Colorado Avalanche vs St. Louis Blues Prediction, 4/26/2021 NHL Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Colorado Avalanche vs St. Louis Blues
Date: Monday, April 26, 2021
Location: Enterprise Center in St. Louis, MO
Odds/Point Spread: Avalanche (-175) Blues (+145)
Devan Dubnyk and the Colorado Avalanche (31-10-4) head to Enterprise Center on Monday where they'll meet the St. Louis Blues (20-19-6). The Blues open this matchup at +145 while the Avalanche are priced at -175. The total opens at 6.5.
The Avalanche were on the losing side of the ice with a 5-3 defeat against the Blues in their last outing. Their starts in the offensive zone sat at 68.6% and their PDO rating was 86.9 in this one. They totaled 26 face-off wins when at even strength and were beaten on 24 opportunities to control the puck. Their Fenwick was 45 and the Fenwick against finished at 32, meaning they had a Fenwick rate of 58.4%. The Corsi for the Avalanche came in at 59 and the Corsi against when this game finished was 38 meaning they had a Corsi rate of 60.8%. Colorado accumulated 10 penalty minutes for this game. In addition, they had 5 chances with the advantage and netted 2 goals. The Avalanche had an average offensive performance in the defeat. While out there on the ice, they finished 3 out of the 31 shots they put on goal.
Colorado Avalanche opponents have earned 148 power play opportunities (7th in professional hockey) and have notched 26 goals in those attempts. The Avalanche have had 1,159 shots taken against them and are the owners of a save percentage of .908. Colorado has attempted 1,557 shots and holds a shot percentage of 10.3%. When playing at even strength, the Avalanche have allowed the opponent to score 81 goals while earning 120 as an offensive unit. Colorado has 171 power play opportunities and they have scored 41 goals out of those tries, earning them a rate of 23.98%. For the season, they have recorded 66 points and their points percentage sits at .733. Concerning their scoring capabilities, the Colorado Avalanche have earned 161 goals (3rd in the NHL) so far this year and have surrendered 107.
The player in the crease for this game is Devan Dubnyk. Throughout his time in hockey, Dubnyk has accrued 277 quality starts and his quality starts rate is .541. His save percentage currently is at .914 in his 30,675 minutes in the crease. Dubnyk has seen 15,482 shot attempts against him and has amassed 14,151 saves. Opponents have tallied 1,331 goals versus Dubnyk in his pro career and his goals against rate is 2.60. He has an overall mark of 252-205-54 and got the start in 512 games. Dubnyk has been involved in 540 games during his hockey career.
In their win over Colorado, St. Louis earned a 39.2% Corsi rate. This Corsi rating tells us the kind of game St. Louis had and it was an excellent showing for this outing. Their Fenwick rate was 41.6% by way of having a Fenwick of 32 and the Avalanche having notched a 45 Fenwick. Their PDO was 113 and they had an oZS percentage of 31.4%. The Blues recorded 5 goals out of the 30 shots on goal they took. They had 4 power play chances in this game and earned 1 out of those chances.
This season, the St. Louis Blues have earned a total of 129 goals, 46 points, as well as a points percentage of .511. They have allowed 140 goals to be scored by way of 104 goals at even strength and 36 goals while they were shorthanded. The Blues have 102 goals at even strength and 27 goals (19th in the NHL) while on the power play. They have earned 133 power play chances and they have accumulated a power play rate of 20.30%. St. Louis has put up 1,341 shots (25th in pro hockey) and has earned a shooting percentage of 9.62%, while allowing their opponents 1,344 shots. They have recorded a penalty kill rate of 75.34% on the other teams 146 power play chances, and their save percentage sits at 89.6%.
For the opposition you are likely to see Jordan Binnington in the crease. The opposition is averaging 2.43 goals per contest and he has conceded 275 goals in total. Binnington's percentage of quality starts sits at 57.5% and he has qualified for 65 quality starting assignments in his NHL career. He was named a starter in 113 games and has played 6,793 mins. Binnington has amassed a career mark of 67-32-13 and has participated in 117 games. He has tallied 2,930 stops out of the 3,205 shots attempted against him, giving him a rate of .914.
Who will win tonight's hockey game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take Colorado (-175)
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