UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs UC Davis Aggies Prediction, 3/11/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs UC Davis Aggies

Date: Wednesday, March 11, 2026

Location: Lee's Family Forum in Henderson, NV

TV: ESPN+

The UC Santa Barbara Gauchos (18-13) are on their way to Lee's Family Forum on Wednesday where they will attempt to defeat the UC Davis Aggies (18-13) in the Big West Tournament.

The UC Santa Barbara Gauchos took the court against UC-San Diego and went home with a loss by a final score of 64-63 in their last game. UC Santa Barbara finished with a 45.8% field goal percentage (22 out of 48) and buried 10 of their 27 3-point attempts. From the charity stripe, the Gauchos converted 9 of their 9 shots for a rate of 100.0%. In regard to grabbing rebounds, they collected 34 with 7 of them being of the offensive variety. They also recorded 12 dimes for the game while forcing the opposition into 7 turnovers and earning 2 steals. In the matter of defending, UC Santa Barbara let their opponent shoot 46.3% from the floor on 25 of 54 shooting. UC-San Diego dished out 9 dimes and had 16 steals in the game. Additionally, UC-San Diego grabbed 25 rebounds (6 offensive, 19 defensive), but wasn't able to record a rejection. UC-San Diego finished the game shooting 66.7% when shooting free throws by making 12 of their 18 attempts. They also made 2 out of their 15 tries from beyond the arc. When discussing personal fouls, the Gauchos ended up finishing with 18 while UC-San Diego racked up 14 personal fouls.

CJ Shaw is someone who came through for the contest. He ended up scoring 13 points on 4 out of 9 shooting. He was on the court for 30 minutes and also collected 2 rebounds. He finished the contest at 44.4% from the floor and totaled 3 assists.

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UC Santa Barbara enters this one with a record of 18-13 this season. They are averaging 77.7 points per outing (137th in the nation) while hitting 47.1% from the field. The Gauchos are shooting 37.9% on 3-pointers (284 of 749) and 76.2% from the free throw line. As a team, UC Santa Barbara is pulling in 35.0 boards per game and has totaled 450 dimes on the season, which is 143rd in Division 1 in terms of passing the ball. They lose possession via turnover 12.9 times per contest and as a group are committing 18.8 fouls per game.

When they are on defense, the Gauchos have forced 11.9 turnovers per game and they draw 18.3 fouls. They concede 33.8% from beyond the arc and they are 143rd in Division 1 in points per game allowed (72.5). The Gauchos defensively are giving up a shooting percentage of 46.1% (777 of 1,684) and they concede 30.1 rebounds per game as a squad. They are 79th in college in allowing assists to the opposition with 381 surrendered for the campaign.

When they last played, the UC Davis Aggies went home defeated by a final of 79-69 against UC Irvine. The Aggies corralled 16 defensive boards and 4 offensive boards totaling 20 for this contest. They turned it over 10 times, while earning 11 steals for this contest. UC Irvine committed 16 personal fouls for the contest which took the Aggies to the charity stripe for 9 shots. They were able to convert 6 of those for a percentage of 66.7%. With regard to shooting from beyond the arc, UC Davis converted 13 of 36 attempts (36.1%). When the final whistle blew, the Aggies ended up going 25 for 65 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 38.5%. The Aggies allowed UC Irvine to knock down 27 of their 53 attempts from the floor which left them shooting 50.9% in this game. They went 42.9% from 3-point land via 6 of 14 and walked away from this one shooting 19 out of 27 from the free throw line (70.4%). When it comes to attacking the glass, UC Davis permitted UC Irvine to snag 46 in total (9 on the offensive side).

Niko Rocak ended up being a major contributor for the Aggies for this game. He earned 20 points in his 34 minutes on the hardwood and added 1 assist in this matchup. He made 6 of 15 for this contest giving him a field goal percentage of 40.0%, and accounted for 5 rebounds.

UC Davis has a mark of 18-13 on the campaign. The Aggies have committed 18.5 personal fouls per game while shooting 75.0% from the charity stripe. They are assisting teammates 15.7 times per contest (81st in college) and they are turning it over 12.8 times per game. UC Davis has scored 2,413 points for the season (77.8 per game) and they grab 33.3 rebounds per game. On the offensive side of the court, the Aggies are connecting on 44.8% from the floor, which ranks them 207th in college hoops.

The UC Davis defense surrenders 34.5% from downtown (234 of 679) and their opponents are connecting on 72.5% of their foul shots. They have conceded 13.8 dimes and 35.1 boards every game, which has them ranked 217th and 231st in college. The Aggies on defense are ranked 216th in college in PPG given up with 74.9. They are forcing their opponents into 14.9 turnovers per game and allow teams to shoot 45.2% from the field (246th in Division 1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take UC Santa Barbara

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