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Iceland vs Belgium Prediction, 10/14/2020 UEFA Nations League Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 10/12/2020

Dries Mertens belgium

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Game: Iceland vs Belgium

Date: Wednesday, October 14, 2020

Location: Laugardalsvöllur in Reykjavik, Iceland

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Iceland (-105) Belgium (-125)

Birkir Bjarnason and Iceland (0-0-3 in Nations League) host Belgium (2-0-1 in Nations League) at Laugardalsvöllur on Wednesday. The expected starting goalies will be Ögmundur Kristinsson for Iceland and Simon Mignolet for Belgium. The Icelandics are at -105 while the Belgians are priced at -125. The total has been set at 3.

Iceland as a team have 1 goal this tournament, which is currently 45th in the league. They have launched 12 shots at their opponents goal with 5 on target, which means they have a 41.7% shots on target percentage. Their players have been called on 32 fouls and have drawn 25 fouls for the tournament. Iceland has controlled possession of the ball for 27% of contests.

Birkir Bjarnason is a guy who should impact this matchup for the Icelandics. Bjarnason has been a starter in 216 matchups thus far in his career and accounts for 0.24 goals per 90 mins. The midfielder hailing from Iceland has totaled 52 goals in 19,781 mins played. He has 20 assists while tallying 28 yellow cards so far in his career. Another guy who could decide the outcome is Albert Guðmundsson, the forward representing for Iceland. He has helped a teammate on a goal 15 times during his soccer career while scoring 35 goals. Guðmundsson has earned 6,612 minutes during 77 starts and has earned himself a total of 10 yellow cards. He is averaging 0.48 goals per 90 minutes during his career.

The man who will defend the goal for Iceland is Ögmundur Kristinsson. Kristinsson (41-44-55 record during his career) has 37 shutouts, which leaves him with a 26.6% shutout percentage. The goalkeeper taking the field for Iceland has had 377 shots tried at him in 139 career starting assignments. His goals against per 90 mins is 1.08 (116 total goals given up) and he has a save percentage of .719. Kristinsson has seen the field for a total of 12,556 mins and is sitting with 261 stops during his soccer career.

The Belgians earn an average of 6.33 shots on target per 90 while having earned 8 goals to this point. As we sit, they maintain possession of the ball 59% of the game. Belgium has 23 total fouls this tourney (55th in the league) with 22 fouls drawn. They have been able to connect on 45.2% of their shots out of 42 total shots.

Dries Mertens should provide a lift for Belgium. He currently averages 0.51 goals per 90 mins and has been a starter in 318 contests so far in his career. The forward from Belgium has earned 31,286 minutes and he has scored 177 goals. He has 51 yellow cards in his pro soccer career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 115 times. You should also keep an eye on Michy Batshuayi, the forward representing for Belgium. Batshuayi has been handed 22 yellow card warnings in 13,151 minutes played (136 career starts). His goals per 90 average so far in his career is 0.58. He has scored 85 goals during his career while assisting on a goal 22 different times.

Simon Mignolet will look after the net for Belgium. Mignolet has recorded 103 clean sheets and has defended 1,302 shots attempted against him in 30,802 career minutes. He has earned a save percentage of .697 and his clean sheet rate is currently at 30.1%. He has surrendered 1.27 goals per 90 minutes and he has earned a mark of 153-91-98. During his professional soccer career, Mignolet has given up 400 goals and has earned 905 stops in 342 starts.

Who will win tonight's UEFA Nations League game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Belgium (-125)

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