Buffalo Sabres vs. Edmonton Oilers - 12/8/19 NHL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Game: Buffalo Sabres vs Edmonton Oilers
Date: Sunday, December 8, 2019
Location: Rogers Place in Edmonton, AB
Odds/Point Spread: Sabres (+144) Oilers (-160)
Linus Ullmark and the Buffalo Sabres (13-11-5, 4th in the Atlantic Division) go to Rogers Place on Sunday where they'll take on the Edmonton Oilers (18-10-3, 1st in the Pacific Division). The Sabres open this game at +144 while the Oilers are priced at -160. The O/U opens at 6. The Sabres are covering 42.9% of the time, having gone 12-16 SU. Edmonton is covering 55.2% of the time, going 16-13 straight up.
The Buffalo Sabres head into this matchup with a record of 13 wins and 11 losses, putting them at 4th in the Atlantic Division. So far this season, they have earned a total of 87 goals which ranks 11th in the Eastern Conference and 17th in the league. Their goal differential is +1, putting them at 17th in the league. The Sabres currently have a total of 31 points, which ranks 20th in the league and 9th in the conference. in respect to shots at the opposing goalie, they currently have a total of 902 which ranks 10th in the Eastern Conference and 20th in the league. As a unit, Buffalo has earned a total of 400 hits which has them averaging 13.8 per game. They currently have a total of 259 blocks for this season. The man protecting the net for Buffalo is Linus Ullmark from Elmhurst, Illinois. He is 26 years old and has been on the ice a total of 898 minutes protecting the net for the season. Kinkaid is allowing 2.94 goals against average which has him ranking 16th among East goalies and 37th among goaltenders in the NHL. So far this season, he's given up 44 goals. He holds a save % of .914 which has him ranking 9th among East goalies.
The Buffalo Sabres will need a bounce back game after taking a 4 - 3 defeat against the Calgary Flames in their last game. The Sabres had a middle of the road offensive output in the defeat. In this game, they netted 3 of the 29 shots they looked to score on. Additionally, they had 8 power play opportunities and netted 1 goal out of those opportunities. Buffalo earned a total of 4 penalty mins for this game. The Corsi for the Sabres was 33 and the Corsi against was 46 which earned them a Corsi percentage of 41.8%. Their Fenwick was 25 and the Fenwick against sat at 37, telling us they have a Fenwick percentage of 40.3%. They earned 21 face-off wins at even strength and were beaten on 20 attempts to control the puck. Their offensive zone starts came in at 46.9% and they had a PDO of 103.8 in this game. When it comes to their opponent, the Calgary Flames tallied a total of 29 shots. They finished with 16 penalty mins and they notched 2 power play attempts.
The Oilers are the team on the other side of the ice and for the current year they have 18 victories and 10 defeats. Regarding goal differential, they are ranked 6th in the West and 13th in the NHL with +4. They currently have a total of 93 goals for this year which has them sitting at 3rd in the Western Conference. Edmonton has a save % as a team of .909 which has them 14th in the NHL, which tells us there should be some opportunities to score. They have a shooting percentage of 10.5% ranking them 2nd in the West. In net for Edmonton is Mike Smith who is having an ok season by giving up 2.88 goals per game and that places him 19th among West goalies and 32nd in the NHL among goaltenders. In the 855 minutes he has played this season, he's surrendered 41 goals. He has a save % of .905, which has him ranked 20th among West goalies and 36th in the NHL among goaltenders.
The Edmonton Oilers went up against the Los Angeles Kings in an outing where the Oilers got the win by a final score of 2 - 1. In their game, Edmonton had a 34.8% Corsi rating. That percentage was had by earning a Corsi of 24 while the opposition had a Corsi of 45. Their Fenwick rate was 35.8% by notching a Fenwick of 19 and the Kings earning a 34 Fenwick at even strength. These Corsi stats speak to the kind of game that Edmonton played and the stats tell us that they didn't play well overall. They had a PDO at even strength of 95.5 and their oZS percentage was 31.4%. The Oilers netted 2 goals of the 20 shots on goal they took. They had 3 power play attempts in this game and were able to net 2 out of those opportunities. Concerning the opposition, the Kings had 2 power play attempts but were not able to score a goal. Edmonton allowed 36 shots on goal and the Kings earned a total of 6 penalty mins.
Who will win tonight's NHL game ATS?
Guy's Pick: Take Edmonton (-160)
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