Virginia Tech Hokies vs Virginia Cavaliers Prediction, 3/7/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Virginia Tech Hokies vs Virginia Cavaliers

Date: Saturday, March 7, 2026

Location: John Paul Jones Arena in Charlottesville, VA

TV: ESPN+

John Paul Jones Arena is the site where the Virginia Cavaliers (26-4) will compete against the Virginia Tech Hokies (19-11) on Saturday.

The Virginia Tech Hokies faced Boston College and notched a win by a score of 72-63 in their last contest. In relation to personal fouls, the Hokies left the arena with 14 while Boston College recorded 16 personal fouls. They buried 5 of 22 shots from beyond the perimeter. Boston College finished shooting 40.0% at the free throw line by converting 4 of 10 shots. In addition, Boston College pulled down 35 rebounds (12 offensive, 23 defensive), but didn't notch a block. Boston College earned 9 dimes and had 6 steals in this contest. Regarding defense, Virginia Tech let their opponent shoot 42.2% from the floor on 27 of 64 shooting. They also recorded 9 assists in this matchup as well as forcing the opposition into 8 turnovers and having 3 steals. With regard to rebounding, they collected a total of 32 with 6 of them being on the offensive end. From the free throw line, the Hokies converted 15 of 18 attempts for a rate of 83.3%. Virginia Tech finished the game with a 43.4% FG percentage (23 of 53) and knocked down 11 of their 24 shots from beyond the arc.

Toibu Lawal is a player who was a contributor for the contest. He notched 20 points on 6 out of 11 shooting. He played 32 minutes played and also collected 7 rebounds. He ended up going 54.5% from the field and also recorded 1 assist.

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Virginia Tech enters this game with a mark of 19-11 this season. They currently have an average of 78.7 pts per game (116th in the country) while shooting 45.4% from the floor. The Hokies are hitting 36.1% on shots beyond the perimeter (258 of 715) and 73.8% from the charity stripe. As a team, Virginia Tech is pulling down 34.5 rebounds per game and has accounted for 430 dimes on the season, which has them ranked 164th in Division 1 in terms of passing the ball. They are giving up possession 10.4 times per game and as a team are committing 17.0 personal fouls every game.

On defense, the Hokies are able to force 12.1 turnovers per game and they draw 18.1 fouls. They give up 30.2% on shots from beyond the arc and they are 197th in Division 1 in points per game allowed (74.2). The Hokies are giving up a field goal percentage of 44.6% (816 of 1,830) and they relinquish 35.2 boards per contest as a group. They are currently ranked 104th in college in allowing assists to the opposition with 376 conceded on the campaign.

In their last game, the Virginia Cavaliers got the victory with a final of 75-70 against Wake Forest. When it comes to rebounding, Virginia allowed Wake Forest to get 28 in total (6 offensive). They wrapped up this game 32.0% from three-point range by shooting 8 of 25 and finished the game at 14 out of 15 at the free throw line (93.3%). The Cavaliers allowed Wake Forest to make 24 of 62 attempts from the floor which left them with a shooting percentage of 38.7% for the contest. When this game wrapped up, the Cavaliers went 25 out of 58 from the field which gave them a rate of 43.1%. With regard to shots from beyond the perimeter, Virginia knocked down 10 of 32 tries (31.3%). They were able to make 15 of the free throw tries for a rate of 65.2%. Wake Forest had 19 fouls in the game which got the Cavaliers to the charity stripe for a total of 23 shots. They coughed up the ball 10 times, while earning 5 steals for the game. The Cavaliers collected 28 defensive rebounds and 11 offensive rebounds for a total of 39 for this contest.

Thijs De Ridder ended up being important for the Cavaliers for the matchup. He knocked down 4 out of 10 for the matchup giving him a field goal percentage of 40.0%, and accounted for 7 rebounds. He had 16 points in his 30 minutes on the court and accumulated 3 dimes for the contest.

Virginia has a mark of 26-4 this year. The Cavaliers commit 17.9 personal fouls per contest and they shoot 71.3% from the free throw line. They are assisting teammates 16.7 times per contest (40th in the nation) and they are turning it over 10.8 times per game. Virginia has totaled 2,431 pts so far this year (81.0 per game) and they average 40.9 boards per game. In terms of offensive execution, the Cavaliers are connecting on 46.1% from the field, which is 131st in college.

The Virginia defense allows 30.8% on 3-point attempts (202 of 656) and their opponents are knocking down 74.7% of their free throw attempts. They surrender 11.7 dimes and 32.7 boards per contest, which ranks them 48th and 76th in college hoops. The Cavaliers defensively are ranked 43rd in the nation in points allowed per game with 68.1. They are forcing 10.8 TO's per game and have allowed teams to shoot 39.6% from the field (14th in Division 1).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Virginia

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