Toledo Rockets vs UMass Minutemen Prediction, 1/20/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toledo Rockets vs UMass Minutemen

Date: Tuesday, January 20, 2026

Location: Mullins Center in Amherst, MA

TV: ESPN+

Mullins Center is the location where the UMass Minutemen (11-8) will play the Toledo Rockets (10-8) on Tuesday.

The Toledo Rockets faced Kent State and went home with a loss by a final score of 87-84 in their last contest. Toledo wrapped up the contest with a 47.5% FG percentage (28 out of 59) and converted 8 out of their 19 shots from 3-point land. From the charity stripe, the Rockets made 20 of their 29 tries for a rate of 69.0%. In regard to getting rebounds, they collected a total of 26 with 9 of them being offensive. They also doled out 15 assists in the matchup as well as forcing 9 turnovers and getting 5 steals. When discussing the defense, Toledo allowed the other team to go 47.4% from the floor on 27 out of 57 shooting. Kent State doled out 16 dimes and had 7 steals in this matchup. Moreover, Kent State collected 36 boards (12 offensive, 24 defensive), but didn't have a block. Kent State finished the game shooting 72.2% from the charity stripe by burying 26 of 36 attempts. They also made 7 out of their 24 attempts from distance. When talking about personal fouls, the Rockets ended up finishing with 25 while Kent State finished the game with 27 personal fouls.

Leroy Blyden Jr. is a guy who was a major factor for the game. He ended up shooting 54.5% from the field and also dished out 2 assists. He saw the court for 31 minutes and also snagged 6 rebounds. He ended up scoring 19 points on 6 out of 11 shooting.

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Toledo heads into this contest with a win-loss mark of 10-8 for the campaign. They turn it over 10.7 times per contest and as a squad they are committing 15.1 personal fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, Toledo is collecting 35.3 boards per game and has accounted for 293 dimes this year, which ranks 87th in the nation in terms of passing the rock. The Rockets are connecting on 34.4% on shots from beyond the arc (123 of 358) and 77.4% from the charity stripe. They average 82.8 points per contest (76th in the nation) on 47.6% from the floor.

On the defensive end of the court, the Rockets are able to force 13.3 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 18.2 personal fouls. They are relinquishing 34.8% on 3-point shots and they are ranked 303rd in Division 1 in PPG allowed (78.3). The Rockets are allowing a field goal percentage of 47.9% (535 of 1,118) and they concede 34.8 rebounds per contest as a team. They are ranked 304th in college in giving up assists to their opponents with 284 surrendered for the season.

When they last played, the UMass Minutemen took a defeat with a final score of 70-68 when they faced Northern Illinois. The Minutemen earned 24 defensive rebounds and 6 offensive boards for a total of 30 in the matchup. They also coughed it up 18 times, while getting 10 steals in this contest. Northern Illinois was called for 20 fouls in this matchup which took the Minutemen to the charity stripe for 30 attempts. They were able to make 21 of the free throws for a percentage of 70.0%. With respect to shots from distance, UMass converted 7 out of their 19 attempts (36.8%). Overall, the Minutemen finished 20 for 52 from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 38.5%. The Minutemen allowed Northern Illinois to make 21 out of 58 tries from the floor which had them shooting 36.2% in the matchup. They shot 24.1% from beyond the perimeter by going 7 out of 29 and walked away from this one shooting 21 of 30 at the free throw line (70.0%). Concerning rebounds, UMass permitted Northern Illinois to pull down 29 in all (9 on the offensive glass).

Leonardo Bettiol was important for the Minutemen for this contest. He totaled 25 points in his 29 minutes of playing time and tallied 1 assist in this matchup. He made 7 out of 12 in the matchup for a field goal rate of 58.3%, and had 7 rebounds.

UMass has a win-loss mark of 11-8 for the year. As an offensive unit, the Minutemen are connecting on 46.2% from the floor, which ranks 135th in the nation. UMass has accumulated 1,522 pts on the season (80.1 per game) and they collect 38.3 boards per game. Their rate of earning assists is at 17.7 times per game (27th in the country) and they cough up possession 13.8 times per game. The Minutemen commit 20.9 fouls per game and they hit 67.4% from the free throw line.

The Minutemen are ranked 201st in college in PPG allowed with 74.2. They are forcing their opponents into 13.1 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 43.5% from the floor (173rd in college hoops). The UMass defense allows 28.6% on shots from distance (129 of 451) and opponents are making 71.1% of their foul shots. They have given up 14.2 assists and 32.4 boards per game, which is 242nd and 68th in the country.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Toledo

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