Italy vs Netherlands Prediction, 10/14/2020 UEFA Nations League Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 10/12/2020

Game: Italy vs Netherlands

Date: Wednesday, October 14, 2020

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in Milan, Italy

TV: ESPN 2

Odds/Point Spread: Italy (-109) Netherlands (-120)

Ciro Immobile and Italy (1-2-0 in Nations League) play Netherlands (1-1-1 in Nations League) at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza on Wednesday. The goalies expected to start will be Gianluigi Donnarumma for Italy and Jasper Cillessen for Netherlands. The Italians are at -109 while the Dutch are priced at -120. The total opens at 2.5.

Italy has controlled possession of the ball for 59.7% of games. They have racked up 41 fouls as well as having drawn 44 fouls for the tourney. They have launched 55 shots at the opposition with 10 of them being on target, which means they have a 18.2% SOT percentage. Italy have earned 2 goals this tourney, which ranks 35th in the league.

Ciro Immobile is one guy you are going to want to keep your eye on for the Italians. He has totaled 38 assists while earning 48 yellow cards during his career. Immobile has started 259 contests during his pro soccer career and tallies 0.67 G/90. The forward born in Italy has 171 goals in 22,928 mins. One more guy who could decide who wins is Lorenzo Insigne, the forward representing for Italy. He has helped a teammate on a goal 73 times during his pro soccer career while he has scored 85 goals. Insigne has 22,105 minutes during 256 career starts and has been handed a total of 23 yellow cards. He sports an average of 0.35 goals per 90 minutes for his career.

The guy who is expected to defend the goal for Italy is Gianluigi Donnarumma. Donnarumma (87-48-44 mark during his career) has recorded 60 shutouts, which gives him a 33.1% clean sheet percentage. The goalie representing Italy has had 688 shots tried at him in 181 starts. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 1.07 (190 goals allowed) and he holds a save percentage of .744. Donnarumma has been on the field for 16,031 minutes and has accumulated 511 stops so far in his career.

Netherlands has 41 fouls this tournament (28th in Nations League) and they have 46 fouls drawn. Thus far, they control possession of the ball 58.7% of the time. The Dutch earn an average of 3.67 shots on target per 90 while having a total of 1 goal thus far in the tournament. They have completed 27.5% of their shots on target on 40 total shots.

Memphis Depay will need to provide a lift for Netherlands. The forward born in Netherlands has earned 15,233 minutes while scoring 88 goals. He has accumulated 17 yellow card cautions so far in his career and has assisted on a goal 43 times. He scores 0.52 goals per 90 minutes and has started 154 matches so far in his career. Make sure to watch out for Frenkie de Jong, the midfielder taking the field for Netherlands. Jong has been handed a total of 7 yellow cards in 10,542 minutes played (119 career starts). His goals per 90 min average during his pro soccer career is 0.12. He has earned 14 goals in his career while helping on a goal 21 different times.

Jasper Cillessen will be looking after the net for Netherlands. Cillessen has totaled 62 clean sheets while defending 697 shots tried against him in 14,758 career minutes. He has a save % of .778 and his clean sheet rate sits at 38.0%. He has surrendered 0.99 goals per 90 minutes while holding a mark of 88-47-31. In his pro soccer career, Cillessen has allowed 162 goals and has racked up 542 saves in 163 starting assignments.

Who will win tonight's UEFA Nations League game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Netherlands (-120)

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Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #465 Kansas City Chiefs -5.5 over Cleveland Browns (1p.m., Sunday, December 15 CBS) The Chiefs keep winning games and sooner or later one of those wins will come by a comfortable margin. I look for that to be this Sunday against a Browns team that is just playing out the string. Cleveland currently sits at 3- 10 and will enter this game having lost 4 of their last 5 games. Their only win came against Pittsburgh in a snow game on a short week. All 4 of those losses by the Browns have come over the posted number for this game. Kansas City is better on both sides of the football, and I just do not see the Browns offense keeping pace. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports Weekend card featuring top plays in basketball, football, and hockey. We will feature our World-Famous Nonconference Game of the Year in College Basketball on Saturday. This game has won 13 of the 15 years it has been in existence and it is a must have for any big game hunter. Read More Read Less

Italy vs Netherlands Prediction, 10/14/2020 UEFA Nations League Pick, Tips and Odds

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