Troy Trojans vs Georgia State Panthers Prediction, 2/4/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Troy Trojans vs Georgia State Panthers

Date: Wednesday, February 4, 2026

Location: GSU Convocation Center in Atlanta, GA

TV: ESPN+

GSU Convocation Center is the location where the Georgia State Panthers (9-14) will take on the Troy Trojans (15-8) on Wednesday.

The Troy Trojans took the court against Appalachian State and took a loss by a final of 66-44 in their last contest. Troy finished the contest having earned a 32.7% FG percentage (18 of 55) and knocked down 4 out of their 27 three-point attempts. From the free throw line, the Trojans made 4 of 4 tries for a rate of 100.0%. In terms of rebounding, they earned a total of 26 with 7 of them being on the offensive end. They also doled out 9 dimes in this matchup while forcing the other team into 11 turnovers and having 8 steals. Regarding defending, Troy allowed their opponent to shoot 43.4% from the field on 23 of 53 shooting. Appalachian State doled out 14 assists and had 8 steals for the matchup. Furthermore, Appalachian State snagged 32 boards (7 offensive, 25 defensive), but didn't notch a block. Appalachian State walked away from this one shooting 87.5% from the free throw line by converting 7 of 8 attempts. They also made 13 of their 37 shots from 3-point range. Concerning personal fouls, the Trojans ended up finishing with 11 and Appalachian State had 8 personal fouls.

Theo Seng is someone who was a contributor for the game. He accounted for 13 points on 6 of 10 shooting. He was on the court for 24 mins played and snagged 3 rebounds. He walked away from this one shooting 60.0% from the floor but had no assists at the end of the game.

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Troy comes into this contest with a win-loss record of 15-8 this season. They average 83.7 points per game (46th in the nation) while connecting on 45.2% from the field. The Trojans are connecting on 34.5% on shots beyond the perimeter (228 of 660) and 73.1% from the charity stripe. As a team, Troy is collecting 38.9 boards per game and is sitting with 377 dimes this season, which is 45th in the nation in terms of passing. They turn it over 12.0 times per game and as a team they are committing 17.2 fouls on a nightly basis.

On the defensive end, the Trojans are forcing their opponents into 14.2 turnovers every game and they draw 17.0 personal fouls. They are 224th in college in giving up assists to the opposition with 309 conceded so far this year. The Trojans defensively are giving up a FG percentage of 43.6% (619 of 1,420) and they concede 36.3 rebounds per contest as a team. They give up 33.8% on shots from beyond the arc and they rank 236th in Division 1 in points per game from their opponents (75.7).

When they last played, the Georgia State Panthers took a loss by a final score of 69-67 when they played South Alabama. In reference to team rebounding, Georgia State allowed South Alabama to grab 28 overall (7 on the offensive side). They finished 18.8% from beyond the arc by going 3 of 16 and ended up shooting 10 of 19 from the free throw line (52.6%). The Panthers permitted South Alabama to convert 28 of 54 attempts from the floor which left them with a rate of 51.9% for the contest. Overall, the Panthers went 21 out of 60 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 35.0%. With regard to shots from distance, Georgia State knocked down 15 out of their 42 tries (35.7%). They were able to bury 10 of them for a rate of 66.7%. South Alabama earned 10 personal fouls in the matchup which got the Panthers to the charity stripe for a total of 15 attempts. They also turned the ball over 8 times, while getting 3 steals for the contest. The Panthers pulled down 21 defensive boards and 12 offensive rebounds totaling 33 for this contest.

Malachi Brown ended up having an impact for the Panthers in the matchup. He knocked down 7 of 17 for the contest giving him a field goal percentage of 41.2%, and tallied 9 rebounds. He scored 21 points in his 38 minutes on the hardwood and earned 4 dimes for this contest.

Georgia State has a record of 9-14 on the season. The Panthers are committing 18.5 fouls every game while shooting 79.3% from the charity stripe. They are earning an assist 11.9 times per game (318th in D-1) and they turn the ball over 11.4 times per game. Georgia State has accounted for 1,632 points for the season (71.0 per contest) and they pull down 35.6 boards per game. As an offensive team, the Panthers are hitting on 38.2% from the field, which ranks them 365th in college.

The Georgia State defense allows 33.8% on shots from beyond the arc (182 of 538) and opponents are knocking down 69.0% of their foul shots. They concede 13.6 assists and 38.6 rebounds every game, which ranks them 195th and 347th in college. The Panthers on defense are ranked 189th in the nation in PPG surrendered with 73.8. They have forced 12.0 TO's every game and have let teams shoot 43.0% from the field (138th in college).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Troy

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