UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves Prediction, 2/11/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: UL Monroe Warhawks vs Arkansas State Red Wolves

Date: Wednesday, February 11, 2026

Location: First National Bank Arena in Jonesboro, AR

TV: ESPN+

The UL Monroe Warhawks (4-21) are headed to First National Bank Arena on Wednesday where they will go up against the Arkansas State Red Wolves (15-10).

The UL Monroe Warhawks played Ball State and took a loss by a score of 73-68 in their last contest. In relation to personal fouls, the Warhawks walked away with 16 and Ball State finished the game with 20 personal fouls. They converted 5 of 16 shots from beyond the perimeter. Ball State finished 77.8% at the free throw line by knocking down 14 of their 18 attempts. In addition, Ball State collected 36 rebounds (13 offensive, 23 defensive), but didn't notch a block. Ball State earned 10 dimes and had 9 steals in the game. With respect to defense, UL Monroe allowed their opponent to shoot 43.5% from the floor on 27 of 62 shooting. They also doled out 7 assists for this game in addition to creating 14 turnovers and earning 10 steals. In reference to getting rebounds, they compiled a total of 32 with 8 of them being of the offensive sort. From the free throw line, the Warhawks made 30 of their 36 attempts for a rate of 83.3%. UL Monroe walked away from the game with a 37.5% field goal percentage (18 of 48) and made 2 of their 18 shots from distance.

Krystian Lewis is a player who was a major contributor in this contest. He ended up with 26 points on 5 out of 11 shooting. He was on the court for 37 mins and pulled down 4 rebounds. He walked away from this one shooting 45.5% from the field and totaled 3 dimes.

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UL Monroe will enter this game with a mark of 4-21 on the season. They average 71.8 pts per game (283rd in D-1) while shooting 41.2% from the field. The Warhawks are connecting on 31.9% on 3-pointers (190 of 596) and 73.4% from the free throw line. As a unit, UL Monroe is snagging 33.2 rebounds per game and has accumulated 306 dimes on the year, which is 277th in the country in terms of passing the ball. They are losing possession via turnover 13.0 times per game and as a unit they commit 14.1 personal fouls on a nightly basis.

Defensively, the Warhawks are forcing their opponents into 11.8 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 18.6 personal fouls. They are ranked 354th in college in giving up assists with 429 conceded for the season. The Warhawks defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 47.2% (766 of 1,623) and they surrender 40.1 boards per game as a unit. They surrender 34.1% on shots from downtown and they are ranked 348th in the nation in points per game allowed (82.1).

When they last played, the Arkansas State Red Wolves took home the win by a final score of 91-54 against Bowling Green. Concerning how they cleaned up the glass, Arkansas State allowed Bowling Green to grab 27 in all (7 offensive). They finished 8.3% from three-point range by going 2 out of 24 and finished the game at 16 out of 22 from the charity stripe (72.7%). The Red Wolves permitted Bowling Green to make 18 of their 59 tries from the field which gave them a percentage of 30.5% in this contest. In all, the Red Wolves ended up going 33 out of 64 from the floor which had them shooting 51.6%. Pertaining to shots from downtown, Arkansas State knocked down 13 of 31 tries (41.9%). They were able to knock down 12 of them for a percentage of 57.1%. Bowling Green committed 16 fouls in this matchup which took the Red Wolves to the charity stripe for 21 shots. They also coughed up the ball 13 times, while recording 11 steals for the game. The Red Wolves were able to pull down 30 defensive boards and 14 offensive rebounds totaling 44 for the matchup.

Christian Harmon ended up being important for the Red Wolves for this game. He converted 6 of 10 for this contest for a field goal rate of 60.0%, and earned 4 rebounds. He earned 18 points in his 25 mins on the court and accumulated 3 assists in the game.

Arkansas State has a mark of 15-10 on the year. In terms of offensive execution, the Red Wolves are connecting on 44.6% from the floor, which is ranked 214th in college. Arkansas State has earned 2,036 points this year (81.4 per contest) and they pull down 40.0 boards per contest. They are getting an assist 15.4 times per contest (101st in college) and they turn the ball over 14.2 times per contest. The Red Wolves have committed 18.7 fouls every game and they go 75.2% from the free throw line.

The Arkansas State defense gives up 31.4% on shots from 3-point land (183 of 583) and opponents are knocking down 70.7% of their shots from the free throw line. They allow 13.6 assists and 33.3 rebounds per game, which has them ranked 205th and 110th in Division 1. The Red Wolves on the defensive end are ranked 272nd in college in points per game surrendered with 77.2. They have forced 12.0 TO's every game and allow teams to shoot 44.9% from the floor (239th in college).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take UL Monroe

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