Utah State Aggies vs Arizona Wildcats Prediction, 3/22/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Utah State Aggies vs Arizona Wildcats

Date: Sunday, March 22, 2026

Location: Viejas Arena in San Diego, CA

TV: truTV

Odds/Point Spread: Arizona (-11)

The Utah State Aggies (29-6) are traveling to Viejas Arena on Sunday where they will try to defeat the Arizona Wildcats (33-2) in the 2nd round of the NCAA Tournament. Arizona opens this matchup as 11-point favorites. The total comes in at 155.

The Utah State Aggies stepped onto the hardwood against Villanova and took home the win by a score of 86-76 in their last game. Utah State finished the contest having earned a 54.9% FG percentage (28 of 51) and made 2 of 16 shots from 3-point land. From the free throw line, the Aggies buried 28 of 36 shots for a rate of 77.8%. When talking about pulling down rebounds, they compiled a total of 34 with 8 of them being offensive. They also recorded 19 dimes in the game while forcing the other team into 8 turnovers and earning 4 steals. In terms of defense, Utah State let their opponent shoot 44.4% from the floor on 28 of 63 shooting. Villanova doled out 16 dimes and had 6 steals in this game. On top of that, Villanova grabbed 25 rebounds (10 offensive, 15 defensive), but wasn't able to record a rejection. Villanova finished the contest at 46.2% when shooting free throws by knocking down 6 of 13 tries. They made 14 of their 30 tries from 3-point range. Concerning personal fouls, the Aggies walked away with 14 and Villanova finished the game with 21 personal fouls.

Mason Falslev is one player who was important for this game. He finished the game at 56.3% from the field and earned 4 dimes. He saw the court for 35 minutes and also grabbed 7 boards. He accumulated 22 points on 9 of 16 shooting.

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Utah State enters this one with a mark of 29-6 so far this year. They turn it over 10.5 times per contest and as a group are committing 18.7 fouls every game. As a unit, Utah State is grabbing 34.7 rebounds per contest and has accounted for 618 assists on the season, which has them ranked 9th in the nation in terms of passing. The Aggies are shooting 35.4% on three-point attempts (295 of 834) and 71.0% from the free throw line. They have an average of 82.6 pts per contest (42nd in Division 1) while shooting 50.0% from the floor.

On defense, the Aggies are able to force 14.1 turnovers per game while drawing 18.1 personal fouls. They are ranked 128th in Division 1 in allowing assists to their opponents with 416 relinquished so far this season. The Aggies defense is allowing a field goal percentage of 42.4% (828 of 1,951) and they concede 32.7 rebounds per contest as a team. They are conceding 34.3% on shots from downtown while they are 85th in the country in points per game allowed (70.5).

For their last game, the Arizona Wildcats walked away with a victory by a final of 92-58 when they played LIU. The Wildcats recorded 36 defensive boards and 15 offensive boards for a total of 51 in this game. They turned the ball over 10 times, while earning 4 steals for this game. LIU committed 22 personal fouls for this game which took the Wildcats to the charity stripe for a total of 33 tries. They were able to make 22 of the free throws for a rate of 66.7%. When discussing 3-point attempts, Arizona converted 6 of their 13 attempts (46.2%). When the final whistle blew, the Wildcats ended up going 32 for 60 from the field which gave them a percentage of 53.3%. The Wildcats allowed LIU to convert 22 of 68 attempts from the field which had them shooting 32.4% in the matchup. They wrapped up this game 29.6% from beyond the perimeter by shooting 8 out of 27 and finished the game at 6 of 10 at the free throw line (60.0%). In the matter of how they attacked the glass, Arizona allowed LIU to grab 27 in all (10 on the offensive side).

Brayden Burries ended up being important for the Wildcats in this matchup. He earned 18 points in his 28 mins on the hardwood and accounted for 2 dimes for the contest. He made 6 out of 10 in the game giving him a field goal percentage of 60.0%, and totaled 5 rebounds.

Arizona has a win-loss record of 33-2 on the season. On the offensive side of the court, the Wildcats are hitting on 50.3% from the floor, which ranks 10th in college. Arizona has tallied 3,021 points on the campaign (86.3 per game) and they collect 42.8 boards per game. They are dishing out assists 16.9 times per contest (30th in Division 1) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 10.8 times per game. The Wildcats have committed 15.9 personal fouls per game and they connect on 73.2% from the free throw line.

The Arizona defense concedes 31.4% on three-point shots (257 of 819) and their opposition knocks down 71.3% of their foul shots. They give up 12.1 dimes and 31.7 rebounds per game, which is 74th and 35th in Division 1. The Wildcats on the defensive end are ranked 46th in college in PPG given up with 68.5. They have forced 11.9 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 39.0% from the floor (8th in college hoops).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Arizona (-11)

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