Utah State Aggies vs Air Force Falcons Prediction, 1/6/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Utah State Aggies vs Air Force Falcons

Date: Tuesday, January 6, 2026

Location: Clune Arena in Colorado Springs, CO

TV: ESPN+

Clune Arena is the location where the Air Force Falcons (3-11) will take on the Utah State Aggies (12-1) on Tuesday.

The Utah State Aggies stepped onto the hardwood against San Jose State and walked away with a win by a score of 96-78 in their last contest. Utah State walked away from the game with a 63.0% field goal percentage (34 out of 54) and made 7 out of their 17 shots from 3-point land. From the charity stripe, the Aggies made 21 of 26 shots for a rate of 80.8%. When talking about rebounding, they compiled a total of 26 with 8 of them being offensive. They also doled out 20 dimes in the game as well as forcing the opposition into 8 turnovers and getting 5 steals. Pertaining to defense, Utah State let their opponent shoot 44.6% from the field on 25 out of 56 shooting. San Jose State doled out 12 assists and had 5 steals for the matchup. Additionally, San Jose State snagged 22 rebounds (9 offensive, 13 defensive), but couldn't earn a rejection. San Jose State shot 81.8% when shooting free throws by making 18 of 22 tries. They made 10 of their 20 attempts from long range. With respect to fouls, the Aggies ended up with 17 and San Jose State finished the game with 20 fouls.

MJ Collins is one guy who came through for the matchup. He finished with 23 points on 6 out of 11 shooting. He saw the court for 31 mins and collected 4 rebounds. He ended up shooting 54.5% from the field and also distributed 1 assist.

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Utah State comes into this one with a record of 12-1 so far this season. They are turning it over 12.4 times per game and as a squad they commit 18.7 personal fouls per contest. As a team, Utah State is pulling in 36.5 boards per contest and is sitting with 240 assists so far this season, which has them ranked 94th in the nation in terms of passing the ball. The Aggies are shooting 37.8% on shots from downtown (109 of 288) and 71.7% from the free throw line. They have an average of 85.6 points per game (54th in Division 1) while connecting on 52.5% from the field.

On the defensive end, the Aggies are able to force 16.1 turnovers on a nightly basis while drawing 17.6 personal fouls. They are ranked 12th in Division 1 in allowing assists to the opposition with 137 surrendered for the season. Aggies defense is giving up a FG percentage of 40.4% (288 of 712) and they concede 30.1 boards per game as a unit. They relinquish 32.7% on 3-point attempts while they are 54th in the country in points per game allowed (67.3).

When they last played, the Air Force Falcons walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 67-39 when they faced UNLV. The Falcons earned 23 defensive rebounds and 7 offensive rebounds for a total of 30 for the game. They also coughed up the ball 11 times, while earning 6 steals for the game. UNLV committed 19 fouls for this game which took the Falcons to the free throw line for 13 attempts. They were able to make 6 of the free throw tries for a clip of 46.2%. Concerning three-point shots, Air Force buried 3 out of 19 tries (15.8%). When the final whistle blew, the Falcons ended up shooting 15 out of 54 from the field which gave them a rate of 27.8%. The Falcons allowed UNLV to bury 26 of 60 tries from the field which left them with a shooting percentage of 43.3% for the matchup. They finished 23.5% from downtown by shooting 4 out of 17 and finished the game at 11 of 20 at the charity stripe (55.0%). In reference to rebounding, Air Force permitted UNLV to collect 47 in total (15 offensive).

Lucas Hobin ended up having an impact for the Falcons for the contest. He tallied 11 points in his 25 mins on the court and accounted for 1 assist for this contest. He made 4 of 12 for this game for a field goal rate of 33.3%, and accounted for 1 rebound.

Air Force has a record of 3-11 on the season. When it comes to executing on offense, the Falcons are hitting on 43.6% from the floor, which has them ranked 275th in the country. Air Force has 881 pts on the season (62.9 per game) and they grab 31.0 boards per contest. They are earning an assist 12.0 times per game (323rd in college) and they are turning it over 14.5 times per contest. The Falcons commit 17.6 fouls per contest while shooting 63.0% from the charity stripe.

The Air Force defense concedes 33.3% on 3-point shots (98 of 294) and opponents are making 71.7% of their shots from the charity stripe. They surrender 14.1 assists and 35.4 rebounds every game, which is ranked 238th and 234th in college hoops. The Falcons on the defensive side of the court are 177th in Division 1 in points per game surrendered with 73.2. They are able to force 12.0 turnovers on a nightly basis and allow teams to shoot 45.5% from the floor (289th in the country).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Utah State

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