VMI Keydets vs UNC Greensboro Spartans Prediction, 2/11/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: VMI Keydets vs UNC Greensboro Spartans

Date: Wednesday, February 11, 2026

Location: First Horizon Coliseum in Greensboro, NC

TV: ESPN+

The UNC Greensboro Spartans (10-15) will go up against the VMI Keydets (6-19) at First Horizon Coliseum on Wednesday.

The VMI Keydets faced off with East Tennessee State and walked away from this one with a loss by a score of 87-70 in their last game. VMI ended the contest with a 42.1% FG percentage (24 out of 57) and converted 11 of 32 shots from 3-point land. From the charity stripe, the Keydets knocked down 11 of 16 shots for a percentage of 68.8%. Pertaining to pulling down boards, they earned a total of 21 with 6 of them being offensive. They also recorded 14 assists for this contest as well as forcing the opposition into 17 turnovers and earning 10 steals. In reference to the defense, VMI allowed their opponent to shoot 56.1% from the floor on 32 out of 57 shooting. East Tennessee State distributed 26 dimes and had 7 steals for the game. In addition, East Tennessee State snagged 37 boards (10 offensive, 27 defensive), but wasn't able to record a block. East Tennessee State walked away from this one shooting 85.7% when shooting free throws by making 12 of 14 tries. They knocked down 11 of their 26 attempts from distance. When discussing fouls, the Keydets ended up with 11 while East Tennessee State finished the game with 17 fouls.

Linus Holmstrom is one guy who had an impact for the contest. He shot 58.3% from the field and distributed 1 assist. He played for 34 mins and also collected 1 board. He walked away with 20 points on 7 out of 12 shooting.

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VMI will enter this contest with a mark of 6-19 this year. They are averaging 72.5 points per outing (274th in D-1) on 40.3% from the field. The Keydets are hitting 33.0% on shots beyond the perimeter (270 of 818) and 71.5% from the free throw line. As a team, VMI is snagging 33.9 boards per contest and is sitting with 312 dimes this season, which has them ranked 262nd in the country in terms of passing the ball. They turn the ball over 10.5 times per contest and as a squad they commit 17.1 personal fouls per game.

When they are on defense, the Keydets have forced 11.9 turnovers per game while drawing 16.0 personal fouls. They are currently ranked 356th in the nation in allowing assists to the opposition with 433 relinquished on the campaign. The Keydets are giving up a FG percentage of 45.5% (688 of 1,513) and they relinquish 41.0 boards per game as a group. They concede 35.0% on 3-point shots and they rank 300th in D-1 in points per game from their opponents (78.6).

When they last played, the UNC Greensboro Spartans walked away with a victory by a final of 67-64 when they played Furman. Regarding team rebounding, UNC Greensboro allowed Furman to collect 31 in all (6 offensive). They went 26.3% from 3-point land by shooting 5 out of 19 and finished the game at 13 of 17 at the charity stripe (76.5%). The Spartans permitted Furman to knock down 23 out of their 53 attempts from the floor which gave them a percentage of 43.4% for the contest. When this game wrapped up, the Spartans finished the game shooting 22 out of 53 from the field which gave them a rate of 41.5%. When discussing three-point shots, UNC Greensboro buried 10 of 19 attempts (52.6%). They were able to knock down 13 of those for a rate of 68.4%. Furman was called for 18 personal fouls in this game which took the Spartans to the free throw line for 19 tries. They also coughed it up 9 times, while earning 7 steals in this matchup. The Spartans were able to pull down 23 defensive boards and 5 offensive rebounds for a total of 28 for the game.

Justin Neely ended up being a factor for the Spartans for the matchup. He made 8 out of 14 in this game for a field goal rate of 57.1%, and tallied 13 rebounds. He recorded 24 points in his 35 minutes on the court and accounted for 1 assist for the matchup.

UNC Greensboro has a mark of 10-15 so far this season. The Spartans have committed 16.2 fouls every game and they shoot 69.5% from the charity stripe. They are assisting teammates 12.6 times per contest (287th in college) and they are losing possession via turnover 10.5 times per contest. UNC Greensboro has scored 1,933 points so far this year (77.3 per contest) and they pull in 36.2 boards per game. When it comes to offense, the Spartans are connecting on 44.8% from the field, which has them ranked 204th in college.

The Spartans on the defensive end are ranked 329th in the country in PPG surrendered with 80.3. They are forcing 9.2 turnovers per game and have let teams shoot 45.7% from the floor (281st in D-1). The UNC Greensboro defense surrenders 36.4% from downtown (261 of 717) and their opposition knocks down 70.7% of their foul shots. They have relinquished 14.4 assists and 35.9 total boards per game, which is 263rd and 264th in college.

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take UNC Greensboro

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