Toledo Rockets vs Bowling Green Falcons Prediction, 2/14/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toledo Rockets vs Bowling Green Falcons

Date: Saturday, February 14, 2026

Location: Stroh Center in Bowling Green, OH

TV: ESPN+

Stroh Center is the location where the Bowling Green Falcons (15-10) will play the Toledo Rockets (13-12) on Saturday.

The Toledo Rockets faced off with Western Michigan and earned the victory with a final of 90-79 in their last game. Toledo ended having earned a 59.3% FG percentage (32 out of 54) and converted 9 of 19 3-point attempts. From the free throw line, the Rockets knocked down 17 of their 28 tries for a percentage of 60.7%. When it comes to grabbing boards, they collected a total of 26 with 3 of them being of the offensive variety. They also distributed 13 dimes in this matchup as well as creating 8 turnovers and earning 6 steals. Concerning defense, Toledo allowed their opponent to shoot 43.1% from the field on 28 out of 65 shooting. Western Michigan recorded 13 assists and had 3 steals for this contest. In addition, Western Michigan collected 32 boards (9 offensive, 23 defensive), but didn't have a block. Western Michigan finished the contest at 82.4% from the charity stripe by making 14 of their 17 tries. They also made 9 of 26 tries from distance. Regarding personal fouls, the Rockets ended up finishing with 14 while Western Michigan recorded 20 personal fouls.

Sonny Wilson is a player who played a role for the matchup. He ended up going 60.0% from the field and also totaled 3 assists. He saw the court for 37 minutes and also snagged 5 rebounds. He accounted for 18 points on 6 of 10 shooting.

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Toledo enters this game with a record of 13-12 on the year. They lose possession by turning the ball over 10.7 times per contest and as a group they are committing 15.1 fouls per contest. As a team, Toledo is pulling in 33.8 rebounds per contest and has accounted for 395 dimes so far this year, which is 67th in college in terms of passing. The Rockets are connecting on 35.3% on shots from 3-point land (175 of 496) and 76.9% from the free throw line. They have an average of 81.3 pts per game (79th in Division 1) while shooting 48.0% from the floor.

On the defensive end, the Rockets have forced 13.2 turnovers every game while drawing 17.4 personal fouls. They currently rank 318th in college in allowing assists with 384 relinquished on the year. The Rockets defensively are allowing a FG percentage of 46.9% (723 of 1,541) and they surrender 35.6 boards per game as a team. They relinquish 34.4% on three-point shots and they are ranked 277th in the nation in opponents points per game (77.5).

When they last stepped on the court, the Bowling Green Falcons walked away with a victory by a final of 68-52 against Northern Illinois. The Falcons were able to collect 31 defensive rebounds and 3 offensive rebounds totaling 34 for the contest. They also turned it over 15 times, while getting 13 steals for the game. Northern Illinois committed 9 fouls for the game which took the Falcons to the charity stripe for a total of 11 attempts. They were able to knock down 9 of them for a percentage of 81.8%. In reference to three-point shots, Bowling Green converted 5 out of 16 tries (31.3%). At the conclusion of this game, the Falcons finished the game shooting 27 out of 54 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 50.0%. The Falcons allowed Northern Illinois to bury 18 of 57 tries from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 31.6% in this game. They finished 18.5% from three-point range by connecting on 5 of 27 and finished the game at 11 of 15 from the free throw line (73.3%). When talking about attacking the glass, Bowling Green permitted Northern Illinois to pull down 29 in total (6 on the offensive glass).

Mayar Wol ended up having an impact for the Falcons for the game. He scored 15 points in his 25 mins of playing time, but wasn't able to tally an assist. He made 6 of 9 for the matchup for a rate of 66.7%, and had 4 rebounds.

Bowling Green has a record of 15-10 on the campaign. The Falcons are responsible for committing 17.5 fouls every game and they connect on 74.0% from the charity stripe. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 14.8 times per game (133rd in the nation) and they lose possession via turnover 12.0 times per contest. Bowling Green has accounted for 2,061 points for the season (82.4 per game) and they pull in 36.0 rebounds per game. When it comes to offensive execution, the Falcons are connecting on 48.4% from the field, which is ranked 38th in the country.

The Falcons defensively are ranked 86th in Division 1 in points given up per game with 70.2. They are forcing 16.0 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 43.2% from the floor (136th in the country). The Bowling Green defense concedes 33.0% on shots from beyond the perimeter (199 of 603) and their opposition knocks down 71.7% of their free throw shots. They relinquish 13.4 dimes and 32.8 rebounds every game, which is 189th and 82nd in D-1.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Toledo

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