UNC Wilmington Seahawks vs Yale Bulldogs Prediction, 3/17/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: UNC Wilmington Seahawks vs Yale Bulldogs

Date: Tuesday, March 17, 2026

Location: John J. Lee Amphitheater in New Haven, CT

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Yale (-5)

The Yale Bulldogs (24-6) host the UNC Wilmington Seahawks (26-6) at John J. Lee Amphitheater on Tuesday in the 1st round of the NIT. Yale opens this matchup as 5-point favorites. The over/under is set at 146.

The UNC Wilmington Seahawks played Campbell and ended up losing by a score of 85-70 in their last contest. UNC Wilmington walked away from the game with a 38.8% FG percentage (26 of 67) and buried 2 out of their 18 3-point attempts. From the free throw line, the Seahawks buried 16 of 22 shots for a percentage of 72.7%. Concerning rebounding, they collected a total of 38 with 14 of them being of the offensive variety. They also recorded 11 assists in this contest as well as creating 8 turnovers and having 4 steals. With respect to defense, UNC Wilmington let their opponent shoot 45.6% from the field on 26 out of 57 shooting. Campbell dished out 14 assists and had 6 steals in this game. On top of that, Campbell had 31 rebounds (5 offensive, 26 defensive), but didn't notch a block. Campbell finished 83.9% at the charity stripe by making 26 of their 31 attempts. They also buried 7 out of their 22 tries from distance. Concerning personal fouls, the Seahawks left the arena with 25 and Campbell totaled 20 personal fouls.

Madison Durr is a player who was a major contributor in this matchup. He recorded 21 points on 5 out of 12 shooting. He was on the hardwood for 22 mins played and grabbed 1 rebound. He ended up shooting 41.7% from the floor and also distributed 2 dimes.

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UNC Wilmington enters this one with a win-loss mark of 26-6 so far this year. They average 77.0 pts per contest (151st in Division 1) while going 44.6% from the floor. The Seahawks are shooting 35.7% on three-point shots (256 of 717) and 68.7% from the free throw line. As a unit, UNC Wilmington is snagging 40.0 boards per contest and has totaled 433 assists for the campaign, which is 217th in D-1 in terms of passing. They cough up possession 10.0 times per game and as a unit are committing 17.2 personal fouls every game.

When they are on defense, the Seahawks are forcing 10.3 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 18.8 personal fouls. They are ranked 14th in college in allowing assists to the opposition with 350 relinquished so far this year. The Seahawks defense is allowing a FG percentage of 40.6% (750 of 1,847) and they concede 32.9 rebounds per game as a team. They are conceding 29.6% on 3-pointers while they are 38th in the country in opponents points per game (67.7).

When they last stepped on the court, the Yale Bulldogs took a loss by a final score of 88-84 when they played Penn. When it comes to team rebounding, Yale permitted Penn to collect 33 overall (9 offensive). They wrapped up this game 50.0% from three-point range via 14 of 28 and finished the game at 16 out of 16 from the free throw line (100.0%). The Bulldogs permitted Penn to convert 29 of their 64 tries from the floor which left them with a shooting percentage of 45.3% for the contest. Overall, the Bulldogs shot 31 out of 71 from the field which had them shooting 43.7%. Regarding shooting from 3-point land, Yale converted 9 of 24 attempts (37.5%). They were able to make 13 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 76.5%. Penn committed 16 fouls for the matchup which got the Bulldogs to the charity stripe for 17 tries. They turned the ball over 8 times, while getting 9 steals in this contest. The Bulldogs recorded 21 defensive rebounds and 15 offensive rebounds totaling 36 for the contest.

Trevor Mullin ended up being a factor for the Bulldogs for the contest. He earned 22 points in his 33 minutes on the court and had 4 dimes in the matchup. He made 6 out of 17 in this contest for a field goal percentage of 35.3%, and totaled 3 rebounds.

Yale has a mark of 24-6 this year. The Bulldogs are committing 15.7 personal fouls every game and they go 75.6% from the charity stripe. Their rate of dishing out assists is at 16.4 times per contest (45th in college hoops) and they are giving up possession 9.3 times per game. Yale has accounted for 2,453 points on the year (81.8 per contest) and they snag 35.2 boards per contest. When it comes to offense, the Bulldogs are connecting on 49.6% from the floor, which ranks them 16th in college hoops.

The Bulldogs on the defensive side of the court are 100th in D-1 in PPG given up with 71.0. They are forcing their opponents into 11.2 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 43.4% from the floor (130th in college hoops). The Yale defense surrenders 34.7% on three-point shots (279 of 803) and their opponents are making 72.4% of their shots from the charity stripe. They relinquish 13.5 assists and 30.8 boards per contest, which ranks 194th and 18th in Division 1.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Yale (-5)

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