UMass Minutemen vs Troy Trojans Prediction, 11/2/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: UMass Minutemen vs Troy Trojans
Date: Monday, November 2, 2026
Location: Trojan Arena in Troy, AL
TV: ESPN+
The Troy Trojans (22-12 last season) are hosting the UMass Minutemen (17-16 last year) at Trojan Arena on Monday.

The UMass Minutemen played Toledo and took a loss by a score of 77-67 in their last game. Concerning fouls, the Minutemen ended up finishing with 15 while Toledo recorded 15 fouls. They made 7 out of their 20 attempts from long range. Toledo went 57.1% from the charity stripe by converting 8 of 14 shots. Moreover, Toledo pulled down 27 boards (3 offensive, 24 defensive), but didn't have a block. Toledo distributed 21 assists and had 9 steals for the matchup. With regard to defense, UMass allowed the other team to go 57.4% from the field on 31 out of 54 shooting. They also doled out 9 assists in this contest in addition to creating 12 turnovers and having 10 steals. In regard to grabbing rebounds, they earned 36 with 12 of them being on the offensive end. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Minutemen made 11 of their 21 shots for a percentage of 52.4%. UMass ended the contest with a 41.3% field goal percentage (26 of 63) and buried 4 of their 21 shots from beyond the arc.
Leonardo Bettiol is a player who had an impact for the matchup. He ended up with 21 points on 8 out of 12 shooting. He played for 26 mins played and grabbed 6 boards. He finished the contest at 66.7% from the floor and also dished out 1 assist.
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UMass heads into this game after finishing with a mark of 17-16 last year. They turned the ball over 13.0 times per game and as a team committed 20.8 fouls on a nightly basis. As a squad, UMass pulled in 37.5 boards per game and totaled 562 assists last season, which had them ranked 44th in Division 1 in terms of passing. The Minutemen hit on 34.6% on shots from 3-point land (248 of 716) and 67.2% from the charity stripe. They had an average of 80.2 pts per game (79th in the country) while shooting 46.9% from the floor.
Defensively, the Minutemen forced their opponents into 12.3 turnovers per game while drawing 18.9 personal fouls. They were 301st in college in giving up assists to their opponents with 498 surrendered last season. The Minutemen defensively gave up a FG percentage of 45.2% (851 of 1,881) and they conceded 32.0 boards per contest as a team. They gave up 32.4% on shots from beyond the arc and they were ranked 285th in college in PPG allowed (77.6).
The last time they took the hardwood, the Troy Trojans took a defeat with a final score of 76-47 when they faced Nebraska. The Trojans corralled 22 defensive boards and 6 offensive rebounds totaling 28 for the game. They also gave up possession of the ball 17 times, while earning 5 steals in this contest. Nebraska earned 11 personal fouls in the game which took the Trojans to the charity stripe for a total of 14 tries. They were able to convert 13 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 92.9%. In regard to three-point attempts, Troy converted 8 of 28 tries (28.6%). When the final whistle was blown, the Trojans went 13 for 46 from the field which had them shooting 28.3%. The Trojans permitted Nebraska to make 28 of 65 attempts from the floor which gave them a rate of 43.1% for this game. They went 35.9% from distance by going 14 of 39 and walked away from this one shooting 6 out of 6 from the free throw line (100.0%). Regarding cleaning up the glass, Troy allowed Nebraska to get 34 in total (11 on the offensive glass).
Victor Valdes pitched in for the Trojans in the matchup. He had 14 points in his 26 mins on the court and had 2 assists for the game. He made 4 out of 7 in the game giving him a rate of 57.1%, and accumulated 2 rebounds.
Troy had a record of 22-12 last year. As an offensive team, the Trojans connected on 44.6% from the field, which had them ranked 210th in the nation. Troy totaled 2,696 points last season (79.3 per game) and they grabbed 38.1 boards per game. Their rate of earning assists was at 15.8 times per contest (67th in college hoops) and they turned the ball over 12.0 times per game. The Trojans were responsible for committing 16.6 personal fouls every game while shooting 74.1% from the charity stripe.
The Troy defense surrendered 31.5% on shots from distance (253 of 803) and opponents connected on 70.3% of their foul shots. They allowed 19.9 dimes and 34.8 boards per contest, which had them ranked 308th and 210th in college hoops. The Trojans on the defensive side of the court were 157th in D-1 in points given up per game with 73.2. They forced 12.5 TO's every game and allowed teams to shoot 43.3% from the field (122nd in Division 1).
Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take UMass
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