Troy Trojans vs Texas State Bobcats Prediction, 2/11/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Troy Trojans vs Texas State Bobcats

Date: Wednesday, February 11, 2026

Location: Strahan Arena at the University Events Center in San Marcos, TX

TV: ESPN+

The Troy Trojans (17-8) are traveling to Strahan Arena at the University Events Center on Wednesday where they will take on the Texas State Bobcats (15-11).

The Troy Trojans faced off with Akron and took home the win by a score of 79-69 in their last game. Regarding personal fouls, the Trojans ended up finishing with 12 and Akron racked up 13 personal fouls. They converted 8 out of their 30 shots from downtown. Akron finished shooting 69.2% at the free throw line by making 9 of their 13 tries. On top of that, Akron had 31 rebounds (8 offensive, 23 defensive), but didn't notch a rejection. Akron doled out 17 assists and had 4 steals in this game. In regard to defense, Troy allowed their opponent to shoot 44.1% from the floor on 26 out of 59 shooting. They also distributed 18 assists in the game in addition to forcing the opposition into 7 turnovers and earning 6 steals. In regard to rebounding, they compiled 32 with 9 of them being on the offensive end. At the free throw line, the Trojans made 15 of 17 attempts for a rate of 88.2%. Troy ended the game having earned a 43.1% field goal percentage (25 out of 58) and made 14 out of their 27 shots from distance.

Cooper Campbell is one player who was important for the contest. He accounted for 25 points on 10 out of 15 shooting. He was on the court for 34 minutes played and pulled down 2 boards. He finished the contest at 66.7% from the floor and also distributed 5 assists.

Get all of our NCAA Picks Tonight

Troy enters this game with a mark of 17-8 for the year. They cough up possession 11.7 times per game and as a squad are committing 16.9 fouls every game. As a unit, Troy is snagging 38.9 rebounds per contest and is sitting with 415 dimes for the campaign, which has them ranked 37th in college hoops in terms of passing the ball. The Trojans are hitting 35.0% on 3-point shots (250 of 715) and 73.5% from the charity stripe. They average 83.1 pts per contest (48th in Division 1) on 45.1% from the field.

Defensively, the Trojans have forced 13.7 turnovers per game while drawing 16.8 personal fouls. They currently rank 236th in college hoops in giving up assists with 340 relinquished for the year. The Trojans defense is allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 43.5% (667 of 1,535) and they concede 36.1 rebounds per game as a squad. They relinquish 33.4% on 3-point shots and they are ranked 222nd in college in PPG allowed (74.9).

When they last stepped on the court, the Texas State Bobcats got the victory with a final of 77-61 when they played Western Michigan. The Bobcats were able to snag 23 defensive boards and 5 offensive rebounds totaling 28 in this contest. They turned the ball over 8 times, while earning 7 steals for the game. Western Michigan had 10 personal fouls in this game which got the Bobcats to the charity stripe for a total of 10 shots. They were able to knock down 9 of the free throw tries for a percentage of 90.0%. When talking about shots from beyond the arc, Texas State made 8 of their 18 tries (44.4%). Overall, the Bobcats shot 30 for 56 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 53.6%. The Bobcats permitted Western Michigan to convert 24 of their 59 tries from the floor which had them shooting 40.7% in this game. They shot 36.4% from 3-point land by connecting on 8 of 22 and finished the contest at 5 of 6 from the free throw line (83.3%). Concerning attacking the glass, Texas State permitted Western Michigan to snag 25 overall (8 offensive).

Mark Drone ended up having an impact for the Bobcats in this matchup. He converted 9 out of 14 for this game giving him a rate of 64.3%, and accounted for 1 rebound. He recorded 20 points in his 34 minutes on the hardwood and earned 3 dimes in this game.

Texas State has a win-loss record of 15-11 on the campaign. As an offensive team, the Bobcats are shooting 45.9% from the floor, which is ranked 142nd in the nation. Texas State has totaled 1,915 points for the season (73.7 per contest) and they collect 36.7 rebounds per game. They are assisting teammates 13.0 times per contest (261st in the country) and they turn it over 13.0 times per contest. The Bobcats have committed 17.9 fouls every game and they go 75.9% from the charity stripe.

The Texas State defense surrenders 33.9% from downtown (186 of 548) and opponents are connecting on 70.5% of their foul shots. They have surrendered 10.9 assists and 31.5 rebounds per game, which ranks 24th and 39th in D-1. The Bobcats on the defensive side of the court are 96th in D-1 in PPG given up with 70.7. They are forcing 13.3 TO's every game and have let teams shoot 43.8% from the floor (171st in college hoops).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Texas State

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Get college basketball picks on every single game, or if you want our very best bets by the experts, sign up for your free $60 account with a guarantee.