UConn Huskies vs Duke Blue Devils Prediction, 3/29/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: UConn Huskies vs Duke Blue Devils

Date: Sunday, March 29, 2026

Location: Capital One Arena in Washington, DC

TV: CBS

Odds/Point Spread: Duke (-5)

Capital One Arena is the location where the Duke Blue Devils (35-2) will go up against the UConn Huskies (32-5) on Sunday in the Elite 8. UConn opens this matchup as 5-point dogs from oddsmakers. The over/under is 133.

The UConn Huskies stepped onto the hardwood against UCLA and notched a win by a score of 73-57 in the Sweet 16. When it comes to personal fouls, the Huskies left the arena with 20 while UCLA recorded 16 personal fouls. They buried 5 out of their 13 attempts from 3-point land. UCLA ended up going 66.7% at the free throw line by making 14 of their 21 tries. On top of that, UCLA grabbed 23 rebounds (7 offensive, 16 defensive), but couldn't earn a rejection. UCLA recorded 14 assists and had 4 steals for the game. When it comes to defense, UConn let their opponent shoot 38.8% from the field on 19 of 49 shooting. They also doled out 16 assists for the matchup while forcing the opposition into 11 turnovers and getting 7 steals. In relation to getting rebounds, they earned 34 with 10 of them being of the offensive sort. At the charity stripe, the Huskies made 19 of their 21 shots for a percentage of 90.5%. UConn walked away from the contest with a 46.9% field goal percentage (23 out of 49) and made 8 out of their 24 shots from 3-point land.

Alex Karaban is a guy who was a contributor for the contest. He finished with 27 points on 9 of 16 shooting. He saw the court for 36 mins and collected 5 rebounds. He went 56.3% from the floor and recorded 1 assist.

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UConn comes into this one with a mark of 32-5 for the year. They are averaging 77.2 points per contest (144th in Division 1) while going 48.2% from the field. The Huskies are connecting on 34.9% on shots from 3-point land (305 of 874) and 72.0% from the charity stripe. As a team, UConn is snagging 36.6 boards per game and has accounted for 683 dimes so far this season, which is 3rd in D-1 in terms of passing. They turn it over 11.2 times per contest and as a team are committing 18.0 personal fouls every game.

On defense, the Huskies are able to force 11.9 turnovers per game while drawing 17.0 fouls. They are relinquishing 30.6% on shots from beyond the arc and they rank 11th in college in PPG allowed (65.0). The Huskies defense is allowing a shooting percentage of 40.2% (803 of 1,996) and they relinquish 30.8 rebounds per contest as a team. They are 77th in the nation in allowing assists with 400 conceded so far this year.

In the Sweet 16, the Duke Blue Devils went home victorious by a score of 80-75 when they played St. John's. Concerning how they attacked the glass, Duke permitted St. John's to grab 24 in total (8 on the offensive side). They finished 40.6% from 3-point land by connecting on 13 of 32 and walked away from this one shooting 4 of 8 at the free throw line (50.0%). The Blue Devils allowed St. John's to make 29 out of their 64 tries from the floor which had them shooting 45.3% for the game. At the conclusion of this game, the Blue Devils shot 30 for 56 from the floor which had them shooting 53.6%. In the matter of shots from beyond the arc, Duke made 5 out of their 14 attempts (35.7%). They were able to make 15 of those for a rate of 62.5%. St. John's was called for 20 fouls for this game which got the Blue Devils to the free throw line for 24 tries. They also turned the ball over 8 times, while earning 4 steals in this contest. The Blue Devils snagged 25 defensive rebounds and 11 offensive rebounds for a total of 36 in the game.

Isaiah Evans ended up being a factor for the Blue Devils in the matchup. He recorded 25 points in his 34 minutes on the court, but didn't record an assist. He made 10 out of 15 in this contest for a field goal rate of 66.7%, and had 4 rebounds.

Duke has a record of 35-2 for the year. In terms of offensive execution, the Blue Devils are hitting on 49.0% from the field, which ranks them 20th in the nation. Duke has earned 3,030 pts on the campaign (81.9 per game) and they average 40.4 rebounds per game. They are assisting teammates 16.7 times per game (37th in the country) and they lose possession via turnover 10.6 times per game. The Blue Devils are committing 15.5 fouls per contest while shooting 72.9% from the charity stripe.

The Duke defense gives up 30.8% on 3-pointers (302 of 979) and their opposition knocks down 71.2% of their free throw attempts. They have given up 11.9 dimes and 29.3 boards every game, which ranks them 62nd and 6th in Division 1. The Blue Devils on the defensive end are ranked 4th in college in points allowed per contest with 63.4. They are forcing their opponents into 11.7 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 39.2% from the field (9th in D-1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Duke (-5)

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