UC Davis Aggies vs UC San Diego Tritons Prediction, 2/12/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: UC Davis Aggies vs UC San Diego Tritons

Date: Thursday, February 12, 2026

Location: LionTree Arena in San Diego, CA

TV: ESPN+

The UC Davis Aggies (15-9) are en route to LionTree Arena on Thursday where they will play the UC San Diego Tritons (16-9).

The UC Davis Aggies took the court against Cal Poly and took home the win by a score of 67-58 in their last game. UC Davis finished the contest with a 36.1% FG percentage (22 out of 61) and knocked down 8 of their 29 three-point shots. From the charity stripe, the Aggies made 15 of their 17 shots for a percentage of 88.2%. When talking about hauling in rebounds, they compiled a total of 35 with 13 of them being of the offensive variety. They also doled out 11 dimes in the matchup while forcing 19 turnovers and having 9 steals. When talking about the defense, UC Davis allowed the other team to go 31.6% from the field on 18 out of 57 shooting. Cal Poly distributed 8 assists and had 7 steals in this game. Furthermore, Cal Poly grabbed 35 rebounds (11 offensive, 24 defensive), but wasn't able to record a rejection. Cal Poly finished the game shooting 100.0% at the free throw line by making 14 of 14 attempts. They also converted 8 out of their 32 shots from beyond the arc. When discussing personal fouls, the Aggies left the arena with 15 while Cal Poly accounted for 16 personal fouls.

Marcus Wilson is a player who was a factor in the matchup. He ended up shooting 50.0% from the floor and also recorded 3 assists. He was on the hardwood for 33 mins played and also collected 4 boards. He notched 24 points on 8 out of 16 shooting.

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UC Davis heads into this contest with a win-loss mark of 15-9 so far this year. They turn it over 12.9 times per contest and as a unit they commit 18.8 personal fouls every game. As a unit, UC Davis is collecting 34.0 boards per contest and has 387 dimes so far this season, which is 72nd in D-1 in terms of passing the ball. The Aggies are shooting 36.3% on 3-pointers (214 of 589) and 75.2% from the free throw line. They currently have an average of 79.3 pts per game (113th in the country) while shooting 45.6% from the field.

On defense, the Aggies are forcing their opponents into 14.7 turnovers per contest while drawing 20.3 fouls. They give up 34.1% on 3-point shots and they are ranked 235th in the country in PPG from their opponents (75.4). The Aggies defense is allowing an opponent shooting percentage of 44.7% (612 of 1,370) and they surrender 34.7 boards per contest as a group. They are currently ranked 232nd in college in giving up assists to their opponents with 339 surrendered on the season.

For their last game, the UC San Diego Tritons went home defeated by a final of 72-67 against Hawaii. When talking about rebounds, UC San Diego permitted Hawaii to pull down 44 in total (10 offensive). They went 19.2% from behind the 3-point line by connecting on 5 out of 26 and ended up shooting 15 out of 23 from the charity stripe (65.2%). The Tritons allowed Hawaii to convert 26 out of their 60 tries from the floor which left them with a shooting percentage of 43.3% in this contest. When the final whistle was blown, the Tritons walked away from this one shooting 25 for 59 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 42.4%. Pertaining to shooting from 3-point land, UC San Diego knocked down 7 of 26 attempts (26.9%). They were able to convert 10 of those for a rate of 55.6%. Hawaii was called for 17 fouls for this game which took the Tritons to the charity stripe for a total of 18 tries. They also gave up possession of the ball 9 times, while earning 9 steals for this game. The Tritons earned 24 defensive boards and 2 offensive rebounds for a total of 26 for the matchup.

Tom Beattie was important for the Tritons for this game. He made 5 of 8 for the contest for a rate of 62.5%, and earned 1 rebound. He earned 14 points in his 29 mins of playing time and had 3 dimes for this game.

UC San Diego has a record of 16-9 for the year. The Tritons are responsible for committing 16.2 personal fouls every game and they shoot 68.5% from the free throw line. They are getting an assist 14.6 times per contest (148th in the nation) and they lose possession via turnover 11.2 times per contest. UC San Diego has accounted for 1,921 points for the season (76.8 per contest) and they average 37.2 rebounds per game. In terms of offensive execution, the Tritons are shooting 45.7% from the floor, which has them ranked 154th in college.

The Tritons on the defensive end are ranked 111th in college in PPG surrendered with 71.2. They are forcing 12.0 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 41.8% from the floor (69th in D-1). The UC San Diego defense surrenders 33.2% from downtown (211 of 636) and their opponents are connecting on 70.3% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have conceded 13.6 assists and 36.0 rebounds per game, which is 202nd and 271st in college hoops.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take UC Davis

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