Troy Trojans vs Florida State Seminoles Prediction, 11/6/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Troy Trojans vs Florida State Seminoles

Date: Friday, November 6, 2026

Location: Tucker Center in Tallahassee, FL

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Troy (+19.5)

Tucker Center is the site where the Florida State Seminoles (1-0) will try to beat the Troy Trojans (0-1) on Friday. Troy opens as 19.5-point dogs. The over/under comes in at 157.

The Troy Trojans faced off with UMass and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 71-60 in their last game. Troy finished having earned a 34.4% field goal percentage (22 out of 64) and knocked down 7 of their 28 3-point shots. From the free throw line, the Trojans knocked down 9 of their 14 tries for a rate of 64.3%. With respect to grabbing rebounds, they compiled 33 with 8 of them being on the offensive end. They also doled out 10 assists in this game as well as forcing 12 turnovers and earning 10 steals. Pertaining to the defense, Troy let their opponent shoot 43.1% from the field on 28 of 65 shooting. UMass doled out 16 dimes and had 5 steals for the matchup. Furthermore, UMass grabbed 44 rebounds (15 offensive, 29 defensive), but didn't record a block for the team. UMass shot 53.3% at the charity stripe by making 8 of 15 shots. They knocked down 7 out of their 24 attempts from 3-point land. With respect to fouls, the Trojans finished with 17 while UMass had 14 fouls.

Donovan Oday is one player who was a contributor for this contest. He finished 47.1% from the floor but didn't record a dime. He played for 36 minutes and also snagged 12 rebounds. He scored 21 points on 8 out of 17 shooting.

Get all of our NCAA Betting Picks

Troy enters this matchup with a mark of 0-1 so far this year. They are turning it over 9.0 times per game and as a squad are committing 17.0 personal fouls every game. As a unit, Troy is pulling down 40.0 boards per game and is sitting with 10 assists on the season, which has them ranked 313th in D-1 in terms of passing. The Trojans are hitting 25.0% on 3-pointers (7 of 28) and 64.3% from the charity stripe. They average 60.0 points per outing (305th in Division 1) while connecting on 34.4% from the field.

On the defensive end of the court, the Trojans have forced 13.0 turnovers per game while drawing 14.0 fouls. They are surrendering 29.2% from beyond the arc and they are ranked 194th in Division 1 in PPG allowed (71.0). The Trojans defensively are allowing a FG percentage of 43.1% (28 of 65) and they surrender 47.0 rebounds per game as a squad. They are 260th in D-1 in giving up assists to their opponents with 16 relinquished on the year.

For their last game, the Florida State Seminoles got the victory with a final of 113-69 against Florida A&M. The Seminoles were able to snag 31 defensive rebounds and 14 offensive boards totaling 45 in the game. They also gave up possession 7 times, while getting 12 steals for this contest. Florida A&M committed 23 personal fouls in this game which got the Seminoles to the free throw line for 34 attempts. They were able to make 27 of the free throws for a rate of 79.4%. In terms of shots from 3-point land, Florida State converted 8 out of their 24 attempts (33.3%). At the conclusion of this game, the Seminoles went 39 for 71 from the floor which gave them a rate of 54.9%. The Seminoles permitted Florida A&M to make 24 of 62 attempts from the floor which gave them a shooting percentage of 38.7% for the game. They finished the game shooting 37.0% from three-point range by going 10 of 27 and finished the contest at 11 out of 15 from the free throw line (73.3%). When it comes to cleaning the glass, Florida State allowed Florida A&M to get 24 in total (5 on the offensive glass).

Sebastian Rancik was important for the Seminoles for the game. He knocked down 8 out of 12 in this contest giving him a field goal percentage of 66.7%, and had 4 rebounds. He racked up 25 points in his 27 mins of playing time and tallied 2 assists for this contest.

Florida State has a win-loss record of 1-0 on the year. The Seminoles are committing 16.0 fouls every game and they shoot 79.4% from the charity stripe. They are assisting teammates 18.0 times per game (110th in Division 1) and they lose possession via turnover 7.0 times per game. Florida State has earned 113 points this season and they pull in 47.0 rebounds per contest. When it comes to offense, the Seminoles are hitting on 54.9% from the field, which is ranked 55th in the country.

The Seminoles defensively are ranked 177th in D-1 in points allowed per game with 69.0. They are forcing their opponents into 17.0 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 38.7% from the floor (149th in college). The Florida State defense gives up 37.0% on 3-point attempts (10 of 27) and their opponents are converting on 73.3% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have given up 11.0 dimes and 29.0 boards per game, which ranks 158th and 100th in Division 1.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Troy (+19.5)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here