Aston Villa vs Southampton Prediction, 11/1/2020 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds
Game: Aston Villa vs Southampton
Date: Sunday, November 1, 2020
Location: Villa Park in Birmingham, England
TV: Peacock Premium
Odds/Point Spread: Aston Villa (+155) Southampton (+162)
Danny Ings and Southampton (3-1-2, 7th in EPL) are headed to Villa Park on Sunday where they'll take on Aston Villa (4-0-1, 3rd in EPL). The men protecting the net are Emiliano Martinez for Aston Villa and Alex McCarthy for Southampton. Southampton are at at +162 while the Villains are at +155. The O/U is set at 2.5.
Aston Villa have earned 12 goals on the campaign, which ranks 5th in the league. They have attempted 70 shots at their opponents goal with 25 being on target, which calculates to a 35.7% shots on target percentage. Aston Villa has controlled possession for 45.6% of the time while dribbling successfully 78.2% of the time (1st in the league). They have received 1,517 passes from teammates on 1,842 tries on the campaign, which makes their receiving percentage 82.4%.
Jack Grealish is a player you are going to want to keep your eye on for Aston Villa. Grealish has been in the starting lineup in 159 outings thus far in his career and he accounts for 0.19 goals per 90 minutes. The forward from England has earned 31 goals in 14,624 professional minutes. He has accounted for 28 assists while earning 33 yellow cards during his soccer career. Another player who could decide the outcome is Ollie Watkins, the forward born in England. He has assisted a teammate on a goal 21 times during his soccer career while scoring 69 total goals. Watkins has played 16,372 mins during 180 career starting assignments and has been handed 26 yellow card warnings. He has an average of 0.38 goals per 90 minutes during his soccer career.
The guy who will defend the goal for Aston Villa is Emiliano Martinez. Martinez (28-18-28 record in his career) has recorded 24 shutouts, which has him sitting with a 32.4% clean sheet rate. The goalie from Argentina has seen 344 shots tried against him in 74 starts. His goals against per 90 minutes is 1.27 (95 goals allowed) and he has a save % of .735. Martinez has seen the field for a total of 6,709 minutes and has accumulated 250 stops during his career.
The Saints have had success dribbling 58% of the time on the season while accumulating 10 goals. They have a receiving percentage of 84.9% while controlling possession of the ball 55.3% of the time. Southampton has totaled 3,095 pass targets so far this season (8th in EPL) to go along with 2,628 successful received passes. They have been able to connect on 46.2% of their shots on target out of 65 shots.
Danny Ings should provide a lift for Southampton. He scores 0.44 goals per 90 mins and has started 188 games during his pro soccer career. The forward born in England has accumulated 16,584 mins and he has scored 81 goals. He has 19 yellow cards in his career and has helped a teammate on a goal 21 times. Make sure to watch out for James Ward-Prowse, the midfielder from England. He has earned 23 goals so far in his career while assisting a teammate on a goal 22 different times. Ward-Prowse has been given 28 yellow card warnings in 14,635 professional minutes played (157 starts). His goals per 90 min average thus far in his career is 0.14.
Alex McCarthy will reside in front of the goal for the Saints. McCarthy has earned 54 shutouts while defending 1,057 shots against him in 20,090 mins throughout his career. He is the owner of a save percentage of .707 and his clean sheet rate sits at 24.2%. He has surrendered 1.41 goals per 90 mins while he holds a mark of 76-64-84. In his pro soccer career, McCarthy has allowed 314 goals while he has racked up 750 saves in 223 starts.
Who will win tonight's EPL game against the spread?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Aston Villa (+155)
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