Aston Villa vs Brighton Prediction, 11/21/2020 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 11/18/2020

Game: Aston Villa vs Brighton

Date: Saturday, November 21, 2020

Location: Villa Park in Birmingham, England

TV: NBCSN

Odds/Point Spread: Aston Villa (+130) Brighton (+210)

Jack Grealish and Aston Villa (5-0-2, 6th in the EPL) host Brighton (1-3-4, 16th in the EPL) at Villa Park on Saturday. The starting goaltenders will be Emiliano Martinez for Aston Villa and Mathew Ryan for Brighton. The odds on this matchup have Aston Villa coming in at +130 and the Seagulls are at +210. The O/U has been set at 2.5.

Aston Villa played Arsenal in their last game and notched a win by a score of 3 - 0. When talking about passing the ball, they finished this match with a 88.1% received passes percentage by connecting on 317 out of their 360 pass targets in their last outing. Aston Villa tried 19 dribbles in this matchup and were able to convert 16 of the dribbles for a rate of 84.2%. Regarding shot accuracy, Aston Villa wrapped this game up at a 29.4% clip by landing 5 SoT out of 17 total shots. Aston Villa sports an average of 2.43 goals per 90 minutes (17 total goals) and have accounted for 15 assists in all matches for the year.

Jack Grealish is a guy who can be a difference maker for Aston Villa. Grealish has been in the starting lineup in 161 matchups during his soccer career and he accounts for 0.19 goals per 90 minutes. The forward representing England has 32 goals scored in 14,804 minutes played. He has accounted for 30 assists while accumulating 33 yellow cards in his career. Another guy who should impact this match is Ollie Watkins, the forward who represents England. He has helped on a goal 21 times thus far in his career while scoring 72 total goals. Watkins has been on the pitch for 16,552 mins during 182 career starting assignments and has earned himself a total of 26 yellow card cautions. He is averaging 0.39 goals per 90 minutes for his career.

The man defending the goal for Aston Villa is Emiliano Martinez. Martinez (29-18-29 mark during his soccer career) has 25 shutouts, which gives him a 32.9% shutout percentage. The keeper born in Argentina has seen 350 shots sent in his direction in 76 starts. His goals against per 90 minutes is 1.29 (99 goals allowed) and his save percentage is .729. Martinez has seen the pitch for 6,889 minutes and has accumulated 252 stops during his career.

When they last played, Brighton went home with a draw by a final score of 0 - 0 against Burnley. They finished the match by converting 477 of the 547 passing tries for a percentage of 87.2%. Brighton finished with a 64.7% successful dribble rate by completing 11 out of the 17 dribbles they attempted. Brighton converted 3 shots on target out of their 19 shots tried giving them a 15.8% clip in their last game. Having tallied 10 goals and 7 assists in all competitions, Brighton sports an average of 1.25 goals and 0.87 assists per 90.

Neal Maupay should be someone to watch for Brighton. The forward representing France has totaled 13,632 minutes while he has scored 69 goals. He has accounted for 32 yellow cards in his pro soccer career and has helped a teammate on a goal 20 times. He is averaging 0.46 goals per 90 mins and has been in the starting lineup in 147 outings during his pro soccer career. You should also watch out for Leandro Trossard, the forward representing Belgium. Trossard has been handed 11 yellow cards in 13,020 mins (146 career starts). His G/90 average in his pro soccer career is 0.40. He has accumulated 58 goals so far in his career while assisting a teammate on a goal 21 times.

Mathew Ryan will reside in front of the net for Brighton. During his professional soccer career, Ryan has conceded 342 goals and has 825 stops in 290 starts. He has allowed 1.18 goals per 90 and he has earned a mark of 122-80-88. He has a save % of .715 and his clean sheet rate sits at 29.3%. Ryan has 85 clean sheets and has defended 1,147 shots tried against him in 26,100 career minutes.

Who will win tonight's EPL game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Brighton (+210)

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Aston Villa vs Brighton Prediction, 11/21/2020 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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