Yale Bulldogs vs UCF Knights Prediction, 11/6/2026 College Basketball Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Yale Bulldogs vs UCF Knights

Date: Friday, November 6, 2026

Location: Addition Financial Arena in Orlando, FL

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Yale (+9.5)

The UCF Knights (1-0) are welcoming the Yale Bulldogs (1-0) at Addition Financial Arena on Friday. UCF opens this matchup as 9.5-point favorites from oddsmakers. The over/under comes in at 151.5.

The Yale Bulldogs faced Howard and went home with a win by a final score of 72-62 in their last game. Yale ended the contest having earned a 35.9% FG percentage (23 of 64) and knocked down 7 of their 23 shots from downtown. From the free throw line, the Bulldogs made 19 of their 22 tries for a percentage of 86.4%. With respect to rebounding, they compiled 49 with 20 of them being on the offensive end. They also recorded 13 assists in the game while forcing the other team into 11 turnovers and getting 3 steals. With respect to defense, Yale allowed their opponent to shoot 35.3% from the floor on 24 of 68 shooting. Howard distributed 10 assists and had 12 steals in this game. Moreover, Howard snagged 37 boards (18 offensive, 19 defensive), but finished the game with no rejections. Howard walked away from this one shooting 43.8% from the charity stripe by making 7 of their 16 shots. They also converted 7 of their 27 tries from 3-point land. In relation to personal fouls, the Bulldogs finished with 17 and Howard recorded 22 personal fouls.

Riley Fox is a player who came through in this game. He ended up scoring 19 points on 6 of 18 shooting. He played for 34 mins and collected 3 rebounds. He finished the contest at 33.3% from the floor and earned 1 assist.

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Yale will enter this matchup with a mark of 1-0 on the year. They average 72.0 pts per contest (242nd in college) while hitting 35.9% from the floor. The Bulldogs are shooting 30.4% on 3-pointers (7 of 23) and 86.4% from the charity stripe. As a team, Yale is collecting 51.0 boards per contest and has totaled 13 assists for the year, which is 248th in college in terms of passing the ball. They cough up possession 14.0 times per game and as a team they commit 17.0 fouls every game.

On the defensive end, the Bulldogs are able to force 11.0 turnovers per contest and they draw 22.0 personal fouls. They are ranked 115th in college hoops in giving up assists with 10 surrendered this year. Bulldogs defensively are allowing a shooting percentage of 35.3% (24 of 68) and they concede 41.0 rebounds per game as a unit. They are relinquishing 25.9% on 3-pointers and they rank 131st in Division 1 in points per game from their opponents (62.0).

When they last stepped on the hardwood, the UCF Knights got the victory with a final of 96-95 against Florida Gulf Coast. The Knights pulled down 18 defensive rebounds and 4 offensive rebounds for a total of 22 for the matchup. They also turned the ball over 8 times, while getting 5 steals in this contest. Florida Gulf Coast was called for 27 personal fouls in this contest which took the Knights to the free throw line for a total of 38 shots. They were able to make 25 of them for a percentage of 65.8%. When discussing shooting from downtown, UCF made 9 of their 18 tries (50.0%). In all, the Knights finished the game shooting 31 out of 58 from the floor which had them shooting 53.4%. The Knights allowed Florida Gulf Coast to convert 29 of 64 attempts from the floor which gave them a rate of 45.3% in the game. They wrapped up this game 36.4% from beyond the arc by shooting 12 of 33 and finished the game at 25 of 27 from the charity stripe (92.6%). In reference to rebounding, UCF permitted Florida Gulf Coast to grab 34 in all (10 offensive).

Dior Johnson was important for the Knights for this contest. He knocked down 13 out of 15 for the game for a rate of 86.7%, and added 2 rebounds. He earned 41 points in his 35 minutes on the hardwood and accounted for 2 dimes for the contest.

UCF has a record of 1-0 for the campaign. As an offense, the Knights are shooting 53.4% from the field, which ranks them 72nd in the nation. UCF has accounted for 96 points on the year and they grab 27.0 rebounds per contest. Their rate of earning assists is at 16.0 times per game (163rd in D-1) and they are turning it over 9.0 times per contest. The Knights are committing 21.0 fouls every game and they connect on 65.8% from the free throw line.

The UCF defense gives up 36.4% on shots from beyond the arc (12 of 33) and opponents are converting on 92.6% of their foul shots. They have surrendered 17.0 dimes and 37.0 total rebounds per game, which has them ranked 299th and 229th in college. The Knights are ranked 336th in college in PPG given up with 95.0. They are forcing their opponents into 13.0 turnovers per game and have allowed teams to shoot 45.3% from the floor (241st in college hoops).

Who will win tonight's NCAA game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Yale (+9.5)

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