Utah State Aggies vs San Diego State Aztecs Prediction, 2/25/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Utah State Aggies vs San Diego State Aztecs

Date: Wednesday, February 25, 2026

Location: Viejas Arena in San Diego, CA

TV: ESPN+

The Utah State Aggies (23-4) are on their way to Viejas Arena on Wednesday where they will try to defeat the San Diego State Aztecs (18-8).

The Utah State Aggies faced Nevada and took a loss by a score of 80-77 in their last contest. When discussing fouls, the Aggies finished with 23 while Nevada accounted for 15 fouls. They also made 10 of 19 attempts from distance. Nevada finished the game shooting 74.1% from the free throw line by converting 20 of their 27 attempts. On top of that, Nevada snagged 35 rebounds (10 offensive, 25 defensive), but wasn't able to record a rejection. Nevada distributed 17 assists and had 3 steals for the contest. With respect to defense, Utah State allowed 51.0% from the field on 25 out of 49 shooting. They also distributed 19 dimes in the matchup in addition to forcing the other team into 14 turnovers and earning 12 steals. With respect to grabbing rebounds, they earned 27 with 10 of them being offensive. From the charity stripe, the Aggies buried 12 of their 19 tries for a rate of 63.2%. Utah State walked away from the contest with a 40.3% field goal percentage (25 of 62) and converted 15 out of their 34 shots from distance.

Drake Allen is someone who came through in the matchup. He finished the game shooting 46.2% from the floor and recorded 4 assists. He played for 34 mins played and pulled down 2 rebounds. He ended up walking away with 17 points on 6 out of 13 shooting.

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Utah State enters this contest with a mark of 23-4 on the year. They average 84.0 pts per contest (28th in the country) on 51.0% from the field. The Aggies are hitting 37.0% on shots from 3-point land (241 of 651) and 70.8% from the free throw line. As a team, Utah State is pulling down 35.3 boards per game and has earned 487 assists for the campaign, which is 25th in college hoops in terms of passing the rock. They are turning it over 10.9 times per game and as a group they are committing 18.8 fouls per game.

On defense, the Aggies are forcing 14.4 turnovers every game while drawing 17.6 personal fouls. They are giving up 33.1% on shots from beyond the arc and they are 65th in Division 1 in PPG allowed (69.0). The Aggies are giving up a shooting percentage of 41.2% (617 of 1,498) and they concede 32.0 rebounds per game as a team. They currently rank 12th in D-1 in allowing assists to the opposition with 294 relinquished on the campaign.

When they last stepped on the court, the San Diego State Aztecs walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 83-74 against Colorado State. The Aztecs were able to corral 20 defensive rebounds and 13 offensive boards totaling 33 for the game. They also coughed up the ball 11 times, while getting 6 steals for the matchup. Colorado State was called for 21 personal fouls in this matchup which got the Aztecs to the free throw line for a total of 24 attempts. They were able to bury 20 of the free throw attempts for a percentage of 83.3%. With respect to shots from beyond the arc, San Diego State made 8 of 22 tries (36.4%). When the game finished, the Aztecs walked away from this one shooting 23 out of 60 from the field which had them shooting 38.3%. The Aztecs permitted Colorado State to make 23 out of 49 tries from the floor which had them shooting 46.9% for this game. They finished the game shooting 41.9% from beyond the arc via 13 of 31 and finished the game at 24 out of 29 from the free throw line (82.8%). When talking about attacking the glass, San Diego State permitted Colorado State to grab 31 overall (9 offensive).

Reese Dixon-Waters was important for the Aztecs in the matchup. He accumulated 16 points in his 33 minutes on the court, but went home with no dimes. He converted 4 of 11 for the game for a field goal percentage of 36.4%, and had 2 rebounds.

San Diego State has a mark of 18-8 for the campaign. When it comes to offense, the Aztecs are connecting on 47.3% from the field, which ranks them 65th in the nation. San Diego State has tallied 2,052 pts for the year (78.9 per contest) and they collect 35.6 rebounds per game. They are dishing out assists 15.3 times per game (100th in college hoops) and they are turning it over 12.3 times per contest. The Aztecs have committed 18.8 fouls every game while shooting 75.8% from the free throw line.

The Aztecs on defense are ranked 78th in college in PPG given up with 70.0. They are forcing 15.2 TO's every game and have let teams shoot 39.6% from the floor (14th in college hoops). The San Diego State defense allows 32.7% on shots from 3-point land (236 of 722) and opponents are making 74.1% of their foul shots. They concede 13.5 assists and 33.5 rebounds every game, which is ranked 196th and 125th in those categories on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Utah State

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