UConn Huskies vs St. John's Red Storm Prediction, 3/14/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: UConn Huskies vs St. John's Red Storm

Date: Saturday, March 14, 2026

Location: Madison Square Garden in New York, NY

TV: FOX

Odds/Point Spread: St. John's (+3)

The St. John's Red Storm (26-6) will try to beat the UConn Huskies (28-4) at Madison Square Garden on Saturday in the Big East Tournament Final. UConn opens this game as 3-point favorites. The over/under comes in at 140.5.

The UConn Huskies faced off with Xavier and earned the victory with a final of 93-68 in their last game. In regard to fouls, the Huskies ended up finishing with 20 while Xavier finished the game with 14 fouls. They buried 9 of their 28 tries from long range. Xavier shot 63.6% from the charity stripe by converting 21 of 33 attempts. On top of that, Xavier grabbed 24 rebounds (10 offensive, 14 defensive), but wasn't able to record a block. Xavier recorded 6 assists and had 6 steals in the matchup. When discussing defending, UConn allowed 37.3% from the field on 19 of 51 shooting. They also recorded 18 assists for this contest while forcing 10 turnovers and having 7 steals. When it comes to hauling in boards, they earned 39 with 12 of them being offensive. When they shot from the free throw line, the Huskies knocked down 11 of their 13 shots for a percentage of 84.6%. UConn finished having earned a 57.4% FG percentage (35 of 61) and made 12 of their 32 shots from beyond the arc.

Solomon Ball is one player who came through for this game. He shot 41.7% from the field and also earned 2 dimes. He was on the court for 25 minutes and also pulled down 4 rebounds. He scored 19 points on 5 of 12 shooting.

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UConn comes into this contest with a win-loss record of 28-4 so far this year. They are losing possession via turnover 11.0 times per game and as a team are committing 18.2 fouls on a nightly basis. As a unit, UConn is pulling down 36.6 boards per contest and has totaled 593 dimes this year, which is 6th in college in terms of passing the ball. The Huskies are shooting 35.8% on 3-pointers (272 of 760) and 71.4% from the charity stripe. They average 78.6 points per outing (111th in college) while going 48.7% from the floor.

When they are on defense, the Huskies are forcing 12.2 turnovers per contest while drawing 17.3 personal fouls. They rank 13th in college in giving up assists with 336 surrendered this season. The Huskies defensively are allowing a shooting percentage of 40.0% (694 of 1,736) and they relinquish 31.2 boards per contest as a squad. They are conceding 30.9% on shots from beyond the arc while they are 13th in the country in points per game allowed (65.3).

When they last played, the St. John's Red Storm walked away with a victory by a final of 85-72 when they faced Providence. When discussing cleaning the glass, St. John's permitted Providence to snag 29 in total (3 on the offensive glass). They went 35.7% from distance by going 5 of 14 and ended up shooting 17 out of 25 from the free throw line (68.0%). The Red Storm permitted Providence to convert 25 of their 56 attempts from the floor which gave them a rate of 44.6% in this game. When the final whistle was blown, the Red Storm finished 33 for 77 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 42.9%. In regard to shots from beyond the perimeter, St. John's made 7 of their 27 tries (25.9%). They were able to bury 12 of them for a rate of 70.6%. Providence was called for 13 personal fouls for the contest which got the Red Storm to the charity stripe for a total of 17 shots. They coughed up the ball 9 times, while getting 6 steals in the matchup. The Red Storm were able to collect 30 defensive rebounds and 17 offensive boards for a total of 47 in this contest.

Zuby Ejiofor pitched in for the Red Storm in this matchup. He buried 9 of 14 in this matchup for a field goal percentage of 64.3%, and earned 10 rebounds. He scored 21 points in his 23 mins on the hardwood and had 5 assists for the matchup.

St. John's has a win-loss mark of 26-6 for the year. The Red Storm have committed 17.3 fouls per game and they shoot 72.4% from the charity stripe. They are earning an assist 16.4 times per game (48th in D-1) and they are turning it over 10.5 times per contest. St. John's has scored 2,623 points so far this season (82.0 per contest) and they collect 39.1 boards per contest. As an offensive unit, the Red Storm are connecting on 45.1% from the field, which is 193rd in the country.

The Red Storm on the defensive end are ranked 89th in college hoops in PPG given up with 70.6. They are forcing 13.8 TO's per game and have let teams shoot 42.3% from the field (70th in college). The St. John's defense gives up 32.0% on shots from behind the 3-point line (206 of 644) and their opponents are converting on 71.5% of their foul shots. They have given up 11.8 dimes and 34.4 total boards per game, which has them ranked 57th and 183rd in college.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take St. John's (+3)

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