knocked down 4 out of their 14 shots from downtown.

Mark Drone is one player who played a role in this contest. He walked away with 24 points on 9 of 14 shooting. He saw the court for 36 mins and also pulled down 6 rebounds. He ended up going 64.3% from the field and recorded 2 assists.

Get all of our NCAA Betting Picks

Texas State heads into this matchup with a win-loss record of 9-7 for the season. They cough up possession 13.9 times per contest and as a team are committing 17.8 personal fouls per contest. As a team, Texas State is pulling in 37.3 boards per game and has tallied 228 assists for the year, which has them ranked 166th in Division 1 in terms of passing the ball. The Bobcats are shooting 33.6% on shots from downtown (80 of 238) and 74.2% from the charity stripe. They are averaging 74.8 points per game (243rd in the country) while connecting on 46.7% from the field.

When they are on the defensive end, the Bobcats are able to force 14.1 turnovers every game and they draw 16.2 personal fouls. They are relinquishing 36.9% on shots from distance and they are 122nd in college hoops in PPG from their opponents (71.0). The Bobcats defense is allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 44.7% (393 of 880) and they surrender 30.6 boards per game as a squad. They are 88th in college hoops in allowing assists to their opponents with 185 conceded this season.

For their last game, the Arkansas State Red Wolves got the win with a final of 86-74 when they played Troy. The Red Wolves collected 31 defensive rebounds and 12 offensive rebounds totaling 43 for this game. They turned the ball over 15 times, while earning 8 steals for the matchup. Troy had 21 fouls in this game which got the Red Wolves to the charity stripe for a total of 29 attempts. They were able to make 22 of them for a clip of 75.9%. When it comes to three-point attempts, Arkansas State made 12 of 30 tries (40.0%). In all, the Red Wolves ended up shooting 26 for 58 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 44.8%. The Red Wolves allowed Troy to convert 27 of their 65 tries from the field which left them with a rate of 41.5% for the game. They wrapped up this game 32.1% from beyond the perimeter by connecting on 9 of 28 and ended up going 11 of 18 at the charity stripe (61.1%). When discussing rebounding, Arkansas State allowed Troy to collect 30 in total (9 offensive).

Christian Harmon ended up having an impact for the Red Wolves in this contest. He buried 6 out of 10 in this matchup giving him a field goal percentage of 60.0%, and had 4 rebounds. He earned 18 points in his 29 minutes of playing time and tallied 2 dimes in this game.

Arkansas State has a record of 11-5 for the campaign. The Red Wolves have committed 19.1 personal fouls every game while shooting 77.2% from the charity stripe. They are getting an assist 14.8 times per contest (157th in D-1) and they are turning it over 14.0 times per contest. Arkansas State has totaled 1,333 pts so far this year (83.3 per contest) and they pull down 39.4 rebounds per game. As an offense, the Red Wolves are hitting on 45.4% from the field, which ranks 185th in the nation.

The Arkansas State defense allows 33.1% on shots from distance (117 of 353) and their opponents are connecting on 67.7% of their foul shots. They concede 13.3 dimes and 33.5 boards per contest, which is 188th and 121st in D-1. The Red Wolves on the defensive side of the court are 290th in D-1 in PPG surrendered with 77.8. They are forcing 12.5 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 45.4% from the floor (285th in college).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Arkansas State

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get college basketball picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.