UMass Minutemen vs Miami RedHawks Prediction, 3/12/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: UMass Minutemen vs Miami RedHawks

Date: Thursday, March 12, 2026

Location: Rocket Arena in Cleveland, OH

TV: ESPN+

The UMass Minutemen (16-15) are en route to Rocket Arena on Thursday where they will take on the Miami RedHawks (31-0) in the MAC Tournament.

The UMass Minutemen faced off with Ohio and notched a win by a score of 94-82 in their last game. With respect to fouls, the Minutemen ended up with 21 while Ohio recorded 22 fouls. They also knocked down 5 of their 28 shots from 3-point land. Ohio went 79.3% at the free throw line by burying 23 of their 29 attempts. Furthermore, Ohio collected 28 rebounds (10 offensive, 18 defensive), but didn't notch a block. Ohio earned 18 assists and had 5 steals in this game. When talking about the defense, UMass let their opponent shoot 40.3% from the floor on 27 of 67 shooting. They also doled out 19 assists in this game as well as forcing the opposition into 8 turnovers and getting 6 steals. In terms of getting rebounds, they collected 33 with 8 of them being on the offensive end. When they shot from the free throw line, the Minutemen converted 27 of their 35 tries for a rate of 77.1%. UMass wrapped up the game with a 52.6% field goal percentage (30 of 57) and buried 7 out of their 22 three-point shots.

Marcus Banks Jr. is someone who was important for this game. He ended up going 53.3% from the field and recorded 2 assists. He was on the hardwood for 34 mins and also collected 1 rebound. He notched 31 points on 8 of 15 shooting.

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UMass comes into this one with a win-loss mark of 16-15 on the year. They average 80.5 points per game (78th in the nation) while connecting on 46.9% from the floor. The Minutemen are shooting 35.4% on three-point shots (241 of 680) and 67.4% from the free throw line. As a unit, UMass is grabbing 37.4 boards per game and has earned 538 assists on the campaign, which is 33rd in the country in terms of passing. They lose possession via turnover 13.1 times per contest and as a group they are committing 21.0 personal fouls every game.

When they are on defense, the Minutemen have forced 12.4 turnovers per game while drawing 19.1 fouls. They are ranked 265th in college hoops in giving up assists to their opponents with 458 surrendered for the campaign. The Minutemen defense is allowing an opponent FG percentage of 44.8% (791 of 1,767) and they concede 32.3 rebounds per game as a team. They are surrendering 32.1% on 3-point attempts and they rank 280th in college in PPG from their opponents (77.5).

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the Miami RedHawks walked away with a victory by a final of 110-108 when they faced Ohio. The RedHawks snagged 26 defensive rebounds and 10 offensive boards for a total of 36 for the matchup. They coughed it up 8 times, while getting 4 steals for the matchup. Ohio had 27 personal fouls in the game which took the RedHawks to the free throw line for a total of 41 tries. They were able to make 31 of them for a percentage of 75.6%. When it comes to 3-pointers, Miami knocked down 11 of 26 tries (42.3%). When this game wrapped up, the RedHawks walked away from this one shooting 34 out of 67 from the field which had them at 50.7%. The RedHawks permitted Ohio to convert 37 out of their 76 tries from the floor which gave them a percentage of 48.7% in this game. They finished the game shooting 43.8% from beyond the arc by shooting 14 of 32 and finished the contest at 20 out of 25 from the charity stripe (80.0%). In the matter of how they attacked the glass, Miami allowed Ohio to collect 26 overall (8 offensive).

Eian Elmer was important for the RedHawks for the matchup. He had 32 points in his 42 minutes on the court, but didn't get an assist. He converted 11 of 16 for the contest for a field goal percentage of 68.8%, and had 12 rebounds.

Miami has a win-loss mark of 31-0 on the year. When it comes to executing on offense, the RedHawks are shooting 52.6% from the floor, which has them ranked 1st in the nation. Miami has scored 2,819 points so far this year (90.9 per game) and they collect 35.8 boards per contest. They are earning an assist 16.0 times per contest (64th in college) and they cough up possession 10.5 times per game. The RedHawks have committed 16.1 fouls per game and they go 74.9% from the charity stripe.

The Miami defense concedes 32.7% on shots from beyond the arc (240 of 733) and their opposition knocks down 73.7% of their shots from the free throw line. They have surrendered 12.6 assists and 33.3 total boards per game, which is ranked 115th and 111th in college hoops. The RedHawks defensively are ranked 215th in college in points per game surrendered with 74.9. They are forcing their opponents into 12.9 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 43.3% from the floor (121st in college hoops).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take UMass

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