Toledo Rockets vs Western Michigan Broncos Prediction, 2/11/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toledo Rockets vs Western Michigan Broncos

Date: Wednesday, February 11, 2026

Location: University Arena in Kalamazoo, MI

TV: ESPN+

University Arena is the site where the Western Michigan Broncos (8-15) will compete against the Toledo Rockets (12-12) on Wednesday.

The Toledo Rockets faced off with James Madison and went home with a loss by a final score of 73-71 in their last game. In relation to fouls, the Rockets walked away with 15 while James Madison racked up 17 fouls. They also converted 8 out of their 27 attempts from long range. James Madison finished the game shooting 88.2% from the free throw line by burying 15 of their 17 shots. Additionally, James Madison snagged 36 rebounds (9 offensive, 27 defensive), but wasn't able to record a rejection. James Madison recorded 14 assists and had 4 steals for the contest. Regarding defense, Toledo allowed 43.9% from the floor on 25 out of 57 shooting. They also dished out 14 assists in this contest in addition to forcing the other team into 11 turnovers and having 7 steals. When talking about hauling in boards, they earned 20 with 3 of them being of the offensive variety. At the free throw line, the Rockets converted 10 of their 15 tries for a percentage of 66.7%. Toledo ended the contest having earned a 48.3% FG percentage (28 out of 58) and buried 5 out of their 17 three-point shots.

Leroy Blyden Jr. is one player who came through in the matchup. He accounted for 24 points on 8 of 19 shooting. He was on the court for 37 minutes and snagged 3 rebounds. He finished the game shooting 42.1% from the floor and also recorded 5 assists.

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Toledo heads into this one with a mark of 12-12 this year. They are turning it over 10.9 times per game and as a group they are committing 15.1 fouls per contest. As a unit, Toledo is pulling down 34.0 boards per game and has tallied 382 dimes for the year, which is 80th in the nation in terms of passing the ball. The Rockets are hitting 34.8% on shots from 3-point land (166 of 477) and 77.9% from the charity stripe. They have an average of 80.9 points per game (92nd in the country) while connecting on 47.6% from the floor.

When they are on defense, the Rockets are able to force 13.4 turnovers per contest while drawing 17.3 personal fouls. They surrender 34.3% from 3-point land and they are ranked 278th in Division 1 in PPG from their opponents (77.5). The Rockets defense is giving up and opponent field goal percentage of 47.1% (695 of 1,476) and they relinquish 35.6 boards per game as a team. They are ranked 308th in college in allowing assists to their opponents with 371 conceded on the campaign.

When they last played, the Western Michigan Broncos took a loss by a final score of 77-61 when they faced Texas State. The Broncos corralled 17 defensive boards and 8 offensive boards for a total of 25 for the game. They also coughed up the ball 10 times, while recording 6 steals in this game. Texas State earned 8 fouls for this game which got the Broncos to the charity stripe for a total of 6 attempts. They were able to make 5 of the free throws for a percentage of 83.3%. When it comes to shots from 3-point land, Western Michigan converted 8 out of 22 tries (36.4%). When all was said and done, the Broncos ended up shooting 24 for 59 from the floor which gave them a rate of 40.7%. The Broncos permitted Texas State to bury 30 out of 56 tries from the field which left them shooting 53.6% in this contest. They finished 44.4% from three-point range by going 8 of 18 and walked away from this one shooting 9 of 10 from the charity stripe (90.0%). When talking about team rebounding, Western Michigan allowed Texas State to snag 28 overall (5 on the offensive glass).

Trey Lewis ended up being a major contributor for the Broncos in the matchup. He had 19 points in his 20 mins on the court, but wasn't able to earn an assist. He made 7 of 15 in this contest giving him a field goal percentage of 46.7%, and had 2 rebounds.

Western Michigan has a win-loss record of 8-15 so far this season. The Broncos are committing 18.8 personal fouls per game and they shoot 72.1% from the charity stripe. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 13.1 times per contest (251st in college) and they are giving up possession 12.8 times per game. Western Michigan has accounted for 1,716 pts so far this year (74.6 per game) and they average 36.6 rebounds per game. As an offense, the Broncos are connecting on 44.7% from the floor, which is 213th in college.

The Western Michigan defense allows 34.7% on shots from beyond the perimeter (222 of 639) and their opponents are making 71.4% of their shots from the free throw line. They give up 15.6 dimes and 34.9 total rebounds per game, which is 318th and 205th in those categories. The Broncos on the defensive end are ranked 321st in college in PPG given up with 79.6. They are forcing their opponents into 10.3 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 45.5% from the floor (273rd in college).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Toledo

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