VCU Rams vs Dayton Flyers Prediction, 3/6/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: VCU Rams vs Dayton Flyers

Date: Friday, March 6, 2026

Location: UD Arena in Dayton, OH

TV: ESPN2

The VCU Rams (23-7) are en route to UD Arena on Friday where they will take on the Dayton Flyers (21-9).

The VCU Rams played George Mason and notched a win by a score of 70-65 in their last game. VCU walked away from the game having earned a 43.6% FG percentage (24 out of 55) and knocked down 7 out of their 20 three-point attempts. When they shot from the charity stripe, the Rams knocked down 15 of their 20 shots for a percentage of 75.0%. In terms of grabbing boards, they compiled a total of 29 with 8 of them being of the offensive sort. They also distributed 5 assists in this game in addition to forcing 10 turnovers and earning 4 steals. Pertaining to the defense, VCU allowed the other team to shoot 45.3% from the floor on 24 out of 53 shooting. George Mason doled out 9 dimes and had 5 steals in this contest. In addition, George Mason collected 29 rebounds (8 offensive, 21 defensive), but wrapped up the game with no rejections. George Mason ended up shooting 73.3% from the charity stripe by making 11 of their 15 tries. They converted 6 of their 19 tries from beyond the perimeter. When it comes to personal fouls, the Rams finished with 20 while George Mason accumulated 20 personal fouls.

Terrence Hill Jr. is someone who was a major contributor for the contest. He walked away from this one shooting 38.5% from the field and earned 2 dimes. He was on the court for 31 mins and also pulled down 1 rebound. He ended up scoring 16 points on 5 of 13 shooting.

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VCU heads into this game with a win-loss record of 23-7 for the campaign. They currently have an average of 82.9 points per contest (44th in the country) while hitting 46.1% from the field. The Rams are connecting on 36.3% on shots from 3-point land (283 of 779) and 74.0% from the charity stripe. As a team, VCU is pulling in 37.1 boards per game and has tallied 428 assists this season, which has them ranked 170th in the country in terms of passing. They turn it over 10.9 times per contest and as a team are committing 17.6 personal fouls per contest.

When they are on defense, the Rams have forced 12.0 turnovers per game and they draw 20.6 personal fouls. They currently rank 95th in the nation in giving up assists to their opponents with 373 conceded for the campaign. The Rams defense is allowing a shooting percentage of 43.2% (766 of 1,774) and they concede 34.0 boards per game as a team. They are relinquishing 33.6% on 3-point attempts and they are 141st in the nation in points per game allowed (72.5).

When they last played, the Dayton Flyers walked away with a victory by a final of 65-60 when they played Richmond. In regard to cleaning up the glass, Dayton permitted Richmond to collect 25 in total (8 on the offensive side). They shot 17.4% from distance by shooting 4 out of 23 and walked away from this one shooting 10 of 15 at the charity stripe (66.7%). The Flyers permitted Richmond to convert 23 out of 60 tries from the floor which had them at 38.3% for the matchup. When all was said and done, the Flyers went 21 for 43 from the floor which gave them a rate of 48.8%. Concerning shooting from 3-point land, Dayton converted 8 of their 21 tries (38.1%). They were able to convert 15 of those for a percentage of 83.3%. Richmond had 15 personal fouls in the matchup which took the Flyers to the free throw line for 18 shots. They coughed up the ball 15 times, while earning 3 steals for this contest. The Flyers were able to corral 27 defensive boards and 6 offensive boards for a total of 33 for this contest.

De'Shayne Montgomery ended up being important for the Flyers for the matchup. He knocked down 5 out of 8 in this matchup for a field goal percentage of 62.5%, and earned 7 rebounds. He had 15 points in his 29 minutes on the court and had 1 assist in the matchup.

Dayton has a record of 21-9 for the campaign. As an offense, the Flyers are connecting on 45.3% from the field, which is ranked 184th in college. Dayton has totaled 2,266 points for the year (75.5 per contest) and they grab 32.5 rebounds per game. They are earning an assist 14.5 times per contest (139th in Division 1) and they cough up possession 12.2 times per game. The Flyers have committed 16.7 personal fouls per game and they go 75.6% from the charity stripe.

The Dayton defense allows 35.3% on shots from beyond the arc (241 of 683) and their opponents are knocking down 70.6% of their shots from the free throw line. They allow 12.4 dimes and 34.1 boards on a nightly basis, which is 94th and 162nd in those categories. The Flyers defensively are ranked 79th in the nation in points given up per game with 70.2. They are able to force 15.1 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 43.5% from the floor (138th in D-1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take VCU

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