Utah State Aggies vs UNLV Rebels Prediction, 3/3/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Utah State Aggies vs UNLV Rebels

Date: Tuesday, March 3, 2026

Location: Thomas & Mack Center in Las Vegas, NV

TV: ESPN+

The UNLV Rebels (14-14) are welcoming the Utah State Aggies (23-5) at Thomas & Mack Center on Tuesday.

The Utah State Aggies faced off with Grand Canyon and earned the victory with a final of 74-69 in their last contest. Utah State finished the contest with a 48.1% FG percentage (26 out of 54) and made 11 of their 23 shots from beyond the arc. When they shot from the free throw line, the Aggies converted 11 of their 19 shots for a percentage of 57.9%. With respect to rebounding, they compiled a total of 23 with 6 of them being on the offensive end. They also doled out 18 assists for this contest as well as forcing the other team into 14 turnovers and earning 7 steals. In relation to defending, Utah State allowed the other team to go 45.3% from the floor on 24 of 53 shooting. Grand Canyon totaled 13 dimes and had 3 steals in this game. Additionally, Grand Canyon snagged 31 boards (8 offensive, 23 defensive), but wasn't able to record a rejection. Grand Canyon ended up going 92.3% from the free throw line by burying 12 of 13 tries. They converted 9 out of their 28 shots from distance. When discussing fouls, the Aggies left the arena with 14 and Grand Canyon totaled 18 fouls.

Drake Allen is a player who was a major contributor in the matchup. He finished shooting 85.7% from the floor and dished out 2 dimes. He saw the court for 27 mins but concluded the game with no rebounds. He recorded 15 points on 6 of 7 shooting.

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Utah State heads into this game with a mark of 23-5 for the year. They currently have an average of 83.6 points per contest (34th in the country) while connecting on 50.6% from the floor. The Aggies are shooting 36.7% on shots from 3-point land (249 of 678) and 70.6% from the charity stripe. As a unit, Utah State is pulling in 35.1 rebounds per contest and has tallied 498 dimes this year, which is 26th in college hoops in terms of passing. They are losing possession via turnover 10.9 times per game and as a squad are committing 19.0 personal fouls on a nightly basis.

On the defensive end, the Aggies have forced 14.3 turnovers on a nightly basis and they draw 17.7 personal fouls. They concede 33.3% on 3-point shots while they are 71st in college hoops in points per game allowed (69.8). The Aggies defensively are giving up an opponent shooting percentage of 41.7% (647 of 1,553) and they relinquish 32.2 rebounds per contest as a team. They are currently ranked 21st in college hoops in giving up assists with 312 conceded this year.

The last time they took the court, the UNLV Rebels went home victorious with a score of 85-83 when they played Nevada. Regarding team rebounding, UNLV allowed Nevada to snag 29 overall (11 offensive). They finished the game shooting 50.0% from 3-point land by shooting 7 out of 14 and finished the game at 26 of 36 from the free throw line (72.2%). The Rebels allowed Nevada to convert 25 of 58 attempts from the field which gave them a percentage of 43.1% for this contest. When the final whistle blew, the Rebels ended up shooting 29 out of 58 from the floor which had them sitting at 50.0%. Regarding shots from beyond the arc, UNLV knocked down 8 of their 19 attempts (42.1%). They were able to bury 19 of the free throws for a percentage of 65.5%. Nevada had 20 personal fouls in this matchup which took the Rebels to the free throw line for a total of 29 attempts. They gave up possession 16 times, while getting 7 steals in this game. The Rebels were able to collect 25 defensive rebounds and 13 offensive rebounds for a total of 38 for this game.

Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn ended up being a major contributor for the Rebels for this contest. He buried 14 out of 22 in this matchup for a field goal percentage of 63.6%, and had 4 rebounds. He scored 42 points in his 42 mins on the hardwood and earned 2 assists for this game.

UNLV has a win-loss mark of 14-14 this season. In terms of offensive execution, the Rebels are shooting 46.8% from the floor, which has them ranked 93rd in the country. UNLV has accumulated 2,224 points for the year (79.4 per game) and they pull in 34.9 rebounds per game. They are getting an assist 14.1 times per game (166th in college hoops) and they cough up possession 11.8 times per game. The Rebels commit 21.6 personal fouls per game while shooting 69.1% from the charity stripe.

The Rebels defensively are ranked 312th in the nation in points given up per game with 78.8. They are forcing their opponents into 13.1 turnovers on a nightly basis and have allowed teams to shoot 45.8% from the field (276th in the nation). The UNLV defense gives up 36.3% on shots from beyond the perimeter (213 of 587) and opponents are knocking down 73.2% of their foul shots. They have allowed 14.8 dimes and 34.8 boards per contest, which ranks 284th and 217th in those categories on the defensive end.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Utah State

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