VMI Keydets vs Chattanooga Mocs Prediction, 2/28/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: VMI Keydets vs Chattanooga Mocs

Date: Saturday, February 28, 2026

Location: McKenzie Arena in Chattanooga, TN

TV: ESPN+

McKenzie Arena is where the Chattanooga Mocs (12-18) will play the VMI Keydets (6-24) on Saturday.

The VMI Keydets stepped onto the hardwood against Samford and ended up losing by a score of 80-61 in their last game. VMI walked away from the contest with a 37.3% FG percentage (22 of 59) and knocked down 7 out of their 31 three-point attempts. At the free throw line, the Keydets converted 10 of their 15 shots for a percentage of 66.7%. When discussing pulling down boards, they collected 31 with 9 of them being on the offensive end. They also doled out 10 assists in the matchup while forcing the other team into 9 turnovers and getting 6 steals. Regarding defending, VMI allowed 50.0% from the field on 27 of 54 shooting. Samford recorded 19 assists and had 3 steals in this matchup. On top of that, Samford snagged 35 rebounds (7 offensive, 28 defensive), but finished the game with no rejections. Samford ended up going 73.7% from the free throw line by knocking down 14 of 19 attempts. They converted 12 of their 31 attempts from downtown. When discussing fouls, the Keydets ended up with 13 while Samford totaled 14 fouls.

Tan Yildizoglu is one player who came through in this matchup. He notched 17 points on 6 of 14 shooting. He saw the court for 36 minutes and also grabbed 7 rebounds. He ended up shooting 42.9% from the floor and also dished out 5 assists.

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VMI comes into this matchup with a win-loss record of 6-24 for the year. They turn it over 10.3 times per contest and as a team are committing 16.9 fouls on a nightly basis. As a team, VMI is grabbing 33.4 rebounds per game and has tallied 379 assists this season, which ranks 243rd in college in terms of passing. The Keydets are connecting on 32.8% on shots from distance (320 of 976) and 72.7% from the free throw line. They currently have an average of 71.8 points per game (278th in the nation) while shooting 40.1% from the field.

On the defensive end of the court, the Keydets are able to force 11.4 turnovers per contest while drawing 15.8 personal fouls. They are giving up 35.3% from 3-point land and they are ranked 323rd in the nation in points per game from their opponents (79.7). The Keydets are giving up and opponent field goal percentage of 46.1% (831 of 1,801) and they surrender 40.6 boards per game as a team. They currently rank 362nd in the country in giving up assists to the opposition with 532 surrendered for the year.

In their last game, the Chattanooga Mocs took a loss by a score of 85-80 when they faced UNC Greensboro. The Mocs were able to snag 26 defensive boards and 7 offensive rebounds totaling 33 in the matchup. They turned it over 10 times, while getting 3 steals for this game. UNC Greensboro had 19 fouls in this game which got the Mocs to the free throw line for 18 tries. They were able to make 14 of the free throw attempts for a rate of 77.8%. When talking about shots from distance, Chattanooga made 12 of 38 tries (31.6%). When this game wrapped up, the Mocs shot 27 for 64 from the floor which gave them a percentage of 42.2%. The Mocs allowed UNC Greensboro to make 28 out of 64 tries from the field which gave them a rate of 43.8% for the matchup. They shot 33.3% from behind the 3-point line by shooting 9 out of 27 and finished the game at 20 of 25 from the charity stripe (80.0%). When talking about cleaning up the glass, Chattanooga allowed UNC Greensboro to pull down 33 overall (5 on the offensive side).

Jordan Frison ended up being a major contributor for the Mocs in this game. He recorded 28 points in his 35 mins of playing time and totaled 3 dimes for the matchup. He buried 12 out of 17 for this game for a rate of 70.6%, and accumulated 2 rebounds.

Chattanooga has a record of 12-18 this season. As an offensive team, the Mocs are shooting 45.6% from the field, which is ranked 159th in the nation. Chattanooga has 2,283 pts on the campaign (76.1 per game) and they snag 33.1 boards per game. Their rate of assisting teammates is at 15.2 times per game (101st in the country) and they lose possession by turning the ball over 9.9 times per contest. The Mocs commit 19.2 fouls per game and they connect on 76.6% from the free throw line.

The Mocs on the defensive end are ranked 212th in college hoops in points per game surrendered with 74.7. They are able to force 9.8 TO's per game and allow teams to shoot 42.3% from the field (78th in college hoops). The Chattanooga defense allows 32.0% on shots from 3-point land (241 of 752) and their opponents are converting on 70.7% of their shots from the charity stripe. They have surrendered 12.9 assists and 35.9 rebounds on a nightly basis, which is ranked 143rd and 274th in the country.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take VMI

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